利用相似周方法预测第24活动周开始时间

利用相似周方法对第24活动周的开始时间与第23活动周下降相后期的太阳黑子数进行了预报.根据第23周已经出现的特征参量和下降相的形态特征,选取9,10,11,15,17和20等六个太阳活动周作为第23周下降相的相似周,对第24周开始时间进行预报.预报结果显示,第24活动周的开始时间为2007年5±1月,黑子数平滑月均极小值为7.1±2.6,第23太阳活动周长度为11.1年.与其他研究者的预报结果相比较,本文给出的结果与文献[11]和[12]及MSFC的结果比较一致.通过对相似周方法在下降相预测太阳活动周结束时间的研究讨论,及对第23周上升阶段的太阳黑子数和F10.7平滑月均值预报结果的评估,可以看出,相似周预报方法在太阳活动周长期预报中是很有应用价值的.     

基于逆间隙环节的飞机极限环振荡抑制方法

借鉴数学中的函数与反函数思想,由间隙环节的数学模型导出逆间隙环节。分析了飞机侧偏控制系统 中副翼、方向舵舵机间隙非线性特性所引起的极限环振荡,针对副翼、方向舵舵机的非线性特性设计了相应的逆间隙环节,把所设计的逆间隙环节引入侧偏控制系统。仿真结果表明,所设计的逆间隙环节能够显著地抑制侧偏控制系统中的极限环振荡。     

Polar卫星在低高度时表面正高电位的统计研究

基于Polar卫星1996-2008年的表面电压数据,研究了卫星在低轨区域出现正高电位（异常事件）与太阳活动的关系及其发生位置的磁地方时（MLT）分布.研究表明:太阳辐射与异常事件发生次数呈正相关,太阳活动越活跃,异常事件出现次数越多,但不会影响航天器表面电位;异常事件发生占比呈现明显季节性变化,在太阳活动高年,冬季和夏季次数较多,春季和秋季次数较少,在太阳活动低年,每月次数均维持在较低水平,而一个月内异常事件次数没有明显规律;在分布上南北半球表现出相似性,异常事件均不会发生在地磁纬度50°-60°区域,极区和昏侧发生次数较多,而不同的是异常事件在南半球发生得更多更集中;虽然太阳活动与航天器在低高度时表面出现正高电位的次数呈正相关,但即使在太阳活动峰年,航天器异常事件发生率也不超过10%.     

燃油离心泵多目标优化设计及仿真分析

针对燃油离心泵高效、高抗汽蚀的优化设计问题,进行了基于损失模型和SQP(Sequen?tial Quadratic Programming)算法的多目标优化设计及仿真研究.建立表征叶轮和蜗壳等水力、容积和机械各效率的综合损失模型,并利用必需汽蚀余量来表征汽蚀特性.利用SQP算法构造合理的适应度函数,建立离心泵多目标优化...     

Comparison of convergence time and positioning accuracy among BDS,GPS and BDS/GPS precise point positioning with ambiguity resolution

Precise point positioning (PPP) usually takes about 30?min to obtain centimetre-level accuracy, which greatly limits its application. To address the drawbacks of convergence speed and positioning accuracy, we develop a PPP model with integrated GPS and BDS observations. Based on the method, stations with global coverage are selected to estimate the fractional cycle bias (FCB) of GPS and BDS. The short-term and long-term time series of wide-lane (WL) FCB, and the single day change of narrow-lane (NL) FCB are analysed. It is found that the range of GPS and BDS non-GEO (IGSO and MEO) WL FCB is stable at up to a 30-day-time frame. At times frame of up to 60?days, the stability is reduced a lot. Whether for short-term or long-term, the changes in the BDS GEO WL FCB are large. Moreover, BDS FCB sometimes undergoes a sudden jump. Besides, 17 and 10 stations were used respectively to investigate the convergence speed and positioning errors with six strategies: BDS ambiguity-float PPP (Bfloat), GPS ambiguity-float PPP (Gfloat), BDS/GPS ambiguity-float PPP (BGfloat), BDS ambiguity-fixed PPP (Bfix), GPS ambiguity-fixed (Gfix), and BDS/GPS ambiguity-fixed (BGfix). The average convergence speed of the ambiguity-fixed solution is greatly improved compared with the ambiguity-float solution. In terms of the average convergence time, the Bfloat is the longest and the BGfix is the shortest among these six strategies. Whether for ambiguity-float PPP or ambiguity-fixed PPP, the convergence reduction time in three directions for the combined system is the largest compared with the single BDS. The average RMS value of the Bfix in three directions (easting (E), northing (N), and up (U)) are 2.0?cm, 1.5?cm, and 5.9?cm respectively, while those of the Gfix are 0.8?cm, 0.5?cm, and 1.7?cm. Compared with single system, the BDS/GPS combined ambiguity-fixed system (BGfix) has the fastest convergence speed and the highest accuracy, with average RMS as 0.7?cm, 0.5?cm, and 1.9?cm for the E, N, U components, respectively.     

空天机复合循环推进技术新概念研究——液化空气循环在其中的应用

研究了空天机复合循环推进技术中的一个新概念——以液化空气循环为基础的SERJ组合发动机性能。计算了空气液化后分离为液氧和液氮后组合发动机在不同高度、不同飞行马赫数下的性能曲线,并考虑了液化空气量对组合发动机性能的影响。对计算结果的分析表明,液化空气循环虽然使组合发动机推力下降,但能使比冲有较大幅度的上升;液化空气量过大与过小均不利于进一步提高比冲性能,而是存在一个最佳值。     

二阶n次多项式自治系统的极限环的唯一性

主要利用文［１］中的变换，将下列二阶ｎ次多项式自治系统ｄｘｄｔ＝ｇ１（ｘ）＋ｈ１（ｘ）ｙｄｙｄｔ＝ｇ２（ｘ）＋ｈ２（ｘ）ｙ（＊）（其中，ｇ１（ｘ）＝∑ｎｉ＝０ａｉｘｉ，ｈ１（ｘ）＝∑ｎ－１ｉ＝０ｂｉｘｉ，ｇ２（ｘ）＝∑ｎｉ＝０ｃｉｘｉ，ｈ２（ｘ）＝∑ｎ－１ｉ＝０ｄｉｘｉ）变换成Ｌｉｅｎａｒｄ方程，再利用构造Ｄｕｌａｃ函数的方法和文［２］中的一个定理，得到了二阶ｎ次多项式自治系统（＊）的极限环唯一性的几个充分条件。     

Planetary Radiation Budgets

The energy state of a planet depends fundamentally on its radiation budget. Measurements made from space over past decades have led to significant revisions of ground-based estimates, both of the reflected fraction (the Bond albedo) of solar radiative flux and of the emitted thermal infrared radiation flux, for the Earth as well as for the other planets. After a brief survey of methods and difficulties in accurately determining planetary radiation budgets, we note contradictions in existing tabulations of global parameters, in particular Bond albedo. For the Earth, such contradictions are unjustified, considering that global and annual means as well as the seasonal cycle of Earth Radiation Budget components have now been determined with high accuracy. The Earth's Bond albedo is close to 0.3. Net storage of energy in the Earth-ocean system is close to zero, with a well-established annual cycle of amplitude close to ±12 Wm⁻². Some contradictions remain for the other terrestrial planets. For the giant planets, modern reduced values of the Bond albedo imply reduced but still significant internal energy generation.     

Latitude and solar-cycle dependence of radial IMF intensity

I describe a simple procedure for extrapolating the observed solar magnetic field into the heliosphere, which averages the asymptotic fields computed using the standard source surface and current sheet models. The resultant field is characterized by strong latitudinal gradients (maintained by volume currents outside the source surface) and by abrupt reversals in direction at the current sheets. The model yields good agreement with the observed long-term variation of the radial IMF component in the ecliptic, and is used to predict the variation of |B _r | along the latitudinal trajectory of Ulysses during 1990–1994. As found in earlier studies, the magnitude ofB _r at any latitude is determined largely by the strength and relative orientation of the Sun's dipole moment.     

捷联星光制导仿真方法研究

捷联星光制导方案是把星跟踪器安装在平台基座上，利用星跟踪器和平台框架角的测量信息解算出因初始定位定向误差引起导弹的落点偏差，由末助推控制系统完成弹道修正。有关捷联星光制导方案的地面仿真原理、方法、组成，选星及大气修正计算原则、地球旋转影响在本文中作了论述，并给出仿真原理框图、硬件设备组成和功能、接口要求以及系统工作程序框图。