Uncertainty propagation for statistical impact prediction of space debris

Predictions of the impact time and location of space debris in a decaying trajectory are highly influenced by uncertainties. The traditional Monte Carlo (MC) method can be used to perform accurate statistical impact predictions, but requires a large computational effort. A method is investigated that directly propagates a Probability Density Function (PDF) in time, which has the potential to obtain more accurate results with less computational effort. The decaying trajectory of Delta-K rocket stages was used to test the methods using a six degrees-of-freedom state model. The PDF of the state of the body was propagated in time to obtain impact-time distributions. This Direct PDF Propagation (DPP) method results in a multi-dimensional scattered dataset of the PDF of the state, which is highly challenging to process. No accurate results could be obtained, because of the structure of the DPP data and the high dimensionality. Therefore, the DPP method is less suitable for practical uncontrolled entry problems and the traditional MC method remains superior. Additionally, the MC method was used with two improved uncertainty models to obtain impact-time distributions, which were validated using observations of true impacts. For one of the two uncertainty models, statistically more valid impact-time distributions were obtained than in previous research.     

基于网格自适应的飞行器防热材料热传导系数辨识

为准确辨识高超声速飞行器防热材料热传导系数，构造了针对热传导偏微分方程系统的约束泛函极值问题，基于表征多项式逼近性能的Weierstrass定理，采用Lagrange多项式对热传导系数进行参数化建模，进而将无穷维的约束泛函极值问题转化为有限维的非线性规划问题，再利用基于动态优化方程的优化方法将此非线性规划问题转化为常微分方程初值问题进行求解。为从较有限的测量数据中准确地“学习”热传导系数，建立采用“过拟合”判别准则的网格自适应迭代算法改善辨识精度。研究表明本文采用的辨识策略与优化方法有效，辨识结果可以较准确地反映材料热传导系数的变化规律。     

基于离散伴随方程的三维雷达散射截面几何敏感度计算

针对有限差分法计算雷达散射截面（RCS）梯度效率低，采用高精度雷达散射截面评估时计算代价高的问题，提出了一种基于麦克斯韦积分方程离散伴随方程的RCS梯度高效计算方法。基于伴随方程的梯度计算可以通过一次雷达散射截面求解、一次伴随方程求解获得RCS关于所有设计变量的梯度。其中麦克斯韦积分方程离散伴随方程的形式与原方程基本一致，可以采用矩量法（MOM）及多层快速多极子算法（MLFMA）求解。伴随方程求解计算量与直接雷达散射截面评估基本一致，存储量在直接雷达散射截面评估的基础上增加不明显。通过双椎体模型、导弹模型对基于矩量法、多层快速多极子算法的伴随梯度进行验证，证明了基于伴随方法的RCS梯度计算可以实现复杂外形中RCS梯度的高效、高精度求解，为基于梯度的高精度气动/隐身一体化优化提供了基础。     

PDE model-based boundary control of a spacecraft with double flexible appendages under prescribed performance

This paper investigates a boundary control scheme of a spacecraft with double flexible appendages under prescribed performance. The flexible spacecraft system comprises a rigid central hub and two flexible appendages regarded as continuum models, so that the motion of the system can be portrayed by using partial differential equations (PDEs). In this paper, only one control torque and two control forces are applied to guarantee the desired attitude angle of the spacecraft and simultaneously suppress the vibration of the two flexible appendages. Moreover, the angle tracking error of the spacecraft can be restricted in a small residual set under a minimum convergence rate by adopting the prescribed performance technique (PPT). The stability of the boundary control is analyzed by employing LaSalle’s invariance principle. Finally, the feasibility of the proposed controller is verified through numerical results.     

随机恒速运动目标的搜索方程及持续探测概率

根据目标位置的初始分布和速度分布,给出了随机恒速运动目标在任意时刻位置和速度分布密度函数。定义了探测函数、目标存在和探测不成功的联合概率密度函数和目标存活概率函数,建立了基于目标速度分布的搜索方程并给出了其特征迹线解。在目标初始分布和速度分布均为圆正态分布条件下,分析了搜索方程特征迹线的基本特征和持续探测发现概率积分域的形态。给出了一个以直升机吊放声纳探测潜艇为背景的持续探测发现概率的算例,算例表明,对随机恒速运动目标持续探测的发现概率,与对静止目标进行持续探测的发现概率相似,服从时间的指数规律。     

基于P3HT空穴传输层的碳基无机CsPbIBr2钙钛矿太阳电池

钙钛矿太阳电池是近年来快速兴起的第三代太阳电池,其中热稳定性优异、成本低、带隙超过2.0 eV的CsPbIBr_2无机钙钛矿太阳电池效率已经突破11%,应用前景广阔。目前,大部分研究都集中在无空穴传输层的碳基CsPbIBr_2钙钛矿太阳电池,较低的开路电压和填充因子是限制效率提升的主要原因。本文将溶液法制备的3-己基聚噻吩(P3HT)空穴传输层应用于CsPbIBr_2钙钛矿太阳电池,提高了内建电势,改善了载流子输运,减少了载流子复合,实现了电池开路电压、填充因子的改善和能量转换效率的提升,丰富了CsPbIBr_2钙钛矿太阳电池的载流子输运机理和效率提升途径,具有一定的推广意义。     

Advances in Researches on the Middle and Upper Atmosphere in 2008-2010

This paper summarizes the results of the researches on the middle and upper atmosphere obtained by Chinese scientists in 2008-2010. The focuses are specifically placed on the researches being associated with ground-based observation capability development, dynamical processes, the property of atmospheric circulation and the chemistry-climate coupling of the middle atmospheric layers.     

五自由度气浮仿真试验台的动力学建模

五自由度气浮仿真试验台是在地面模拟微小卫星空间运动的一种重要仿真设备。通过分 析试验台的系统结构,定义世界系、轨道系及本体系三个坐标系,建立了其所模拟微小卫星 空间运动的一般情况下轨道动力学和姿态动力学模型,最后根据试验台目前执行机构为冷气 推进装置的实际工作情况导出了试验台状态方程,为下一步试验台模拟微小卫星的自治飞行 提供了理论基础。
     

大型伞绳帆和抽打现象连续模型及验证

文章主要推导了可用于描述大型降落伞绳帆和抽打现象的一般绳索三维动力学连续模型,及弦坐标系下可用于求解绳帆现象的两点边值问题(BVP)模型,并采用某型号大型降落伞的空投录像和杆件算例对模型进行验证对比,说明了模型的正确性,采用这一连续模型能够更直观地对大型伞的绳帆和抽打现象进行定性和定量分析。