HP40奥氏体耐热钢炉管长期高温时效的安全性分析

为判别炉管的损伤程度和运行安全性,本文对运行了约46 000 h的苯乙烯生产加热炉炉管,在大修期间进行了宏观检查、氧化物的XRD(X-ray d iffraction)分析、管径测量、超声波测厚、硬度试验、金相组织分析及炉管的危险点计算分析等。实验结果表明:炉管表面发生了高温氧化以及碳化腐蚀,炉管壁厚明显减薄。与新管相比硬度也明显下降,显微组织明显退化,骨架状共晶碳化物形态消失,一次碳化物和从奥氏体晶内析出的二次碳化物明显粗化,且析出少量块状σ相。并在此基础上对炉管的剩余使用寿命作了估算。     

基于BLUE的多窗口谱估计

文章提出了一种基于BLUE的多窗口功率谱估计算法。该算法是在无偏估计的约束条件下，使其方差最小化而得到的特征谱的最佳线性组合。通过仿真实例分析得到，与自适应的MTM相比，该算法的计算量大大减小了。由于正弦窗具有解析的表达式，不需要进行特征值分解，并且有良好的统计性能，因此，使用正弦窗的MTM可以进一步降低计算量并改善估计性能。     

最大熵谱估计及其在电子战中的应用

介绍了最大熵谱估计的原理，与快速傅里叶变换相比，它有低的旁瓣和高的分辩力。同时讨论了在电子战方面的应用。     

一种基于协方差矩阵重构的相干信源DOA估计算法

针对空间相干信源的波达方向估计问题,提出了一种基于协方差矩阵重构的TSVD-ESPRIT算法。它利用包含所有信源信息的特征向量构造Toeplitz协方差矩阵,避免了阵列有效孔径的损失,分辨率高且稳定性好;并且利用ESPRIT算法代替MUSIC算法进行DOA估计,避免了谱峰搜索,大大降低了计算量。数据仿真和分析证明了该算法的正确性和有效性。     

Evaluation of Characteristics of Non-Metallic Inclusions in P/M Ni-Base Superalloy by Automatic Image Analysis

Non-metallic inclusions,especially the large ones,within P/M Ni-base superalloy have a major influence on fatigue characteristics,but are not directly measurable by routine inspection.In this paper,a method,automatic image analysis,is proposed for estimation of the content,size and amount of non-metallic inclusions in superalloy.The methodology for the practical application of this method is described and the factors affecting the precision of the estimation are discussed.In the experiment,the characteristics of the non-metallic inclusions in Ni-base P/M superalloy are analyzed.     

Navigation Accuracy Category-Position Models and Estimate Position Uncertainty Calculations for TIS-B System

Navigation accuracy category-position (NACp) is an important parameter for system accuracy of traffic information service-broadcast (TIS-B), which is determined by estimate position uncertainty (EPU). Centered about the problems that the existing EPU calculation based on noise measurement is low in accuracy and unfit for describing uncorrected biases in target reports, this article analyses the traditional NACp model, and uses the least square estimation (LSE) in EPU calculation. Furthermore, it proposes an extended NACp model, which considers both noise and biases and acquires EPU estimation with the help of approximate multiplex Taylor expression. Analysis and simulation show that the proposed method not only leads to significant improvement of the accuracy of EPU calculation, but is fit for EPU calculation with tracking biases in TIS-B system as well. As such it can find application in practice to depict different kinds of error models in TIS-B system.     

伽玛分布环境因子估计

研究了二参数伽玛分布环境因子的估计。根据伽玛分布的特点,指数分布环境因子的定义,并考虑数据折算的方便,给出了伽玛分布环境因子的定义。根据此定义,用经典方法、贝叶斯方法和Fiducial 方法推证了环境因子的上、下限,并给出了一些近似式。     

机载设备外场数据的可靠性增长分析

对我国航空机载设备外场数据的性质进行分析后,提出该种数据是变动母体混合数据,不同于通常用于可靠性估计的不变母体数据。提出外场数据中含有可靠性增长信息。 为利用外场数据来分析和评估航空机载设备的可靠性增长和可靠性状态,提出一个数学模型。模型的基本原理是最小二乘法。为说明模型的使用提供了一个实例。     

Assessment of the consequences of the Fengyun-1C breakup in low Earth orbit

On 11 January 2007, the People’s Republic of China conducted a successful anti-satellite test against one of their defunct polar-orbiting weather satellites. The target satellite, called Fengyun-1C, had a mass of 880 kg and was orbiting at an altitude of about 863 km when the collision occurred. Struck by a direct-ascent interceptor at a speed of 9.36 km/s, the satellite disintegrated, spreading the cataloged fragments between 200 and 4000 km, with the highest concentration near the breakup height. By the end of April 2008, 2377 pieces of debris, including the original payload remnant, had officially been cataloged by the US Space Surveillance Network. Of these, nearly 1% had reentered the Earth’s atmosphere. This deliberate act is the largest debris-generating event on record, and its consequences will adversely affect circumterrestrial space for many years.