产生式系统描述的探讨

产生式系统是人工智能（Artificial Intelligence)系统最常见的一种结构，因此分析产生式系统的组成部分及其建立问题是一个很基本的问题，而本文就如何描述产生式系统给出一般的方法。     

国外先进无损检测技术的发展及应用

介绍了国外先进的无损检测技术的发展和应用现状,概述了定量无损检测技术（ＱＮＤＥ）在生产阶段、使用阶段和使用寿命评估中的作用。并介绍了应用ＮＤＥ技术的材料的智能处理技术和人工智能技术。     

Strong geomagnetic activity forecast by neural networks under dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field

The paper deals with the relation of the southern orientation of the north–south component _Bz$B_z$ of the interplanetary magnetic field to geomagnetic activity (GA) and subsequently a method is suggested of using the found facts to forecast potentially dangerous high GA. We have found that on a day with very high GA hourly averages of _Bz$B_z$ with a negative sign occur at least 16 times in typical cases. Since it is very difficult to estimate the orientation of _Bz$B_z$ in the immediate vicinity of the Earth one day or even a few days in advance, we have suggested using a neural-network model, which assumes the worse of the possibilities to forecast the danger of high GA – the dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field. The input quantities of the proposed model were information about X-ray flares, type II and IV radio bursts as well as information about coronal mass ejections (CME). In comparing the GA forecasts with observations, we obtain values of the Hanssen–Kuiper skill score ranging from 0.463 to 0.727, which are usual values for similar forecasts of space weather. The proposed model provides forecasts of potentially dangerous high geomagnetic activity should the interplanetary CME (ICME), the originator of geomagnetic storms, hit the Earth under the most unfavorable configuration of cosmic magnetic fields. We cannot know in advance whether the unfavorable configuration is going to occur or not; we just know that it will occur with the probability of 31%.     

卫星轨道变化规律的综合分析

对于航天工程而言,无论是航天器的发射,卫星轨道设计,地面测控系统的跟踪、定轨和预报．还是卫星在轨运行过程中的轨道控制策略等,均需了解卫星轨道变化的规律。为此,本文对人造卫星(包括中心天体为快自转天体和慢自转天体两种引力源的绕飞轨道器)的轨道变化特征以及轨道寿命进行系统的综合分析。为各种应用提供简明信息。     

航天器避障交会有限时间滑模控制

针对航天器安全交会过程中的避障问题,提出一种基于有限时间滑模变结构控制与人工势函数相结合的控制方法。首先,对斥力势进行修正使得势函数在期望状态的值为零。其次,基于速度偏差和引力梯度设计滑模面,并考虑障碍物的速度设计控制律。利用Lyapunov稳定性定理分析证明在存在外部干扰情况下,系统能够在有限时间内收敛到期望状态并保持渐近稳定。最后,利用数值仿真来验证所设计的控制律的正确性和有效性。仿真结果表明,该方法能够有效实现规避动态障碍物,满足安全交会的要求。     

智能赋能流体力学展望

人工智能（AI）是21世纪的前沿科技,流体力学如何在智能化时代焕发青春是值得本领域研究者思考的话题。从智能赋能流体力学角度,就其研究内涵、研究内容、近期研究及难点进行了总结,并对智能流体力学未来的发展进行了展望。研究指出,流体力学计算或试验中所产生的数据是天生的大数据,如何通过深度神经网络、随机森林、强化学习等机器学习方法来利用这些数据,缓解甚至替代理论和方法层面对人脑的依赖,挖掘新的知识,成为一种新的研究范式;相关研究将涵盖流动控制方程的机器学习、湍流模型的机器学习、物理量纲分析与标度的智能化以及数值模拟方法的智能化;借助人工智能技术,发展流动信息特征提取与多源数据融合的智能化是流体力学发展的迫切需求;研究内容应至少涵盖海量数据挖掘方法以及多源气动数据的智能融合;发展数据驱动的流体力学多学科、多物理场耦合建模与控制是工程应用的迫切需求,相关工作涉及多场耦合建模、气动外形智能优化设计以及流动智能自适应控制等方面。     

The possibilities of polar meteorology,environmental remote sensing,communications and space weather applications from Artificial Lagrange Orbit

The ability to observe meteorological events in the polar regions of the Earth from satellite celebrated an anniversary, with the launch of TIROS-I in a pseudo-polar orbit on 1 April 1960. Yet, after 50 years, polar orbiting satellites are still the best view of the polar regions of the Earth. The luxuries of geostationary satellite orbit including rapid scan operations, feature tracking, and atmospheric motion vectors (or cloud drift winds), are enjoyed only by the middle and tropical latitudes or perhaps only cover the deep polar regions in the case of satellite derived winds from polar orbit. The prospect of a solar sailing satellite system in an Artificial Lagrange Orbit (ALO, also known as “pole sitters”) offers the opportunity for polar environmental remote sensing, communications, forecasting and space weather monitoring. While there are other orbital possibilities to achieve this goal, an ALO satellite system offers one of the best analogs to the geostationary satellite system for routine polar latitude observations.     

基于时空结构的卫星智能诊断模型研究

针对卫星这类复杂系统的故障诊断,提出了基于时空结构的智能故障诊断系统模型(iFDS),从系统结构,结构模型,推理机制、流程模型等方面进行论述,通过对各种故障诊断方法进行融合,实现了卫星系统网络化、个性化、远程并行诊断的智能故障诊断.在故障推理机制研究中,将故障分为系统故障、多发故障和单元故障3类,分别对每一类故障提出相应的智能故障推理方法.     

基于进化神经网络的组合导航系统滤波算法研究

组合导航系统中,卡尔曼滤波算法的估计特性依赖于精确的系统模型和准确的外观测数据.任何一个条件不满足将导致滤波精度下降甚至发散.为此,本文引入进化神经网络和自适应卡尔曼滤波技术.仿真结果证明,文中所提算法能够有效克服常规卡尔曼滤波的缺点,并保持较高的精度.     

空间拦截智能自适应变结构导引规律研究

结合空间拦截的精确末制导问题，本文介绍了一种对目标机动和参数摄动具有鲁棒性的自适应结构制导律（ＡＶＳＧ）。在此基础上，我们研究了一种智能自适应变结构制方法（ＩＡＶＳＧ）。此方法精略地估计出目标法向加速度的强度，并以此为依据自主地调整ＡＶＳＧ中变结构项的强度，这样，既可以消除视线角速度的抖动，又可以保证制导精度，仿真结果证明了ＩＡＶＳＧ的有效性。