Failure behavior analysis of phased-mission systems considering functional and physical isolation effects

Phased-Mission Systems(PMS) are widely applied in aerospace, telecommunication and intelligent systems for multiple, consecutive and non-overlapping phases of missions. The phasedependent stresses and system structure cause some difficulties to the reliability analysis of PMSs.In this paper, we analyze the physical isolation effects on the degradation speeds and across-phase damage accumulations of failure mechanisms. And, some corresponding reliability and unreliability formulas are derived. Be...     

月球着陆器两相流体回路性能衰退分析与验证

针对嫦娥三号着陆器两相流体回路12个月球昼夜的寿命需求,开展了氨分解导致两相流体回路传热温差增量的分析和试验验证,结果表明寿命末期不凝气体引起传热温差增量不超过2.2 ℃,同位素核热源(RHU)向探测器的供热量减小0.6 W,设备温度整体降低0.6 ℃,对热控系统影响可忽略。根据在轨遥测,寿命周期内,两相流体回路工作在45 ℃~50 ℃时不凝气体引起的传热温差增量不超过1.5 ℃,与地面验证结果吻合较好;经历52个月球昼夜周期内,传热温差在3.5 ℃~4.7 ℃内波动,在轨工作良好。     

基于故障机理和伪失效寿命的 电子产品剩余寿命预测

针对传统电子产品可靠性评估中存在的不足,提出了一种基于故障机理和伪失效寿命的电子产品剩余寿命预测方法。首先,基于电子产品的故障模式、故障机理分析,确定产品敏感性能参数;然后,对敏感参数退化量进行监测,建立电子产品退化轨迹模型,利用最大似然法估计其参数;最后,根据电子产品退化轨迹,设定故障阈值,得到电子产品寿命分布。通过仿真表明,该方法评估精度较高,对电子产品的可靠性评估有一定的参考价值。     

Acceptance sampling plan of accelerated life testing for lognormal distribution under time-censoring

Lognormal distribution is commonly used in engineering.It is also a life distribution of important research values.For long-life products follow this distribution,it is necessary to apply accelerated testing techniques to product demonstration.This paper describes the development of accelerated life testing sampling plans(ALSPs)for lognormal distribution under time-censoring conditions.ALSPs take both producer and consumer risks into account,and they can be designed to work whether acceleration factor(AF)is known or unknown.When AF is known,life testing is assumed to be conducted under accelerated conditions with time-censoring.The producer and consumer risks are satisfied,and the size of test sample and the size of acceptance number are optimized.Then sensitivity analyses are conducted.When AF is unknown,two or more predetermined levels of accelerated stress are used.The sample sizes and sample proportion allocated to each stress level are optimized.The acceptance constant that satisfies producer and consumer risk is obtained by minimizing the generalized asymptotic variance of the test statistics.Finally,the properties of the two ALSPs(one for known-AF conditions and one for unknownAF conditions)are investigated to show that the proposed method is correct and usable through numerical examples.     

原始疲劳质量评定和裂纹扩展方法研究

在对带有一个铆接孔的试件进行试验研究的基础上,利用性能退化失效曲线,提出了一种新的初始疲劳质量和裂纹扩展速率的确定方法。根据试验结果和理论推导,建立了裂纹扩展长度与加载循环次数的函数关系。在此基础上,估算了EIFS值,并用指数函数拟合方法估计了疲劳裂纹扩展速率。最后通过对临界裂纹尺寸的理论计算验证了新方法的可行性和有效性。     

Modeling of reliability and performance assessment of a dissimilar redundancy actuation system with failure monitoring

Actuation system is a vital system in an aircraft, providing the force necessary to move flight control surfaces. The system has a significant influence on the overall aircraft performance and its safety. In order to further increase already high reliability and safety, Airbus has imple-mented a dissimilar redundancy actuation system (DRAS) in its aircraft. The DRAS consists of a hydraulic actuation system (HAS) and an electro-hydrostatic actuation system (EHAS), in which the HAS utilizes a hydraulic source (HS) to move the control surface and the EHAS utilizes an elec-trical supply (ES) to provide the motion force. This paper focuses on the performance degradation processes and fault monitoring strategies of the DRAS, establishes its reliability model based on the generalized stochastic Petri nets (GSPN), and carries out a reliability assessment considering the fault monitoring coverage rate and the false alarm rate. The results indicate that the proposed reli-ability model of the DRAS, considering the fault monitoring, can express its fault logical relation and redundancy degradation process and identify potential safety hazards.     

基于性能退化数据的可靠性建模分析

针对传统可靠性评估方法难以解决高可靠度、长寿命产品的可靠性评估问题,本文在使用失效时间数据的基础上,提出了使用产品的性能退化数据的方法。在很多情况下,退化过程中的性能退化数据比失效时间数据更有价值。文章介绍了退化数据的优点,提出了对产品退化的一般轨迹模型;针对高可靠度的产品提出了基于退化轨迹和退化量分布的两种评估方法,并用实例分别对两种评估方法进行展开应用,验证了方法的有效性。     

基于退化量分布的可靠性建模方法

基于退化量分布的可靠性建模方法为长寿命、高可靠性产品的可靠性评估提供了一种有效手段,尤其适用于产品个体间的退化轨迹相差较大的情况。为了提高关于退化量分布族和分布族参数假定的可信度,提出了通过拟合优度检验选择退化量分布族以及通过数据拟合确定分布族参数的方法。以某金属产品的裂纹退化数据为例,详细阐述了所提出方法的具体应用步骤,研究结果证明这种处理方法具有较高的准确度和可信度。     

涡喷发动机高空台与地面台试车可靠性数据综合

研究了涡喷发动机在高空台与地面台试车时的加速系数，其前提条件是发动机故障机理不变的条件假设成立，当此假设检验通过后，就可给出加速系数的点估计。据此，将高空台条件下试验的故障数据与地面台条件下试验故障数据互相折算，转换成综合故障数据，从而得出涡喷发动机在地面(或高空)台试验条件下的可靠性测度。最后用数值例说明了这种方法。     

PN-PAA、MPN-PAA共混树脂热固化过程和热分解过程的研究

借助凝胶时间、DSC和TGA等测试研究了PN-PAA和MPN-PAA共混树脂的热固化过程和热分解过程。凝胶时间(140℃)结果表明共混树脂的交联反应速率比PAA明显趋缓;PN-PAA(1∶1)、MPN-PAA(1∶1)共混树脂的固化温度比PAA提高约50℃;K issinger公式和Crane公式计算表明共混树脂比PAA树脂具有更大的热固化反应活化能,但具有基本相同的反应级数;TGA结果表明共混树脂固化物具有很好的热稳定性,其起始热分解温度接近400℃。采用Coats-Redfern方程分析、解释了树脂热分解过程的表观动力学。与PAA树脂比较,共混树脂固化工艺性有较大改善,并具有较好的耐热性,有望用作高温防热复合材料的基体。