High temporal resolution global PWV dataset of 2005–2016 by using a neural network approach to determine the mean temperature of the atmosphere

Atmospheric water vapour plays an important role in phenomena related to the global hydrologic cycle and climate change. However, the rapid temporal–spatial variation in global tropospheric water vapour has not been well investigated due to a lack of long-term, high-temporal-resolution precipitable water vapour (PWV). Accordingly, this study generates an hourly PWV dataset for 272 ground-based International Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Service (IGS) stations over the period of 2005–2016 using the zenith troposphere delay (ZTD) derived from global-scale GNSS observation. The root mean square (RMS) of the hourly ZTD obtained from the IGS tropospheric product is approximately 4 mm. A fifth-generation reanalysis dataset of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF ERA5) is used to obtain hourly surface temperature (T) and pressure (P), which are first validated with GNSS synoptic station data and radiosonde data, respectively. Then, T and P are used to calculate the water vapour-weighted atmospheric mean temperature (Tm) and zenith hydrostatic delay (ZHD), respectively. T and P at the GNSS stations are obtained via an interpolation in the horizontal and vertical directions using the grid-based ERA5 reanalysis dataset. Here, Tm is calculated using a neural network model, whereas ZHD is obtained using an empirical Saastamoinen model. The RMS values of T and P at the collocated 693 radiosonde stations are 1.6 K and 3.1 hPa, respectively. Therefore, the theoretical error of PWV caused by the errors in ZTD, T and P is on the order of approximately 2.1 mm. A practical comparison experiment is performed using 97 collocated radiosonde stations and 23 GNSS stations equipped with meteorological sensors. The RMS and bias of the hourly PWV dataset are 2.87/?0.16 and 2.45/0.55 mm, respectively, when compared with radiosonde and GNSS stations equipped with meteorological sensors. Additionally, preliminary analysis of the hourly PWV dataset during the EI Niño event of 2014–2016 further indicates the capability of monitoring the daily changes in atmospheric water vapour. This finding is interesting and significant for further climate research.     

数理统计方法在部件故障控制中的应用研究

机载部件的可靠性直接影响航空器的安全运行。本文通过对机载部件使用寿命的统计和失效分析,对部件的故障提出了有效的控制方法,并举例说明了此方法在维护中的使用。     

Aircraft nonlinear stability analysis and multidimensional stability region estimation under icing conditions

Icing is one of the crucial factors that could pose great threat to flight safety,and thus research on stability and stability region of aircraft safety under icing conditions is significant for control and flight.Nonlinear dynamical equations and models of aerodynamic coefficients of an air craft are set up in this paper to study the stability and stability region of the aircraft under an icing condition.Firstly,the equilibrium points of the iced aircraft system are calculated and analyzed based on the theory of differential equation stability.Secondly,according to the correlation theory about equilibrium points and the stability region,this paper estimates the multidimensional stability region of the aircraft,based on which the stability regions before and after icing are compared.Finally,the results are confirmed by the time history analysis.The results can give a reference for stability analysis and envelope protection of the nonlinear system of an iced aircraft.     

基于ALE法的水陆两栖飞机船体着水性能分析

水陆两栖飞机的着水性能是体现其综合性能的重要因素之一.应用ALE法对三种水陆两栖飞机船体截面进行入水仿真计算,从着水载荷、喷溅性能及运动响应三个方面对着水性能进行综合评估.对比分析了直线型、带舭弯弧形、复合型三种构型截面在不同速度、不同重量下的压力分布、喷溅性能以及运动响应,得到了三种截面横向压力分布规律.计算结果显示相同状态下,喷溅性能复合型优于带舭弯弧形、带舭弯弧形优于直线型;过载复合型远大于带舭弯弧形,带舭弯弧形稍大于直线型,综合看来带舭弯弧形截面着水性能最佳.     

军用飞机型号研制试飞费用估算研究

在借鉴国外经验的基础上,对国内军用飞机型号研制试飞费用的构成进行了研究,提出基于兰德DAPCA IV模型的军用飞机型号研制试飞费用估算模型,为试飞费用的估算提供了依据。     

维修方案项目优化的可靠性分析方法

通过可靠性管理对民用航空器维修方案的动态监控,实施对维修方案项目执行情况的跟踪和可靠性分析,以机队实际运行数据为背景,提出对维修方案项目管理系统性的优化和管理方法,以使航空公司的维修方案更加符合机队的实际使用和维护特点,进一步提高机队的运行效率、降低维修成本和提高航班准点率。     

基于计划到达时刻的四维航迹规划

为了加速空管自动化与智能化技术的应用与实施,提出了水平航迹与高度/速度剖面分阶段设计的四维航迹规划方法。基于动态时间规整与层次聚类方法实现历史雷达航迹聚类分析,完成水平航迹设计。建立速度剖面规划模型,通过航迹生成器与速度调整器交互协作,精细化控制进场时间,以满足计划到达时间要求。以上海浦东国际机场PINOT进场航班为例实施验证,结果表明,四维航迹规划方法可有效实现航班的计划到达时间,从而减少航班延误,提高终端空域运行效率。     

飞机大部件自动对接同步调姿方法

提出了飞机大部件自动对接同步调姿方法,实现了大部件调姿基准点的连续自动跟踪测量和位姿连续调整.在此基础上开发了集测量场构建、大部件位姿解算和调整等功能于一体的大部件自动对接集成控制软件,并在ARJ21飞机翼身自动对接现场进行了应用试验,结果证明该方法能有效完成飞机翼身自动对接过程,提高测量和对接效率.     

基于幂函数模型的民机结构腐蚀扩展寿命评定方法研究

基于飞机结构腐蚀清除后测量获取的腐蚀深度,提出了飞机结构腐蚀扩展寿命的幂函数动态预测模型以及模型参数定义方法,确定了腐蚀条件下的飞机结构腐蚀扩展寿命评定指标,建立了基于运营状态下飞机结构腐蚀信息更新的民用飞机结构腐蚀扩展寿命评定方法。     

基于模型的系统工程概述

由于航空领域涉及的系统日益高度复杂,为更好推进基于模型的系统工程(Model Based System Engineering,MBSE)研发体系,通过从当前遇到的问题、推行基于模型的系统工程的必要性、优势、未来的挑战等方面进行了较为详细地阐述.基于模型的系统工程研发体系具有知识表示的无二义、系统设计的一体化、沟通交流的高效率等优势,是未来发展的大趋势.