西藏农牧民贷款意愿及制约因素——基于2013年入户调查

依据课题组2013年对林芝地区402户农牧民的调查数据,对西藏农牧民贷款意愿与制约因素进行分析,揭示现阶段西藏农牧区居民贷款意愿与影响因素的基本事实。研究结果表明:农牧民已经认识到信贷对家庭经济的促进作用,农牧民贷款意愿较高;西藏涉农贷款门槛有所降低,但正式金融机构手续繁杂、利率高、贷款额度小等因素仍是农牧民正式金融借贷中由"想贷"到"用贷"的关键;农牧民短期、小额借贷活动更倾向于邻里、亲友间的非正式金融借贷;家庭现金收入少,农牧民家庭负担也进一步限制了农牧民的借贷行为。     

Low-latitude storm time ionospheric predictions using support vector machines

The electromagnetic drift plays an important role in low-latitude storm time ionospheric dynamics. In this study we attempt to utilize the electric field data into ionospheric predictions by using support vector machine (SVM), a promising algorithm for small-sample nonlinear regressions. Taking the disturbance electric field data as input, different SVMs have been trained for three seasonal bins at two stations near the north crest of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA). Eighteen storm events are used to check out their predicting abilities. The results show fairly good agreement between the predictions and observations. Compared with STORM, a widely used empirical correlation model, the SVM method brings a relative improvement of 23% for these testing events. Based on this study we argue that the SVM method can improve the storm time ionospheric predictions.     

平面近场测试中误差的分析

首先介绍了暗室中主要的误差项,然后通过实际测试的方式,分析了其中四项误差对超低副瓣天线-50dB副瓣的不确定度.结果对超低副瓣天线副瓣的误差分析有一定的参考意义,有助于天线设计师了解超低副瓣天线测试中误差项对副瓣的影响量级.     

Evaluation and improvement of coastal GNSS reflectometry sea level variations from existing GNSS stations in Taiwan

Global sea level rise due to an increasingly warmer climate has begun to induce hazards, adversely affecting the lives and properties of people residing in low-lying coastal regions and islands. Therefore, it is important to monitor and understand variations in coastal sea level covering offshore regions. Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) data of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) have been successfully used to robustly derive sea level heights (SLHs). In Taiwan, there are a number of continuously operating GNSS stations, not originally installed for sea level monitoring. They were established in harbors or near coastal regions for monitoring land motion. This study utilizes existing SNR data from three GNSS stations (Kaohsiung, Suao, and TaiCOAST) in Taiwan to compute SLHs with two methods, namely, Lomb–Scargle Periodogram (LSP)-only, and LSP aided with tidal harmonic analysis developed in this study. The results of both methods are compared with co-located or nearby tide gauge records. Due to the poor quality of SNR data, the worst accuracy of SLHs derived from traditional LSP-only method exceeds 1?m at the TaiCOAST station. With our procedure, the standard deviations (STDs) of difference between GNSS-derived SLHs and tide gauge records in Kaohsiung and Suao stations decreased to 10?cm and the results show excellent agreement with tide gauge derived relative sea level records, with STD of differences of 7?cm and correlation coefficient of 0.96. In addition, the absolute GNSS-R sea level trend in Kaohsiung during 2006–2011 agrees well with that derived from satellite altimetry. We conclude that the coastal GNSS stations in Taiwan have the potential of monitoring absolute coastal sea level change accurately when our proposed methodology is used.     

Drag Reducing and Increasing Mechanism on Triangular Riblet Surface

Drag reducing and increasing mechanism on riblet surface has been studied through computational fluid dynamics(CFD).Drag reduction is achieved through the optimization of riblet geometry which would affect flow structure inside riblet grooves.Force and flow structure on riblet surface are analyzed and compared with those of smooth surface based on the k-εturbulence model.Drag reducing and increasing mechanism is proved to be related to microvortexes induced inside riblets which lead to Reynolds shear stress reduction significantly and is considered to be the dominant factor resulting in wall friction reduction.Simulation results also show that the pressure drag generating from the deviation of static pressure on the front and rear ends of riblets occurs and grows exponentially with Mach number,which can cause drag increasing.Furthermore,near-wall vortical structures,Reynolds shear stress and static pressure on riblet surfaces are also analyzed in detail.     

在实时嵌入式环境下利用电子盘实现大容量数据记录的软件设计研究

嵌入式环境和实时操作系统目前广泛应用于航空领域。本文在介绍嵌入式系统的基础上,重点对实时多任务环境下大容量数据记录的实现方式进行了研究和利用,最后展望了电子盘实时多任务系统中记录大容量数据的前景。     

An Improved Nonlinear Dynamic Inversion Method for Altitude and Attitude Control of Nano Quad-Rotors under Persistent Uncertainties

Nonlinear dynamic inversion(NDI)has been applied to the control law design of quad-rotors mainly thanks to its good robustness and simplicity of parameter tuning.However,the weakness of relying on accurate model greatly restrains its application on quad-rotors,especially nano quad-rotors(NQRs).NQRs are easy to be influenced by uncertainties such as model uncertainties(mainly from complicated aerodynamic interferences,strong coupling in roll-pitch-yaw channels and inaccurate aerodynamic prediction of rotors)and external uncertainties(mainly from winds or gusts),particularly persistent ones.Therefore,developing accurate model for altitude and attitude control of NQRs is difficult.To solve this problem,in this paper,an improved nonlinear dynamic inversion(INDI)method is developed,which can reject the above-mentioned uncertainties by estimating them and then counteracting in real time using linear extended state observer(LESO).Comparison with the traditional NDI(TNDI)method was carried out numerically,and the results show that,in coping with persistent uncertainties,the INDI-based method presents significant superiority.     

飞行员疲劳监测中的人眼定位及状态判别研究

飞行员驾驶疲劳是影响飞行安全的重要因素之一。常用基于人眼识别的方法对飞行员进行疲劳监测，其关键是人眼定位及状态判别。利用改进的平均合成滤波器算法定位人眼，根据模糊综合评价思想，判定人眼睁开闭合状态，根据PERCLOS疲劳检测方法对飞行员进行疲劳监测。实验表明，改进的人眼定位方法具有更高的精确度和鲁棒性，提出的人眼状态判定方法能够满足疲劳监测需要。为最终构建一种机载的、实时的、非接触式的飞行员疲劳监测系统提供了理论基础。     

ENERGY-SAVING MATCHING STRATEGY AND EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF PUMPING SYSTEM FOR TRUCK-MOUNTED CONCRETE PUMP

Aiming at the high fuel consumption and use-cost of truck-mounted concrete pump , an energy-saving matching strategy of pumping system is presented and the experimental study is conducted.Since pumping system occupies most resources of engine , the matching strategy between engine and main pump is analyzed to meet the load demand and reduce the engine rational speed drop.The testing method is established to measure the fuel consumption of engine under various working conditions , and the experimental data are analyzed to find the law of the fuel consumption of engine.The system performance can be improved by adjusting the system input value.Finally , the energy-saving matching strategy is established to reduce the fuel consumption of truck for unit workload , which provides a new approach for the energy-saving of truck-mounted concrete pump.     

基于飞行试验数据的双转子航空发动机 加减速瞬态模型辨识

为辨识航空发动机飞行过程中加减速瞬态模型,通过对某型航空发动机慢车至中间以及中间至慢车过程的飞行试验数据进行分析整理,将发动机上述加、减速过程简化为静态参数预测过程,利用3层前向人工神经网络,建立了某型发动机加、减速瞬态过程中的发动机关键参数预测模型,对发动机参数预测模型预测结果与飞行试验记录数据进行了对比分析,同时利用额外的飞行试验数据验证了辨识模型的泛化能力.结果表明:辨识得到的发动机模型在油门杆稳定时参数预测相对误差不超过3％,在油门杆动作期间参数预测相对误差不超过5％;验证点上辨识模型参数预测误差不超过3％.证明该型发动机参数预测模型可以很好地预测发动机瞬态过程中的参数变化情况.该方法为建立发动机其他状态的加、减速过程参数变化模型奠定了基础,也能为建立全包线范围内发动机瞬态参数预测模型提供参考.