Executive Moves of CASC

On April 15,2013,the central committee of CPC and the State Council of China decided to establish a Board of Executives for China Aerospace Science and Technology(CASC)and Mr.Xu Dazhe was appointed Chairman of CASC     

一种快速的飞行器布局方案优选方法

本文引用系统模糊优选理论与基于数理统计正交表的设计法相结合来处理飞行器布局方案优选问题，并举例说明具体用法，文中方法对整个飞行器方案选择有一定参考价值。     

平板撞击中应变波沿板面的传播

文中计算了铝板受撞击杆未穿透撞击时弹塑性应变波沿板面的传播，并与实验结果相验证。结果表明，板不太厚时，计入膜力和剪切的板弯曲理论和三维分析的结果都与实验结果相符合。为模拟杆的撞击计算时取其直接被撞部分的板具有击杆的速度和动量，其余部分为静止。板内剪切、弯曲和中面变形三者的弹塑性本构关系可以假定为不相耦合。实验中，用气炮射击铝杆，击中板后，用应变片，动态应变记录仪记录板面不同位置的应变历程。     

Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC

Solar activity prediction services started in 1960’s in National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC). As one of the members of the International Space Environment Service (ISES), Regional Warning Center of China (RWC-China) was set up in 1990’s. Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC), as one of the four sub-centers of RWC-China, is located in NAOC. Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC cover short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecast of solar activities. Nowadays, certain prediction models, such as solar X-ray flare model, solar proton event model, solar 10 cm radio flux model, have been established for the practical prediction services. Recently, more and more physical analyses are introduced in the studies of solar activity prediction, such as the magnetic properties of solar active regions and magnetic structure of solar atmosphere. Besides traditional statistics algorithms, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence techniques, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, are employed in the establishment of forecast models. A Web-based integrated platform for solar activity data sharing and forecast distribution is under construction.     

Passive target tracking using maximum likelihood estimation

Estimation of target trajectory from passive sonar bearings and frequency measurements in the presence of multivariate normally distributed noise, with unknown inhomogeneous general covariance, is modeled as a nonlinear multiresponse parameter estimation problem. It is shown that maximum likelihood estimation in this case is identical to optimizing a determinant criterion which has a concise form and contains no elements of unknown covariance matrix. A Gauss-Newton type algorithm using only the first-order derivatives of the model function and a new convergence criterion, is presented to implement such estimation. The simulation results demonstrate that performance of the maximum likelihood estimation method with the above noise model is superior to that with the traditional noise assumption     

三角带失效概率模型

通过失效物理分析，考虑了挠性传动件-三角带的受力和变形．剖析了其失效形式．根据其特殊的失效物理背景推导了数学模型，提出宜采用最弱环模型，大样本试验证实了上述分析。     

基于DSM的型号研制项目过程建模

通过分析型号研制项目活动之间的关系,建立了基于DSM的型号研制项目过程结构化模型,给出了具体实现项目过程的DSM方法,包括活动分解、耦合活动集的识别和耦合活动集的解耦方法,实现了型号研制项目过程的优化重组,最后,通过一个实例说明了该建模方法的实用性和有效性.     

模具约束条件对H96黄铜双脊矩形管E弯截面变形的影响

 双脊矩形管的绕弯成形受内外侧模具的共同约束,不同模具约束下管坯的受力不同,使得其截面变形情况也不相同,而截面变形严重地影响弯管件的成形质量和使用性能。因此,基于ABAQUS有限元平台建立了双脊矩形管E弯成形三维有限元模型,并通过实验验证了模型的可靠性。采用所建模型,研究了内外侧模具约束条件对双脊矩形管E弯截面变形的影响规律,发现当只有内腹板脊槽受约束时,内腹板脊槽的内缩变形可得到较好的控制,而其他部位的变形则有增大的趋势;当只有外腹板脊槽受约束时,内腹板脊槽宽度变形基本不发生变化,而其他部位的变形则有减小的趋势;当内外腹板脊槽均受约束时,可较好地控制双脊矩形管E弯过程中的截面变形。芯头个数对整管截面高度、宽度、外腹板脊槽宽度与两脊槽底部的间距的变形影响较大,但对内腹板脊槽宽度的变形影响不显著。     

一种研究圆柱度目标函数单谷性的新方法

提出了一种研究圆柱目标函数单谷性的新方法，圆柱度目标函数单谷性的问题目前研究得还少，而弄清楚圆柱度目标函数是否是单谷函数对于用优化原理正确地计算其极值是非常重要的。     

Flight Record Of Long March Series Of Launch Vehicles

The world has been shocked and saddened by news of the earthquake in Sichuan Province on May 12,2008.After Wenchuan was hit by a 8.0 Richter scale earthquake,the Xi'an Satellite Control Centre (XSCC) immediately initiated an emergency response program to ensure that 15 Chinese satellites in space could provide proper support for the rescue and relief operations in the quake-stricken Sichuan Province in the southwest.