The observational data base on the motion and evolution of comets and asteroids

Current observational data base on the motion of comets and asteroids is reviewed. Particular attention is paid to the absolute and relative abundances of different dynamical types of objects, and to the time intervals between their first and last observations. The latter quantity, ranging from two days to two milliennia for individual objects, is the dominant measure of the accuracy of the orbit determination. Distribution of the tracking times of comets (distinguished by dynamical age: new, long-period, Halley type, Jupiter family) and asteroids (distinguished by stability: Apollos, Amors, main-belt asteroids, outer librators, outer unstable objects) are reconstructed. The peculiar shapes of individual distributions can be explained by the complex mechanisms of discoveries, rediscoveries, orbit computations, follow-up observations and backward identifications. A comparison is also made with the dynamical data base on meteoroids, as regards the accuracy of their orbits.The cumulative tracking times (170000 yr for all 7600 objects with known orbits taken together) are compared with the lifetimes and occurrence rates of different events of evolutionary significance. Only in the case of short-period comets the evolution is rapid enough to render observable a variety of important changes, ranging from drastic transformations of orbits to disruption or total outgassing. For asteroids, only minor cratering collisions which do not result in detectable changes of their orbits are covered by the whole observational history.Expected future improvements of observing and data-handling techniques are outlined. With these in view, the size and character of the data to become available by the end of this century are predicted. Dynamical types of objects, which are currently known in only one or a few examples, are pointed out. Apparently, other types of rare occurrence and short survival time still escape detection. A list of easiest targets of short-duration spacecraft missions is presented.The deficiencies of current statistics due to observational selection; the broad variety of regimes of motion occupied by widely differing proportional representations of the known objects; and demands for suitable targets of future spacecraft missions make it highly desirable to maintain the present rapid rate of augmentation of the data base for the years to come.Recent passages of two comets — 1983d IRAS-Araki-Alcock and 1983e Sugano-Saigusa-Fujikawa — near the Earth indicate that both the collision rate given in Table VIII and the contribution of long-period comets to it may have been slightly underestimated. The appropriate adjustment of the log-t values by less than — 0.10 has no effect of the general conclusions, however.The success of the orbiting observatory IRAS in detecting faint interplanetary objects lends better promises for the increase of the number of known objects (in particular comets) than anticipated in Section 6 and estimated in Table IX. Obviously, the outcome will largely depend on the implementation, time coverage and degree of exploitation of similar projects in the near future.     

The Deep Impact Earth-Based Campaign

Prior to the selection of the comet 9P/Tempel 1 as the Deep Impact mission target, the comet was not well observed. From 1999 through the present there has been an intensive world-wide observing campaign designed to obtain mission critical information about the target nucleus, including the nucleus size, albedo, rotation rate, rotation state, phase function, and the development of the dust and gas coma. The specific observing schemes used to obtain this information and the resources needed are presented here. The Deep Impact mission is unique in that part of the mission observations will rely on an Earth-based (ground and orbital) suite of complementary observations of the comet just prior to impact and in the weeks following. While the impact should result in new cometary activity, the actual physical outcome is uncertain, and the Earth-based observations must allow for a wide range of post-impact phenomena. A world-wide coordinated effort for these observations is described.     

Meteoroids as One of the Sources for Exosphere Formation on Airless Bodies in the Inner Solar System

Space Science Reviews -     

Physics of Solar Prominences: I—Spectral Diagnostics and Non-LTE Modelling

This review paper outlines background information and covers recent advances made via the analysis of spectra and images of prominence plasma and the increased sophistication of non-LTE (i.e. when there is a departure from Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium) radiative transfer models. We first describe the spectral inversion techniques that have been used to infer the plasma parameters important for the general properties of the prominence plasma in both its cool core and the hotter prominence-corona transition region. We also review studies devoted to the observation of bulk motions of the prominence plasma and to the determination of prominence mass. However, a simple inversion of spectroscopic data usually fails when the lines become optically thick at certain wavelengths. Therefore, complex non-LTE models become necessary. We thus present the basics of non-LTE radiative transfer theory and the associated multi-level radiative transfer problems. The main results of one- and two-dimensional models of the prominences and their fine-structures are presented. We then discuss the energy balance in various prominence models. Finally, we outline the outstanding observational and theoretical questions, and the directions for future progress in our understanding of solar prominences.     

NeQuick 2 and IRI Plas VTEC predictions for low latitude and South American sector

Using vertical total electron content (VTEC) measurements obtained from GPS satellite signals the capability of the NeQuick 2 and IRI Plas models to predict VTEC over the low latitude and South American sector is analyzed. In the present work both models were used to calculate VTEC up to the height of GPS satellites. Also, comparisons between the performance of IRI Plas and IRI 2007 have been done. The data correspond to June solstice and September equinox 1999 (high solar activity) and they were obtained at nine stations. The considered latitude range extends from 18.4°N to ?64.7°N and the longitude ranges from 281.3°E to 295.9°E in the South American sector. The greatest discrepancies among model predictions and the measured VTEC are obtained at low latitudes stations placed in the equatorial anomaly region. Underestimations as strong as 40?TECU [1?TECU?=?10¹⁶?m^?2] can be observed at BOGT station for September equinox, when NeQuick2 model is used. The obtained results also show that: (a) for June solstice, in general the performance of IRI Plas for low latitude stations is better than that of NeQuick2 and, vice versa, for highest latitudes the performance of NeQuick2 is better than that of IRI Plas. For the stations TUCU and SANT both models have good performance; (b) for September equinox the performances of the models do not follow a clearly defined pattern as in the other season. However, it can be seen that for the region placed between the Northern peak and the valley of the equatorial anomaly, in general, the performance of IRI Plas is better than that of NeQuick2 for hours of maximum ionization. From TUCU to the South, the best TEC predictions are given by NeQuick2.The source of the observed deviations of the models has been explored in terms of CCIR foF2 determination in the available ionosonde stations in the region. Discrepancies can be also related to an unrealistic shape of the vertical electron density profile and or an erroneous prediction of the plasmaspheric contribution to the vertical total electron content. Moreover, the results of this study could be suggesting that in the case of NeQuick, the underestimation trend could be due to the lack of a proper plasmaspheric model in its topside representation. In contrast, the plasmaspheric model included in IRI, leads to clear overestimations of GPS derived TEC.     

Fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making approach to prioritization of space debris for removal

As private companies and government space agencies begin to seriously consider the task of active space debris removal, it is becoming increasingly more important to determine the highest priority objects to deorbit. This work sets forth an approach for prioritization of space debris through the utilization of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making methodologies and fuzzy logic, as well as both quantitative and qualitative criteria. The proposed debris prioritization approach considers various criteria including the orbit, size, mass, pairwise and total collision probabilities, and decay timeframe of each debris object. The means of assigning attributes to each assessment criterion is discussed in detail. To determine the weighting scheme for the criteria, a questionnaire was prepared and shared with experts in the field of space situational awareness. The work examines over two thousand critical debris objects selected from the existing debris catalog with respect to these criteria. The quantified attributes for each debris object are then aggregated through the fuzzy versions of the Analytic Hierarchy Process and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution. The results of the analysis identify high-priority debris objects for removal from Earth-bound orbits.     

Recent advancements in the EST project

The European Solar Telescope (EST) is a project of a new-generation solar telescope. It has a large aperture of 4?m, which is necessary for achieving high spatial and temporal resolution. The high polarimetric sensitivity of the EST will allow to measure the magnetic field in the solar atmosphere with unprecedented precision. Here, we summarise the recent advancements in the realisation of the EST project regarding the hardware development and the refinement of the science requirements.     

Classification of Geostationary Objects

This paper lists all geostationary and near-geostationary objects contained in ESA's DISCOS database.     

Why does the total pressure on the subsolar magnetopause differ from the solar wind dynamic pressure?

Based on analysis of MHD equations and the results of numerical simulation in the magneto-sheath it is demonstrated that the total pressure on the magnetopause differs from the solar wind dynamic pressure in the majority of cases. From the equation of motion it follows that the total pressure is reduced due to deflection from the Sun-Earth line. At the same time, it increases because of formation of a magnetic barrier. This result is consistent with experimentally observed expansion of the magnetosphere for the radial direction of the interplanetary magnetic field, when no magnetic barrier is formed. In this paper we compare the behavior of pressure along the Sun-Earth line for the northward and radial interplanetary field, using the results of numerical MHD simulation and observational data from THEMIS. In the isotropic MHD approximation, the difference between the total pressure on the subsolar magnetopause at northern and radial IMFs does not exceed 10–12 percent. However, in the anisotropic approximation this difference increases up to 15–20 percent. The results of anisotropic modeling well agree with observed averaged profiles of pressure components in the subsolar magnetosheath.     

Partially Ionized Plasmas in Astrophysics

Partially ionized plasmas are found across the Universe in many different astrophysical environments. They constitute an essential ingredient of the solar atmosphere, molecular clouds, planetary ionospheres and protoplanetary disks, among other environments, and display a richness of physical effects which are not present in fully ionized plasmas. This review provides an overview of the physics of partially ionized plasmas, including recent advances in different astrophysical areas in which partial ionization plays a fundamental role. We outline outstanding observational and theoretical questions and discuss possible directions for future progress.