基于人工神经网络的道路表面降雨水深预测

建立了基于人工神经网络的道路表面水膜厚度预测模型,通过试验数据的训练确定权重和阈值,经过检验样本的检验,能够很好地预测道路表面的水膜厚度。结果表明,本文建立的人工神经网络模型用于道路表面水膜厚度预估可行。     

Flight Record Of Long March Series Of Launch Vehicles

The world has been shocked and saddened by news of the earthquake in Sichuan Province on May 12,2008.After Wenchuan was hit by a 8.0 Richter scale earthquake,the Xi'an Satellite Control Centre (XSCC) immediately initiated an emergency response program to ensure that 15 Chinese satellites in space could provide proper support for the rescue and relief operations in the quake-stricken Sichuan Province in the southwest.     

A nonlinear background removal method for seismo-ionospheric anomaly analysis under a complex solar activity scenario: A case study of the M9.0 Tohoku earthquake

A precise determination of ionospheric total electron content (TEC) anomaly variations that are likely associated with large earthquakes as observed by global positioning system (GPS) requires the elimination of the ionospheric effect from irregular solar electromagnetic radiation. In particular, revealing the seismo-ionospheric anomalies when earthquakes occurred during periods of high solar activity is of utmost importance. To overcome this constraint, a multiresolution time series processing technique based on wavelet transform applicable to global ionosphere map (GIM) TEC data was used to remove the nonlinear effect from solar radiation for the earthquake that struck Tohoku, Japan, on 11 March, 2011. As a result, it was found that the extracted TEC have a good correlation with the measured solar extreme ultraviolet flux in 26–34 nm (EUV_26–34) and the 10.7 cm solar radio flux (F_10.7). After removing the influence of solar radiation origin in GIM TEC, the analysis results show that the TEC around the forthcoming epicenter and its conjugate were significantly enhanced in the afternoon period of 8 March 2011, 3 days before the earthquake. The spatial distributions of the TEC anomalous and extreme enhancements indicate that the earthquake preparation process had brought with a TEC anomaly area of size approximately 1650 and 5700 km in the latitudinal and longitudinal directions, respectively.     

考虑燃料均衡的卫星编队队形重构技术

在卫星编队队形重构过程中,如何在实现编队整体燃料消耗较少的同时使得各子卫星燃料消耗均衡,能够有效地提高卫星编队整体的寿命。提出了一种基于虚拟中心位置可变的卫星编队队形重构新方法。该方法以虚拟中心位置为寻优变量,以首末脉冲时刻可优化的双脉冲规划作为单星轨道机动策略,将编队队形重构问题转化为混合0-1数学规划问题。仿真结果表明,该优化算法在实现整体燃料次优的同时,兼顾了各星当前的燃料剩余水平,实现了各子卫星的燃料均衡。     

箭遥时间指令参数实时处理方法研究

火箭遥测数据的实时挑点处理结果是发射中心实时监视火箭飞行状态的重要依据,尤其是时间指令参数的处理结果为判别运载火箭发动机点火、关机、星箭分离等关键事件发生与否提供主要依据。根据某型号运载火箭时间指令参数在遥测帧格式中的波道和码位分配,分析目前箭遥时间指令实时处理方法存在的缺陷,提出"增加判别帧数,充分利用冗余信息",通过分析"时序指令"与"时串指令"间存在的"关联"建立"关联知识库",使用知识库进行辅助判别,实现不错判、不漏判的改进设想。     

Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC

Solar activity prediction services started in 1960’s in National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC). As one of the members of the International Space Environment Service (ISES), Regional Warning Center of China (RWC-China) was set up in 1990’s. Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC), as one of the four sub-centers of RWC-China, is located in NAOC. Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC cover short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecast of solar activities. Nowadays, certain prediction models, such as solar X-ray flare model, solar proton event model, solar 10 cm radio flux model, have been established for the practical prediction services. Recently, more and more physical analyses are introduced in the studies of solar activity prediction, such as the magnetic properties of solar active regions and magnetic structure of solar atmosphere. Besides traditional statistics algorithms, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence techniques, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, are employed in the establishment of forecast models. A Web-based integrated platform for solar activity data sharing and forecast distribution is under construction.     

固体火箭发动机绝热层缺陷对药柱燃面影响的数值模拟

发动机绝热层人工脱粘层局部产生缺陷时,经柱燃面曲线偏离设计曲线,导致发动机２内弹道性能也偏离设计为了模拟这种缺陷对药柱燃面的影响,扩展了原通用坐标程序地计算范围,并又新增加了一些基本图形的算法。改进后的算法可适用于绝热层有或没有缺陷的药柱燃面计算。针对绝热层缺陷建立了三种燃烧模型,计算分析了缺陷类型、结构与位置尺寸对药柱燃面的影响,为分析绝热层有缺陷的发动机性能的基础。     

金属薄板超声无损检测

介绍了金属薄板的缺陷类型，建立了超声喷水穿透C扫描系统和检测方法。检测试验结果表明：采用建立的系统和方法能够检测出厚度≤6mm金属薄板中的分层性缺陷。     

考虑不确定性因素的多学科设计优化方法

将基于单循环方法的可靠性分析(SLBRA)与多学科可行(MDF)设计优化相结合,提出了一种基于可靠性的多学科设计优化(RBMDO)方法.在优化过程中使用Kriging近似模型以不断提高模型精度,解决了MDF方法反复进行多学科分析、计算量较大的问题.该方法在可靠性分析过程中避免了优化迭代,从而提高了计算效率.以涡轮叶片的设计优化为例,对该方法进行了验证并与传统双循环方法进行了对比.结果表明,优化结果满足可靠性的要求.与双循环方法相比,优化效率明显提高,证明了该方法在工程应用中可行且有效.     

网络分区中混合消息集传输模式的精确配置

针对分布式综合模块化航空电子网络分区方法,指出其对消息传输模式配置存在不确定性;通过形式化描述将问题转化为包括实时性约束、带宽约束、缓存约束的最优化问题;提出了基于遗传模拟退火的传输模式配置算法,以系统的消息端到端延迟均衡为优化目标.通过给出两个具体算例对算法有效性进行了验证,同时比较了本算法与传统遗传算法的性能.对比结果表明,本算法能够解决传输模式的配置问题,尽管计算时间较传统遗传算法高出18.1%,但所得到的适应度值高出28.7%.本算法为网络分区在实际航电系统中的应用提供了参考.