Executive Moves of CASC

On April 15,2013,the central committee of CPC and the State Council of China decided to establish a Board of Executives for China Aerospace Science and Technology(CASC)and Mr.Xu Dazhe was appointed Chairman of CASC     

民航安全经济学研究的基本架构和意义

从一般经济学的投入、成本和效益的基本思路进行探讨，阐述了民航安全经济学研究的基本内容、研究方法，指出了民航安全经济学的基本特点，分析了研究民航安全经济学的意义与价值，勾勒了民航安全经济学研究的基本框架。     

上市公司信息披露质量的影响因素——深圳股市面板数据的实证研究

以深圳股票市场2001-2004年的1958家上市公司的面板数据为研究样本，运用实证分析的方法，检验上市公司信息披露质量的影响因素。实证结果显示：信息披露质量与第一大股东持股比例、资产规模、净资产收益率以及审计意见正相关，而与资产负债率负相关；设立审计委员会的公司的信息披露质量较高。     

一种快速的飞行器布局方案优选方法

本文引用系统模糊优选理论与基于数理统计正交表的设计法相结合来处理飞行器布局方案优选问题，并举例说明具体用法，文中方法对整个飞行器方案选择有一定参考价值。     

Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC

Solar activity prediction services started in 1960’s in National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC). As one of the members of the International Space Environment Service (ISES), Regional Warning Center of China (RWC-China) was set up in 1990’s. Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC), as one of the four sub-centers of RWC-China, is located in NAOC. Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC cover short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecast of solar activities. Nowadays, certain prediction models, such as solar X-ray flare model, solar proton event model, solar 10 cm radio flux model, have been established for the practical prediction services. Recently, more and more physical analyses are introduced in the studies of solar activity prediction, such as the magnetic properties of solar active regions and magnetic structure of solar atmosphere. Besides traditional statistics algorithms, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence techniques, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, are employed in the establishment of forecast models. A Web-based integrated platform for solar activity data sharing and forecast distribution is under construction.     

Passive target tracking using maximum likelihood estimation

Estimation of target trajectory from passive sonar bearings and frequency measurements in the presence of multivariate normally distributed noise, with unknown inhomogeneous general covariance, is modeled as a nonlinear multiresponse parameter estimation problem. It is shown that maximum likelihood estimation in this case is identical to optimizing a determinant criterion which has a concise form and contains no elements of unknown covariance matrix. A Gauss-Newton type algorithm using only the first-order derivatives of the model function and a new convergence criterion, is presented to implement such estimation. The simulation results demonstrate that performance of the maximum likelihood estimation method with the above noise model is superior to that with the traditional noise assumption     

三角带失效概率模型

通过失效物理分析，考虑了挠性传动件-三角带的受力和变形．剖析了其失效形式．根据其特殊的失效物理背景推导了数学模型，提出宜采用最弱环模型，大样本试验证实了上述分析。     

模具约束条件对H96黄铜双脊矩形管E弯截面变形的影响

 双脊矩形管的绕弯成形受内外侧模具的共同约束,不同模具约束下管坯的受力不同,使得其截面变形情况也不相同,而截面变形严重地影响弯管件的成形质量和使用性能。因此,基于ABAQUS有限元平台建立了双脊矩形管E弯成形三维有限元模型,并通过实验验证了模型的可靠性。采用所建模型,研究了内外侧模具约束条件对双脊矩形管E弯截面变形的影响规律,发现当只有内腹板脊槽受约束时,内腹板脊槽的内缩变形可得到较好的控制,而其他部位的变形则有增大的趋势;当只有外腹板脊槽受约束时,内腹板脊槽宽度变形基本不发生变化,而其他部位的变形则有减小的趋势;当内外腹板脊槽均受约束时,可较好地控制双脊矩形管E弯过程中的截面变形。芯头个数对整管截面高度、宽度、外腹板脊槽宽度与两脊槽底部的间距的变形影响较大,但对内腹板脊槽宽度的变形影响不显著。     

卫星ATM交换系统中一种连接允许控制算法的改进

对于卫星ATM交换系统，连接允许控制（Connection Admission Control，CAC）是一个重要部分。针对卫星ATM中的一种连接允许控制算法一快速缓存分配法可能出现过高的信元丢失率提出了一种利用缓存器进行子波束再分配的改进方法，并采用流体流模型对改进后CAC算法进行了分析和仿真。结果表明，随着该改进方法所设置的缓存器容量的增加，信元丢失率明显下降。     

一种研究圆柱度目标函数单谷性的新方法

提出了一种研究圆柱目标函数单谷性的新方法，圆柱度目标函数单谷性的问题目前研究得还少，而弄清楚圆柱度目标函数是否是单谷函数对于用优化原理正确地计算其极值是非常重要的。