一种复杂系统风险概率评估方法

对有限样本条件下的复杂系统风险发生概率评估问题,提出了小样本评估小概率事件的建模方法,通过非线性函数逼近累积概率与临界参数极值之间的映射关系.建立了风险概率评估数学模型,通过非线性回归方法得到了风险概率评估基本模型.对原始数据在评估模型中产生的误差作为目标函数,建立概率评估优化模型.并采用改进遗传算法对分布参数进行优化计算.以飞行安全为例,实现了有限样本情况下的飞行风险概率的计算,并通过最优逼近函数提高了计算精度.      

基于电子展成与坐标结合原理自动测量圆柱齿轮的研究

介绍了利用电子展成与坐标结合的原理来自动测量渐开线圆柱齿轮的方法。采用CNC技术实现电子展成 ,利用被测齿形的测量值进行分析与评价。为了消除传动误差 ,在电子展成系统中设有误差修正环节     

Great solar bursts of October 19, 22 and 23, 1989

Itapetinga measurements at 48 GHz with the multibeam technique are used to determine the relative position of solar burst centroid of emission with high spatial accuracy and time resolution. For the Great Bursts of October 19,22, 1989, with a large production of relativistic particles, and October 23, it is suggested that, at 48 GHz, the bursts might have originated in more then one source in space and time. Additionally the October 19 and 22 Ground Level Events exhibited very unusual intensity-time profiles including double component structures for the onset phase. The Bern observatory spectral radio emission data show a strong spectral flattening typical for large source inhomogeneties. The interpretation for this is that large solar flares are a superposition of a few strong bursts (separated both in space and time) in the same flaring region.     

直升机用小型高压离心式风机的设计

针对直升机用离心式风机高压力、高转速和小尺寸的特点,进行了基本结构参数的分析与计算;利用 "可控涡"设计理论分析了气体在离心风机叶轮内的流动规律,讨论了气体涡分布对回转流面的影响,提出了气体涡选择的约束条件,详细设计了叶片的子午流面和回转流面型线,同时进行了通用性设计.实例表明,通过合理确定气体涡分布规律来设计叶片型线,可有效提高风机的效率.      

Models of P/Borrelly: Activity and dust mantle formation

Comet 19P/Borrelly was observed by Deep Space One spacecraft on September 22, 2001 (Soderblom et al., 2002).The DS1 images show a very dark and elongate nucleus with a complex topography; the IR spectra show a strong red-ward slope consistent with a very hot and dry surface (345K to 300K). During DS1 encounter the comet coma was dominated by a prominent jet but most of the comet was inactive, confirming the Earth-based observations that <10% of the surface is actively sublimating. We have developed a thermal evolution model of comet PBorrelly, using a numerical code that is able to solve the heat conduction and gas diffusion equations at the same time across an idealized spherical nucleus ( De Sanctis et al., 1999, 2000; Capria et al., 2000; Coradini et al., 1997a,b). The comet nucleus is composed by water, volatiles ices and dust in different proportions. The refractory component is made by grains that are embedded in the icy matrix. The code is able to account for the dust release, contributing to the dust flux, and the formation of dust mantles on the comet surface. The model was applied to a cometary nucleus with the estimated physical and dynamical characteristics of P/Borrelly in order to infer the status and activity level of a body on such an orbit during the DS1 observation. The comet gas flux, differentiation and thermal behavior were simulated and reproduced. The model results are in good agreement with the DS1 flyby results and the ground based observations, in terms of activity, dust coverage and temperatures of the surface.     

Measurements of bidirectional reflectance of ordinary chondrite for muses-C in-situ detection

MUSES-C, a Japanese sample return mission, is targeting a small near Earth asteroid, 1998SF36, which is considered an S-type asteroid and is similar in spectroscopy to LL class ordinary chondrite meteorite ([Binzel et al., 2001]). Although this mission will bring us detailed photometric data, that is, disk-resolved bidirectional reflectance data of the asteroid, there were few bidirectional reflectance data of ordinary chondrite meteorites. For the purpose of comparison with the data obtained by the in-situ observation, we have performed measurements of bidirectional reflectance of ordinary chondrite samples.

Here we summarize the result of our laboratory measurements of the bidirectional reflectance and compare them with the scattering property of 1998SF36. Although the geometric albedo of 1998SF36 is higher than the typical value of S-type asteroids, however, the laboratory data of ordinary chondrite are similar to or brighter than the model disk-resolved reflectance of 1998SF36 derived from disk-integrated ground-based data. We found in our laboratory data that there is a positive correlation between the surface roughness and the strength of the opposition effect. A stronger opposition effect in the reflectance of 1998SF36 than the laboratory data may therefore indicate that the surface of the asteroid has rougher structure than our laboratory samples.     

基于双GPS接收机的精密定向研究

GPS定位系统除了可以进行定位、测速和授时外 ,还可以利用两个或多个GPS测量值进行方位测量和三轴姿态测量。文章对利用两块GPSOEM板同步接收的载波相位观测量来精密测定方位进行了深入研究。首先利用载波相位的双差观测方程 ;再根据两个天线间距离已知这个条件 ,对方位和俯仰进行二维搜索 ,并采用了模糊度函数作为搜索的判断依据 ;最后根据最小二乘计算出两个天线的基线矢量 ,从而最终计算出精密的方位值和俯仰角。经过大量的试验表明 ,该算法是切实可行的 ,在 5m基线下 ,方位精度达到 0 0 8°,而且定向时间一般只需 1min左右     

带宽弦叶片的盘片耦合振动特性研究

为确定盘片系统将发生的耦合共振,建立了带宽弦叶片的盘片耦合系统的基本重复扇区的有限元模型,并采用波传播技术对耦合系统进行了振动特性的计算分析.指出了宽弦叶片在振动中表现出的特有振型,以及随转速的变化规律.分析了盘片耦合后的振动特性,以及叶片各阶振动频率随节径数变化的规律.      

论空间交会中的径向连续推力机动与N次推力机动

文章从相对运动和绝对运动两方面分析径向小推力连续机动在空间交会V-bar接近中的运动规律，对冲量型、连续型和N次推力三类径向推力策略的性能进行比较。径向小推力连续机动的相对运动轨迹呈“旋轮线”型式。N次机动策略变轨速度总和与冲量型转移及连续推力机动所需的变轨速度相等，轨道控制能力提高，视界角比冲量型转移的视界角小，转移时间比连续型推力所需时间减少，且能适应范围更广的推力阶。N次推力机动策略综合性能优良。     

基于在线频率估计的自适应反馈主动隔振技术

针对自适应前馈控制方法的缺点,提出一种周期性振动主动控制的自适应反馈控制方法.利用误差信号恢复振动干扰信号,采用级联陷波器估计信号中周期性分量的频率,并在估计频率处为控制器构造参考信号;控制器的参数则根据Lyapunov稳定性原理进行调整.仿真和主动隔振试验结果表明:频率估计方法在不同信噪比情况下均具有较好的估计精度;主动控制方法在振动频率处的隔振效果明显,隔振量可达16?dB以上,且控制器的参数收敛速度较快.