Recent advances in observations and modeling of the solar ultraviolet and X-ray spectral irradiance

There have been significant, recent advances in understanding the solar ultraviolet (UV) and X-ray spectral irradiance from several different satellite missions and from new efforts in modeling the variations of the solar spectral irradiance. The recent satellite missions with solar UV and X-ray spectral irradiance observations include the X-ray Sensor (XRS) aboard the series of NOAA GOES spacecraft, the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS), the SOHO Solar EUV Monitor (SEM), the Solar XUV Photometers (SXP) on the Student Nitric Oxide Explorer (SNOE), the Solar EUV Experiment (SEE) aboard the Thermosphere, Ionosphere, Mesosphere, Dynamics, and Energetics (TIMED) satellite, and the Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment (SORCE) satellite. The combination of these measurements is providing new results on the variability of the solar ultraviolet irradiance throughout the ultraviolet range shortward of 200 nm and over a wide range of time scales ranging from years to seconds. The solar UV variations of flares are especially important for space weather applications and upper atmosphere research, and the period of intense solar storms in October–November 2003 has provided a wealth of new information about solar flares. The new efforts in modeling these solar UV spectral irradiance variations range from simple empirical models that use solar proxies to more complicated physics-based models that use emission measure techniques. These new models provide better understanding and insight into why the solar UV irradiance varies, and they can be used at times when solar observations are not available for atmospheric studies.     

Assessing the relationship between solar activity and some large scale climatic phenomena

The nature of the climatic response to solar variability is assessed over a long-time scale. The wavelet analysis applied to paleoclimatic proxy data of large scale atmospheric phenomena (North Atlantic Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Southern Oscillation Index) has revealed coherence between the climatic oscillations and the solar phenomena (the cosmogenic isotope ¹⁰Be and the Total Solar Irradiance) preferentially with periods of Schwabe, Hale and Yoshimura–Gleissberg cycles that may reflect a modulation of solar activity.     

1996-2002年太阳耀斑的统计分析

分析了1996-2002年南北半球的太阳黑子相对数和南北半球太阳X射线耀斑级别(简称Imp)≥M1．0的太阳X射线耀斑的特征和不对称性．分析结果表明，南北半球的太阳耀斑活动的程度交替上升，在2001年7月以前北半球的太阳耀斑活动强于南半球，2001年7月开始耀斑活动逐渐以南半球为主．本文还逐月分析了1996—2001年南北半球的耀斑指数．2000年7月为第23周太阳指数最大的一个月，与第23周太阳黑子相对数最大月均值吻合．     

神舟3号飞船上太阳辐射测量

2002年3月至9月间，用3台太阳辐照度绝对辐射计(SIAR)组装的太阳常数监测器在神舟3号飞船轨道舱上测量了太阳辐照度．改进了SIAR辐射计的锥腔结构，把电加热丝埋在薄锥腔壁中间，提高了绝对精度．采用了用宽视场辐射计飞船在轨运动中太阳扫过其视场期间进行测量的方法，测量值与美国EOS上ACRIM Ⅲ测量数据的最大偏差在0．2％以内．     

The solar orbiter mission

Approved in October 2000 by ESA's Science Programme Committee as a flexi-mission, the Solar Orbiter will studythe Sun and unexplored regions of the inner heliosphere from a unique orbit that brings the probe to within 45 solar radii (0.21 AU) of our star, and to solar latitudes as high as 38°. This orbit will allow the Solar Orbiter to make fundamental contributions to our understanding of the acceleration and propagation of energetic particles in the extended solar atmosphere. During quasi-heliosynchronous phases of the orbit, Solar Orbiter will track a given region of the solar surface for several days, making possible unprecedented studies of the sources of impulsive and CME-related particle events. The scientific payload to be carried by the probe will include a sophisticated remote-sensing package, as well as state-of-the-art in-situ instruments. The multi-wavelength, multi-disciplinary approach of Solar Orbiter, combined with its novel location, represents a powerful tool for studies of energetic particle phenomena.     

多谱段全日面极紫外成像仪

在极紫外波段对太阳进行成像观测是研究太阳活动、日冕中等离子体物理特性的重要手段.传统极紫外成像仪或光谱仪无法同时实现高光谱分辨率和大视场的太阳成像.本文设计了一种新型太阳极紫外多谱段成像系统,采用无狭缝光栅分光方式实现了高光谱分辨率和空间分辨率的全日面成像,成像视场可达47',光谱分辨率每像素2×10-3 nm,空间分辨率每像素1.4',全日面时间分辨率优于60s.通过分析谱线的全日面成像图和系统响应,表明成像仪能大范围的观测太阳活动形态演化,为太阳物理研究和空间天气预报提供更完整的观测数据.      

Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC

Solar activity prediction services started in 1960’s in National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC). As one of the members of the International Space Environment Service (ISES), Regional Warning Center of China (RWC-China) was set up in 1990’s. Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC), as one of the four sub-centers of RWC-China, is located in NAOC. Solar activity prediction studies and services in NAOC cover short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecast of solar activities. Nowadays, certain prediction models, such as solar X-ray flare model, solar proton event model, solar 10 cm radio flux model, have been established for the practical prediction services. Recently, more and more physical analyses are introduced in the studies of solar activity prediction, such as the magnetic properties of solar active regions and magnetic structure of solar atmosphere. Besides traditional statistics algorithms, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence techniques, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) method, are employed in the establishment of forecast models. A Web-based integrated platform for solar activity data sharing and forecast distribution is under construction.     

Prediction and evaluation of solar particle events based on precursor information.

Protection from the radiation effects of solar particle events for deep space mission crews requires a warning system to observe solar flares and predict subsequent charged particle fluxes. Such a system relates precursor information observed in each flare to the intensity, delay, and duration of the subsequent Solar Particle Event (SPE) at other locations in the solar system. A warning system of this type is now in operation at the NOAA Space Environment Services Center in Boulder, Colorado for support of space missions. It has been used to predict flare particle fluxes at the earth for flares of Solar Cycle 22. The flare parameters used and the effectiveness of the current warning system, based on Solar Cycle 22 experience, are presented, with an examination of the shortcomings. Needed improvements to the system include more complete observations of solar activity, especially information on the occurrences of solar mass ejections; and consideration of the effects of propagation conditions in the solar corona and interplanetary medium. Requirements for solar observations and forecasting systems on board the spacecraft are discussed.     

第22与23周磁静日北京台银河宇宙线周日变化与半日变化特征

利用快速傅里叶变换及其计算功率谱的方法研究了第22和23周磁静日北京宇宙线台站记录的银河宇宙线强度的周日变化与半日变化，计算结果表明，在两个太阳活动周交替时，银河宇宙线的周日变化与半日变化特征消失，在太阳活动低年逐渐向高年过度时，首先出现的是周日变化。半日变化特征出现要滞后于周日变化，22周太阳活动高年看不出周日变化，而23周太阳活动的高年周日变化非常显著，22周太阳活动的下降期。只有周日变化而无半日变化。这是分析北京宇宙线台近2个太阳活动周数据得到的新结果。     

Amateur observations of solar eclipses and derivation of scientific data

This work presents the educational approach of using total solar eclipse occurrences as a scientific process learning aid. The work reviews the basic scientific aims and experiments included in the observational programs “Total solar eclipse 1999 and 2006” (Stoev, A., Kiskinova, N., Muglova, P. et al. Complex observational programme of the Yuri Gagarin Public Astronomical Observatory and STIL, BAS, Stara Zagora Department for the August 11, 1999 total solar eclipse, in: Total Solar Eclipse 1999 – Observational Programmes and Coordination, Proceedings, Recol, Haskovo, pp. 133–137, 1999a (in Bulgarian); Stoeva, P.V., Stoev, A.D., Kostadinov, I.N. et al. Solar Corona and Atmospheric Effects during the March 29, 2006 Total Solar Eclipse, in: 11th International Science Conference SOLAR–Terrestrial Influences, Sofia, November 24–25, pp. 69–72, 2005).     

双通道辐射量计算太阳极紫外辐射E10.7指数方法初探

从太阳极紫外辐射研究的重要性出发, 介绍了太阳极紫外辐射E_10.7指 数及其作用, 详细阐述了利用两个能道的太阳辐射观测值计算极紫外辐射E_10.7指数的计算方法. 利用该方法对实测太阳辐射数据进行处理, 计算获得了2000-2005年的每日E_10.7指数, 并将计算结果 与Solar2000模式的输出结果进行对比分析, 验证了该计算方法的可行性, 对比结果表明, 最大相对误差在20%以内, 平均相对误差均在10%以内.      

太阳高能粒子事件强度与相关双CME事件关系的两个事例

太阳高能粒子事件常伴随太阳耀斑和日冕物质抛射事件(Coronal Mass Ejections,CME)出现,由于太阳高能粒子事件的关键因素是双CME的相互作用,利用SOHO卫星观测的高能粒子强度、耀斑强度以及CME的相对高度与时间,通过高度与时间拟合得到的速度,分析了2001年4月15日和2005年1月20日的太阳高能粒子事件强度与相关双CME事件的关系,发现这两个太阳高能粒子事件中E ≥ 10MeV质子的强度与双CME事件无关.因此在这两次太阳高能粒子事件早期,E ≥ 10MeV质子的强度只与相关太阳耀斑和CME有关.      

Prediction of energetic particle behavior at high solar latitudes

Emphasis is placed on predictions of the galactic cosmic-ray flux at high heliographic latitudes. Recent work on gradient and curvature drifts in the large-scale heliospheric magnetic field have modified the traditional argument that the cosmic rays should be essentially unmodulated over the solar poles. In fact, drift effects during the next solar cycle, when the International Solar Polar Mission is to fly, are predicted to cause considerable modulation in the polar regions. However, it is pointed out that the use of conventional drift formulae in the solar wind, which contains magnetic-field fluctuations with large amplitudes and perhaps systematic properties, is highly suspect. Prediction of cosmic-ray behavior over the solar poles is thus currently uncertain. Also considered is the behavior of the anomalous cosmic-ray component at high heliographic latitudes.     

太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响

本文分析了1978—1979年1级以上的太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响. 给出了不同持续时间、不同亮度、不同季节、发生在日面不同位置上的太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响.分析结果表明,持续时间大于等于1.5小时的耀斑对电子含量有明显的扰动,耀斑出现后电子含量随之增加,在第4—5天增加到最大值,扰动持续数日;持续时间小于1.5小时的耀斑对电子含量影响甚微;非亮耀斑对电子含量的扰动小于亮耀斑;夏季出现的耀斑对电子含量无明显扰动,只有冬季出现的亮耀斑对电子含量有明显的扰动;太阳耀斑扰动电子含量有明显的日面位置东西不对称性,只有出现在日面东边、特别是E₃区的太阳耀斑对电子含量才有明显的扰动.      

The SOUP and CIP instruments

Solar physics is about to undergo a revolution in the amount and quality of undistorted high resolution filter-grams and spectra available for study. Spacelab 2 will obtain UV and visible data comparable to the best obtained on Earth, but free of both blurring and image distortion. The goals of the Spacelab 2 flight are to collect data on the evolution of the solar magnetic and velocity fields on time scales of seconds to days. In the first part of the next decade, the 1.3 meter aperture Solar Optical Telescope will have sufficient spatial resolution to collect data on the scale of the solar density scale height [～ 100 km] which should be sufficient to study the basic physical processes in the solar atmosphere.     

Solar orbiter, a high-resolution mission to the sun and inner heliosphere

The scientific rationale of the Solar Orbiter is to provide, at high spatial (35 km pixel size) and temporal resolution, observations of the solar atmosphere and unexplored inner heliosphere. Novel observations will be made in the almost heliosynchronous segments of the orbits at heliocentric distances near 45 R and out of the ecliptic plane at the highest heliographic latitudes of 30° – 38°. The Solar Orbiter will achieve its wide-ranging aims with a suite of sophisticated instruments through an innovative design of the orbit. The first near-Sun interplanetary measurements together with concurrent remote observations of the Sun will permit us to determine and understand, through correlative studies, the characteristics of the solar wind and energetic particles in close linkage with the plasma and radiation conditions in their source regions on the Sun. Over extended periods the Solar Orbiter will deliver the first images of the polar regions and the side of the Sun invisible from the Earth.     

太阳质子事件中短期预报模型研究

太阳质子事件通量的预测对航天器抗辐射加固设计和航天员出舱活动具有非常重要的意义.针对一年以下的航天任务,利用经验统计方法,确认太阳活跃年和太阳平静年期间,1——365天不同时间段内 > 10MeV,> 30MeV和 > 60MeV的太阳质子事件积分通量符合对数正态分布,且通量对数的标准偏差σ和期望值μ随任务期时间的变化满足对数函数形式.以此为基础,构建太阳质子通量的中短期预报模型.该模型能够针对太阳活跃年和太阳平静年,给出一定置信度下1——365天不同时间内 > 10MeV,> 30MeV和 > 60MeV的质子事件通量分布,从而为执行中短期航天任务提供太阳质子事件通量的预测,以规避不必要的风险.      

Mission analysis and performance comparison for an Advanced Solar Photon Thruster

The so-called “compound solar sail”, also known as “Solar Photon Thruster” (SPT), is a design concept, for which the two basic functions of the solar sail, namely light collection and thrust direction, are uncoupled. In this paper, we introduce a novel SPT concept, termed the Advanced Solar Photon Thruster (ASPT), which does not suffer from the simplified assumptions that have been made for the analysis of compound solar sails in previous studies. After having presented the equations that describe the force on the ASPT and after having performed a detailed design analysis, the performance of the ASPT with respect to the conventional flat solar sail (FSS) is investigated for three interplanetary mission scenarios: an Earth–Venus rendezvous, where the solar sail has to spiral towards the Sun, an Earth–Mars rendezvous, where the solar sail has to spiral away from the Sun, and an Earth-NEA rendezvous (to near-Earth asteroid 1996FG3), where a large change in orbital eccentricity is required. The investigated solar sails have realistic near-term characteristic accelerations between 0.1 and 0.2 mm/s². Our results show that an SPT is not superior to the flat solar sail unless very idealistic assumptions are made.     

Reconstruction of the solar UV irradiance back to 1974

The variability of the solar UV irradiance has strong effects on the terrestrial atmosphere. In order to study the solar influence for times when no UV observations are available, it is necessary to reconstruct the variation of the UV irradiance with time on the basis of proxies. We present reconstructions of the solar UV irradiance based on the analysis of space-based and ground-based magnetograms of the solar disk going back to 1974. With COde for Solar Irradiance (COSI) we calculate solar intensity spectra for the quiet Sun and different active regions and combine them according to their fractional area on the solar disk, whereby their time-dependent contributions over the solar cycle lead to a variability in radiation. COSI calculates the continuum and line formation under conditions which are out of local thermodynamic equilibrium (non-LTE). The applied temperature and density structures include the chromosphere and transition region, which is particularly important for the UV. The reconstructions are compared with observations.