Forecasting the velocity of quasi-stationary solar wind and the intensity of geomagnetic disturbances produced by it

A brief review is given of contemporary approaches to solving the problem of medium-term forecast of the velocity of quasi-stationary solar wind (SW) and of the intensity of geomagnetic disturbances caused by it. At the present time, two promising models of calculating the velocity of quasi-stationary SW at the Earth’s orbit are realized. One model is the semi-empirical model of Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) which allows one to calculate the dependence V(t) of SW velocity at the Earth’s orbit using measured values of the photospheric magnetic field. This model is based on calculation of the local divergence f _S of magnetic field lines. The second model is semi-empirical model by Eselevich-Fainshtein-Rudenko (EFR). It is based on calculation in a potential approximation of the area of foot points on the solar surface of open magnetic tubes (sources of fast quasistationary SW). The new Bd-technology is used in these calculations, allowing one to calculate instantaneous distributions of the magnetic field above the entire visible surface of the Sun. Using predicted V(t) profiles, one can in EFR model calculate also the intensity of geomagnetic disturbances caused by quasi-stationary SW. This intensity is expressed through the K _p index. In this paper the EFR model is discussed in detail. Some examples of epignosis and real forecast of V(t) and K _p (t) are discussed. A comparison of the results of applying these two models for the SW velocity forecasting is presented.     

Spectrum of Natural Vibrations of the Ice Ocean of Jupiter's Moon Europa

The hydroelastic vibrations of the ice surface of the ocean of Europa, a natural satellite of Jupiter, are investigated, and the natural spectrum of frequencies of this surface is determined. The mathematical model of the mechanical system under consideration is presented in the form of a spherical shell, which is wetted by a spherical layer of liquid enveloping a rigid spherical core. The solution of the boundary value problems of the theory of elasticity is sought in the form of expansions into series of the associated Legendre polynomials. It is noted that there are at least three tones of natural vibrations of the shell–spherical liquid layer system, whose periods lie in the vicinity of the ten-hour period of Jupiter's rotation about its axis, and variations of the magnetic field of Europa with the same period.     

Study of Micrometeoroid and Orbital Debris Effects on the Solar Panels Retrieved from the Space Station “MIR”

A study of micrometeoroid and orbital debris (MMOD) long-term effects on solar cell samples of solar panels returned from the space station MIR has been carried out. Five samples from the solar array, which spent over 10 years in space, have been studied with the help of optical microscopes with magnification up to 1000. Craters with dimensions as small as 1m were registered. Additional large impact features were investigated by observing a large number of cells (150) with an optical microscope of small magnification. The aim of the study was to define morphological and statistical characteristics of samples surface damages as well as the extent of surface erosion caused by MMOD impacts. The results of statistical analysis of the data obtained in this study are shown to correlate with the experimental data obtained in the Hubble Telescope solar panel return experiment, and MMOD flux estimations are in good agreement with modern MMOD models. The relative surface area damaged by impacts of small size (1–100m) MMOD particles is estimated to be 0.01%, while the relative surface area of large impact features (greater than 0.1mm) is estimated to be 0.045%.     

Multisatellite systems with linear structure and their application for continuous coverage of the earth

Multisatellite systems with linear structure (SLS) are defined, and their application for a continuous global or zonal coverage of the Earths surface is justified. It is demonstrated that in some cases these systems turned out to be better than usually recommended kinematically regular systems by G.V. Mozhaev, delta systems of J.G. Walker, and polar systems suggested by F.W. Gobets, L. Rider, and W.S. Adams. When a comparison is made using the criterion of a minimum radius of one-satellite coverage circle, the SLS beat the other systems for the majority of satellite numbers from the range 20–63, if the global continuous single coverage of the Earth is required. In the case of a zonal continuous single coverage of the latitude belt ±65°, the SLS are preferable at almost all numbers of satellites from 38 to 100, and further at any values up to 200 excluding 144.Translated from Kosmicheskie Issledovaniya, Vol. 43, No. 1, 2005, pp. 36–53.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Saulskiy.     

Application of LB-Planning for Designing the Programs of Trajectory Measurements

The LB-planning is a construction of the dependence between three variables k, m, and , where k is the number of parameters of the linear dynamic system (LDS) under study, m is the specified number of measurements (communication sessions), and (defect) is the maximum value of failure (set of all criterion functions) in a chosen m-point measurement program relative to the optimal program. The problem is reduced to the solution of an extremal problem, which, at m = k + 1, is found rather simply by maximization of the Tchebyshev determinant (TD-planning).     

Chandrayaan-1 mission to the Moon

Chandrayaan-1 is the first Indian planetary exploration mission that will perform remote sensing observation of the Moon to further our understanding about its origin and evolution. Hyper-spectral studies in the 0.4– region using three different imaging spectrometers, coupled with a low energy X-ray spectrometer, a sub-keV atom analyzer, a 3D terrain mapping camera and a laser ranging instrument will provide data on mineralogical and chemical composition and topography of the lunar surface at high spatial resolution. A low energy gamma ray spectrometer and a miniature imaging radar will investigate volatile transport on lunar surface and possible presence of water ice in the polar region. A radiation dose monitor will provide an estimation of energetic particle flux en route to the Moon as well as in lunar orbit. An impact probe carrying a mass spectrometer will also be a part of the spacecraft. The 1 ton class spacecraft will be launched by using a variant of flight proven indigenous Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV-XL). The spacecraft will be finally placed in a 100 km circular polar orbit around the Moon with a planned mission life of two years.     

A new method of determining the spectral index for protons in the energy range about 10<Superscript>13</Superscript> eV

We consider a relationship between the difference in spectral indices of the spectra of single hadrons and all hadrons (_sngl – _h) and the difference in the indices of the spectra of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) protons and nuclei. It is demonstrated that at the mountain level the ratio (_p – _Z)/(_sngl – _h) is always larger than unity, if (_sngl – _h) > 0.1. From the experimental value _sngl – _h = 0.4 ± 0.05 we derive that, in the vicinity of E = 10 TeV, _p – _Z 0.49 ± 0.06 , i.e., _p 3.09 ± 0.06.__________Translated from Kosmicheskie Issledovaniya, Vol. 43, No. 2, 2005, pp. 83–87.Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Grigorov, Tolstaya.     

The Potential and Equipotentiality of Spacecraft

The problem of maintenance of the equipotentiality of spacecraft surfaces is considered. The method under examination is the use of the conductive thermal-vacuum multilayer blanket (CMLB), whose outer surface represents a fabric woven of threads of glass fiber type with interwoven metal threads. The process of spacecraft potential formation and methods of the potential calculation are described, and the results of such a calculation for the illuminated and shadowed parts of spacecraft surfaces in some characteristic near-Earth plasma environments are presented. The CMLB model is described, and the potential distribution near the CMLB surface is calculated. The conclusion was drawn that the conductive thermal-vacuum multilayer blanket used in some cases on Russian spacecraft does not ensure the equipotentiality of spacecraft surfaces, and in the case of using CMLB, the differential spacecraft charging in outer regions of the Earth's magnetosphere may reach a dangerous level for onboard electronic systems. In spite of the fact that CMLB guards against large-scale powerful discharges, one cannot exclude discharges completely, what may result in broadband noise enhancement and cause onboard systems failures.     

Gravitation Maneuver Using the Families of Super-Unstable Orbits around the Libration Points

The families of periodic solutions to an autonomous Hamiltonian system in that part where the solutions are unstable have their specific field of influence. Under strong instability, the orbits that have fallen in such a field of influence are drawn into the family as in a whirlpool and then are thrown away from it. In the particular case of the restricted three-body problem, the orbits around the libration points L ₁ and L ₂ are super-unstable and the Keplerian elements in motion over these orbits change drastically. When the orbits fall into such a domain, for some time the motion is close to the motion around the libration point, and after being thrown out of this domain, the Keplerian orbital elements also change essentially.