Radiation exposure predictions for short-duration stay Mars missions

The human radiation environment for several short-duration stay manned Mars missions is predicted using the Mission Radiation Calculation (MIRACAL) program, which was developed at NASA Langley Research Center. This program provides dose estimates for galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and large and ordinary solar proton flare events for various amounts of effective spacecraft shielding (both operational and storm shelter thicknesses) and a given time history of the spacecraft's heliocentric position. The results of this study show that most of the missions can survive the most recent large flares (if they were to occur at the missions' perihelion) if a 25 g/cm2 storm shelter is assumed. The dose predictions show that missions during solar minima (when solar flare activity is the lowest) are not necessarily the minimum dose cases, due to increased GCR contribution during this time period. The direct transfer mission studied has slightly lower doses than the outbound Venus swingby mission [on the order of 10-20 centi-Sieverts (cSv) lower], with the greatest dose differences for the assumed worst case scenario (when the large flares occur at perihelion). The GCR dose for a mission can be reduced by having the crew spend some fraction of its day nominally in the storm shelter (other than during flare events).     

A cosmochemical view of cosmic rays and solar particles

The composition of cosmic rays and solar particles is reviewed with emphasis on the question of whether they are representative samples of Galactic and solar matter. The composition of solar particles changes with energy and from flare to flare. A strong excess of heavy elements at energies below a few MeV/nuc decreases with energy, and at energies above 15 MeV/nuc the composition of solar particles resembles that of galactic cosmic rays somewhat better than that of the solar atmosphere. The elements Ne through Pb have remarkably similar abundances in cosmic ray sources and in the matter of the solar system. The lighter elements are depleted in cosmic rays, whereas U and Th may be enriched or not, depending on whether the meteoritic or solar abundance of Th is used. Two prototype sources of cosmic rays are considered: gas with solar system composition but enriched in elements with Z > 8 during acceleration and emission (by analogy with solar particle emission), and highly evolved matter enriched in r-process elements such as U, Th and transuranic elements. The energy-dependence of cosmic ray composition suggests that both sources may contribute at different energies.Miller Institute Professor, 1972–73.     

Corotating Particle Events

The corotating particle events give us a unique opportunity to probe the three-dimensional structures of the heliosphere. This is especially true if we have observations over a period of extreme stability of the CIRs, such as existed over the recent solar minimum. We discuss how the observations fit into the context of current heliospheric magnetic field models. The energetic particle signatures of CIRs throughout the regions of the heliosphere covered by the deep-space missions are reviewed. The CIRs accelerate these particles and at the same time modulate both the high energy galactic cosmic rays and the anomalous cosmic rays.     

ATS-6 Solar Cosmic Ray and Trapped Particle Experiment

The Solar Cosmic Ray and Trapped Particle Experiment was designed to study the entry, propagation, and loss of solar cosmic rays and the acceleration and loss of trapped electrons and protons in the magnetosphere. Two orthogonal proton and alpha partical telescopes measure protons from 300 keV to 250 MeV and alphas from 2 MeV to 200 MeV. Electron spectrometers measure electrons from 50 keV to 1 MeV and are used in conjunction with the 300-keV to 1.2-MeV proton channels to study the injection of electrons and protons into the magnetosphere during substorms. Two solar cosmic ray events were observed during the first four months of operation. The first of these began on July 3, 1974, and is probably one of the more complicated events in recent years. There were numerous flares and sudden commencements as well as intense fluxes of low energy plasma with a severly perturbed magnetosphere. The second solar cosmic ray event was smaller and was associated with an isolated east limb flare. The first increase was observed on September 11, 1974.     

Solar cosmic rays

The first observations of solar cosmic rays were made simultaneously by many investigators at worldwide cosmic-ray stations in the periods of powerful chromospheric flares on February 28 and March 7, 1942. The discovery of these and the investigation of cosmic-ray solar-daily variations with maximum time near noon led some authors (Richtmyer and Teller, 1948; Alfvén, 1949, 1950) to a model of apparent cosmic-ray solar origin. We present here the results of the properties of solar cosmic rays from ground events (experimental and theoretical investigations). We also discuss important information from solar experimental data relating to these ground events observed in September and October 1989 and May 1990. Some experimental evidence of acceleration processes in associated phenomena with flares and long-term (solar cycle) variation of the average flux of solar cosmic rays is discussed as also cornal and interplanetary propagation, and that in the terrestrial magnetosphere. Note that the energy spectrum of solar cosmic rays varied very strongly from one flare to another. What are the causes of these phenomena? What is the nature of chemical and isotopic contents of solar cosmic rays? How can its changes occur in the energy spectrum and chemical contents of solar cosmic rays in the process of propagation? Is it possible to recalculate these parameters to the source? What makes solar cosmic rays rich in heavy nucleus and³He? The important data about electrons, positrons, gamma-quanta and neutrons from flares will be discussed in a subsequent paper (Dorman and Venkatesan, 1992). The question is: What main acceleration mechanism of solar flare and associated phenomena are reliable? These problems are connected with the more general problem on solar flare origin and its energetics. In Dorman and Venkatesan (1993) we will consider these problems as well as the problem of prediction of radiation hazard from solar cosmic rays (not only in space, but also in the Earth's atmosphere too).     

Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays at Solar Minimum

Cosmic ray particles respond to the heliospheric magnetic field in the expanding solar wind and its turbulence and therefore provide a unique probe for conditions in the changing heliosphere. During the last four years, concentrated around the solar minimum period of solar cycle 22, the exploration of the solar polar regions by the joint ESA/NASA mission Ulysses revealed the three-dimensional behavior of cosmic rays in the inner and middle heliosphere. Also during the last decades, the Pioneer and Voyager missions have greatly expanded our understanding of the structure and extent of the outer heliosphere. Simultaneously, numerical models describing the propagation of galactic cosmic rays are becoming sophisticated tools for interpreting and understanding these observations. We give an introduction to the subject of the modulation of galactic cosmic rays in the heliosphere during solar minimum. The modulation effects on cosmic rays of corotating interaction regions and their successors in the outer heliosphere are discussed in more detail by Gazis, McDonald et al. (1999) and McKibben, Jokipii et al. (1999) in this volume. Cosmic-ray observations from the Ulysses spacecraft at high heliographic latitudes are also described extensively in this volume by Kunow, Lee et al. (1999). This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Cosmic Ray Modulation over the Poles at Solar Maximum: Observations

Our knowledge of how galactic and anomalous cosmic rays are modulated in the inner heliosphere has been dramatically enlarged as a result of measurements from several missions launched in the past ten years. Among them, Ulysses explored the polar regions of the inner heliosphere during the last solar minimum period and is now revisiting southern polar latitudes under solar maximum conditions. This gives us for the first time the possibility to compare modulation of cosmic rays at high heliographic latitudes during such different time periods. We present data from different instruments on board the Ulysses spacecraft together with 1 AU measurements in the ecliptic. In this paper we focus on measurements that have direct implications for our understanding of modulation of cosmic rays in the inner heliosphere. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Interdisciplinary summary of solar/interplanetary events during August 1972

The solar/interplanetary events in early August 1972 are summarized in Section 1 (Introduction), Section 2 (August 1972 Events in the Solar Cycle 20), Section 3 (Evolution of Solar Active Region: McMath region No. 11976 and its flare-activity), Section 4 (Radio, X-ray, and Proton Characteristics of Four Major Solar Flares: F-1 at 0316 UT on 2 August, F-2 at 1958 UT on 2 August, F-3 at 0626 UT on 4 August, and F-4 at 1522 UT on 7 August), Section 5 (Interplanetary Shock Waves: observations of the shock waves generated from the four major solar flares at several points in interplanetary space, the Earth, Pioneer-9, Pioneer-10, etc.; interplanetary scintillations; shock trajectories in the heliosphere), Section 6 (Variations of Solar and Galactic Cosmic Rays: four solar proton events observed in the vicinity of the earth and at the Pioneer-9 location in the course of interplanetary disturbances; Forbush decreases of cosmic ray intensity; the spikeshaped variation in solar and galactic cosmic rays on 5 August), and Section 7 (Conclusions).     

Neutron Monitor Design Improvements

The original design by J. A. Simpson of the neutron monitor enabled continuous monitoring of the primary cosmic-ray flux by ground-based recordings of the nucleonic component with only a rather simple correction for atmospheric effects. Simpson (1957) extended the original pile to the 12 counter IGY neutron monitor which was deployed in a world wide network during the International Geophysical Year 1957/8. The desirability for monitors with higher counting rates became evident soon afterwards. Subsequently the NM64 super neutron monitor was designed by H. Carmichael for deployment in time for the International Quiet Sun Year 1964. Using unusually large ¹⁰BF₃ proportional counters made at Chalk River, Hatton and Carmichael (1964) studied comprehensively the experimental design of the NM64. Consequently the efficiency of neutron counters to record evaporation neutrons produced in the lead of a monitor increased from 1.9% for the IGY to 5.7% for the NM64, an increase of 3.3 times the counting rate per unit area of lead producer. During the years much attention was given to the neutron multiplicity spectrum in neutron monitors. This spectrum is related to the energy spectrum of the nucleonic component incident on the neutron monitor, but is only weakly dependent on the spectrum of galactic cosmic rays at the top of the atmosphere. Contrary to galactic cosmic rays, solar flare protons and neutrons are observed predominantly as single counts per interaction, in multiplicity 1, because of the softness of solar flare particle energy spectra. Neutron monitors have also been specially designed to record solar neutrons with increased sensitivity. Newly developed ³He counters with a largely reduced thermal neutron absorption mean free path should lead to improved efficiency in recording primary cosmic radiation. Design criteria are discussed. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Solar cosmic radiation during August 1972

Low energy cosmic rays produced by the spectacular series of solar flares in August 1972 are reviewed. Satellite observations of electrons, protons and alpha particles are compared. The proton differential energy spectrum is discussed at certain key times during the events. Three energetic storm particle events were produced over the time period covered by the detailed analysis, 2–11 August. The origin of the cosmic ray square wave on 5 August is discussed. Measurements of heavy ions are available both from Pioneer 10 and from a high latitude rocket flight on 4 August.The literature survey for this review was concluded in August 1975.     

10Be Production in the Atmosphere by Galactic Cosmic Rays

Galactic cosmic ray nuclei and energetic protons produced in solar flares and accelerated by coronal mass ejections are the main sources of high-energy particles of extraterrestrial origin in near-Earth space and inside the Earth’s atmosphere. The intensity of galactic cosmic rays inside the heliosphere is strongly influenced by the modulation of the interstellar source particles on their way through interplanetary space. Among others, this modulation depends on the activity of the Sun, and the resulting intensity of the energetic particles in the atmosphere is an indicator of the solar activity. Therefore, rare isotopes found in historical archives and produced by spallation reactions of primary and secondary hadrons of cosmic origin in the atmosphere, so-called cosmogenic nuclides, can be used to reconstruct the solar activity in the past. The production rate of ¹⁰Be, one of the cosmogenic nuclides most adequate to study the solar activity, is presented showing its variations with geographic latitude and altitude and the dependence on different production cross-sections present in literature. In addition, estimates for altitude integrated production rates of ¹⁰Be at different locations since the early nineteen sixties are shown.     

Cosmic-Ray Energy Spectra and Time Variations in the Local Interstellar Medium: Constraints and Uncertainties

The spectra of galactic cosmic rays that are observed inside the heliosphere result from the interaction of the spectra present in the local interstellar medium with the structured but turbulent magnetic field carried by the solar wind. Observational tests of solar modulation theory depend on comparisons between spectra inside and outside the heliosphere. Our knowledge of the local interstellar spectra are indirect, using extrapolations of interplanetary spectra measured at high energies where solar modulation effects are minimal and modeling of the physical processes that occur during particle acceleration and transport in the interstellar medium. The resulting estimates of the interstellar spectra can also be checked against observations of the effects that cosmic rays have on the chemistry of the interstellar medium and on the production of the diffuse galactic gamma-ray background. I review the present understanding of the local galactic cosmic-ray spectra, emphasizing the constraints set by observations and the uncertainties that remain.     

The streaming of solar flare particles and plasma in interplanetary space

A review is given of the features of solar particle emissions which cause various terrestrial disturbances. Three types of corpuscular emissions, namely, solar cosmic rays, energetic storm protons and plasma clouds, are associated with intense solar flares. Outward streaming of the solar wind and of beams of enhanced activity originate from the quiescent solar corona. It is shown that these solar particles propagate through interplanetary space, being modulated in a systematic way by existing magnetic fields. Time variations of solar flare particle flux, and their energy spectrum, are discussed.     

Space Weather and the Ground-Level Solar Proton Events of the 23rd Solar Cycle

Solar proton events can adversely affect space and ground-based systems. Ground-level events are a subset of solar proton events that have a harder spectrum than average solar proton events and are detectable on Earth’s surface by cosmic radiation ionization chambers, muon detectors, and neutron monitors. This paper summarizes the space weather effects associated with ground-level solar proton events during the 23rd solar cycle. These effects include communication and navigation systems, spacecraft electronics and operations, space power systems, manned space missions, and commercial aircraft operations. The major effect of ground-level events that affect manned spacecraft operations is increased radiation exposure. The primary effect on commercial aircraft operations is the loss of high frequency communication and, at extreme polar latitudes, an increase in the radiation exposure above that experienced from the background galactic cosmic radiation. Calculations of the maximum potential aircraft polar route exposure for each ground-level event of the 23rd solar cycle are presented. The space weather effects in October and November 2003 are highlighted together with on-going efforts to utilize cosmic ray neutron monitors to predict high energy solar proton events, thus providing an alert so that system operators can possibly make adjustments to vulnerable spacecraft operations and polar aircraft routes.     

Cosmic Rays in the Inner Heliosphere: Insights from Observations, Theory and Models

The global modulation of galactic cosmic rays in the inner heliosphere is determined by four major mechanisms: convection, diffusion, particle drifts (gradient, curvature and current sheet drifts), and adiabatic energy losses. When these processes combine to produce modulation, the complexity increases significantly especially when one wants to describe how they evolve spatially in all three dimensions throughout the heliosphere, and with time, as a function of solar activity over at least 22 years. In this context also the global structure and features of the solar wind, the heliospheric magnetic field, the wavy current sheet, and of the heliosphere and its interface with the interstellar medium, play important roles. Space missions have contributed significantly to our knowledge during the past decade. In the inner heliosphere, Ulysses and several other missions have contributed to establish the relative importance of these major mechanisms, leading to renewed interest in developing more sophisticated theories and numerical models to explain these observations, and to understand the underlying physics that determines galactic cosmic ray modulation at Earth. An overview is given of some of the observational and modeling highlights over the past decade.     

Large solar event of September 29, 1989: ten years after

Out of the 56 Ground Level Enhancements (GLEs) of solar cosmic rays (SCRs) observed since 1942 until the present, 15 events were recorded in the 22nd cycle of solar activity (1986–1996). Solar proton events (SPEs) in that cycle displayed some peculiarities, which may need an interpretation on a new concept base. The event of September 29, 1989 is of special interest. Since the well-known event of February 23, 1956, it proved to be the most intense in the relativistic range of proton energies. This GLE affords a unique opportunity to study the propagation of SCRs over a wide range of rigidity.In spite of its occurrence behind the western solar limb, the originating major flare could be observed over a wide range of the wavelengths and particle energy spectra – from gamma rays to decametric radio waves, from >2 MeV electrons to multi-GeV protons; there were also measurements of the energy spectra and charge states of solar heavy nuclei. The flare was followed by some energetic solar phenomena (large magnetic loops, coronal eruptions and mass ejections, shocks, etc.). Due to the very hard rigidity spectrum, this was the first GLE recorded by underground muon detectors. The event also has a number of other unusual features, for example, an extended component of gamma-ray emission and the change in direction of the probable particle source during the event's initial stage. In addition, the intensity-time profile of the GLE is notable for its non-classic shape, showing a two-peak structure. The latter implies the possibility of a two-component (or two-source) ejection of accelerated particles from the Sun.The available observational data for the event is described in detail, the main focus of this paper is concentrated on different attempts to interpret the data within the framework of traditional and non-traditional concepts: shock and/or post-eruption acceleration, two-component (dual) ejection, two-source model of particle acceleration in large (extended) coronal structures, etc. None of the models put forward for explaining this event is exhaustive. The rigidity spectrum of ejected protons is estimated and the problem of the maximum rigidity, R _m, of the accelerated particles is discussed. In the relativistic range, this event proved to be by 1–2 orders less intense than the event of February 23, 1956. It is also shown that the event of September 29, 1989 could not have been recorded with the present-day neutrino detectors.     

The termination shock of the solar wind

An overview of the solar wind termination shock is presented including: its place in the heliosphere and its origin; its structure including the role of interstellar pickup ions and galactic and anomalous cosmic rays; its inferred location based on Lyman- backscatter, Voyager radio signals, and anomalous cosmic rays; its shape and movement.