锥导乘波体构型的气动特性不确定度分析

为研究锥导乘波体偏离设计条件下气动特性变化情况,采用稀疏的非嵌入式混沌多项式方法,对乘波体气动特性进行了不确定性量化及全局非线性灵敏度分析。首先,采用CATIA二次开发技术对锥导乘波体进行参数化建模;其次,在来流速度、温度、密度和迎角满足特定扰动的条件下,通过拉丁超立方试验设计生成样本,并采用CFD进行计算;最后,根据试验设计样本建立响应面,通过混沌多项式分析得到了乘波体气动力系数的不确定度。灵敏度分析结果表明,迎角在锥导乘波体的气动特性变化中起主导作用。对马赫数和压强的流场不确定性分析结果表明,气动特性变化主因是乘波体前缘处的压力泄漏,影响了上表面压力分布,导致了气动性能的改变。     

整级环境下涡轮叶片型面加工几何偏差影响的不确定性分析

加工等过程中产生的几何偏差会导致涡轮叶片气动性能及工作状态发生显著变化,对该影响的准确评估与合理分析具有重要意义.本文提出了一种考虑三维型面几何偏差对气动性能影响的不确定性计算分析方法,包括随机叶型几何建模、不确定性量化计算和敏感性分析等,并结合某一单级高压涡轮进行分析.基于随机过程理论和主成分分析法,参考现有叶片加工...     

Adjoint-based robust optimization design of laminar flow wing under flight condition uncertainties

It is an inherent uncertainty problem that the application of laminar flow technology to the wing of large passenger aircraft is affected by flight conditions. In order to seek a more robust natural laminar flow control effect, it is necessary to develop an effective optimization design method. Meanwhile, attention must be given to the impact of crossflow(CF) instability brought on by the sweep angle. This paper constructs a robust optimization design framework based on discrete adjoint methods ...     

Uncertainty analysis of turbulence model in capturing flows involving laminarization and retransition

Flows experiencing laminarization and retransition are universal and crucial in many engineering applications. The objective of this study is to conduct an uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis of turbulence model closure coefficients in capturing laminarization and retransition for a rapidly contracting channel flow. Specifically, two commonly used turbulence models are considered: the Spalart-Allmaras (SA) one-equation model and the Menter Shear Stress Transport (SST) two-equation model. Thereby, a series of steady Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) predictions of aero-engine intake acceleration scenarios are carried out with the purposely designed turbulence model closure coefficients. As a result, both SA and SST models fail to capture the retransition phenomenon though they achieve pretty good performance in laminarization. Using the non-intrusive polynomial chaos method, solution uncertainties in velocity, pressure, and surface friction are quantified and analyzed, which reveals that the SST model possesses much great uncertainty in the non-laminar regime, especially for the logarithmic law prediction. Besides, a sensitivity analysis is performed to identify the critical contributors to the solution uncertainty, and then the correlations between the closure coefficients and the deviations of the outputs of interest are obtained via the linear regression method. The results indicate that the diffusion-related constants are the dominant uncertainty contributors for both SA and SST models. Furthermore, the remarkably strong correlation between the critical closure coefficients and the outputs might be a good guide to recalibrate and even optimize the commonly used turbulence models.     

飞机结冰的不确定性量化研究进展

为深入认识影响飞机结冰的不确定性及其研究方法,从自然条件结冰、冰风洞试验、数值模拟等方面,介绍了飞机结冰不确定性来源,以蒙特卡洛法、多项式混沌法和随机配置法等为例,系统分析了各种不确定性量化方法在计算能力、求解精度等方面的优劣。考虑飞机结冰不确定性量化处于起步时期,重点综述了数值模拟中结冰条件不确定性对冰形和气动特性的影响。从结合单步法和多步法确定最佳结冰时间步长来提升结冰计算精度和效率、对其他关键部件进行结冰不确定性量化从而为更精细化的防/除冰系统的设计提供支撑,以及通过建立高精度的代理模型来代替原本复杂的数值模拟系统以应对考虑多个不确定性因素共同作用所带来的计算挑战等多个方面,全面展望不确定性量化方法及其在飞机结冰应用中的发展方向。     

A novel robust aerodynamic optimization technique coupled with adjoint solvers and polynomial chaos expansion

Uncertainty is common in the life cycle of an aircraft, and Robust Aerodynamic Optimization(RAO) that considers uncertainty is important in aircraft design. To avoid the curse of dimensionality in surrogate-based optimization, this study proposes an adjoint RAO technique called ‘‘R-Opt”. Polynomial Chaos Expansion(PCE) is coupled with the R-Opt technique to quantify uncertainty in the responses of the target(including its mean and standard deviation). Only one process of PCE model construction i...     

涡轮动叶凹槽状叶顶传热特性和气动性能的不确定性量化研究

基于非嵌入式多项式混沌展开方法,结合Smolyak稀疏网格技术与Sobol Indic方法构建了涡轮动叶凹槽状叶顶传热特性和气动性能不确定性量化分析系统。研究并量化了几何参数叶顶间隙和运行工况参数主流进口总温与气膜冷却吹风比不确定性对涡轮动叶凹槽状叶顶气热特性的影响。不确定性分析结果表明：在考虑叶顶间隙与主流进口总温和吹风比不确定性的情况下,叶顶换热量 基本符合正态分布。 的统计均值相对于设计值增加13.56%并且其偏离设计值10%的概率高达65.68%。相比叶顶尾缘区域,叶顶前缘部分的换热量对不确定性输入更加敏感。前缘区域的叶片壁面换热量 的不确定性明显大于尾缘部分。在叶顶间隙与主流进口总温和吹风比不确定性的影响下,0-80%轴向弦长区域内叶顶总压损失系数存在微小偏差,但在80%轴向弦长以后区域总压损失系数的不确定性偏差会达到约50%。敏感度分析的结果表明主流进口总温是叶片换热性能不确定性的主导变量,其对 与 不确定性的贡献分别为93.87%和98.32%。叶顶气动性能的不确定性则完全由叶顶间隙控制,其对叶顶总压损失系数不确定性的方差占比高达86.44%。与主效应相比,各变量间的二阶交互效应对叶顶气热性能的影响几乎可以忽略不计。     

Bayesian uncertainty analysis of SA turbulence model for supersonic jet interaction simulations

The Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS) models are still the workhorse in current engineering applications due to its high efficiency and robustness. However, the closure coefficients of RANS turbulence models are determined by model builders according to some simple fundamental flows, and the suggested values may not be applicable to complex flows, especially supersonic jet interaction flow. In this work, the Bayesian method is employed to recalibrate the closure coefficients of Spalart-Allma...     

基于卷积神经网络和多项式混沌方法的翼型鲁棒性优化

在常规的翼型优化设计方法中,设计点处最优翼型的气动性能会在非设计点处有所恶化,因此有必要对翼型鲁棒性优化方法进行研究。提出一种基于卷积神经网络和多项式混沌方法的翼型鲁棒性设计方法,首先搭建基于卷积神经网络的气动力预测模型;其次采用多项式混沌方法对马赫数和攻角进行不确定度量化,构建翼型鲁棒性气动优化设计系统;最后对以 RAE2822 翼型为基准翼型的气动优化设计问题进行优化设计验证。结果表明：本文提出的翼型鲁棒性设计方法可行,优化后翼型的气动性能和鲁棒性气动优化设计效率在较宽的设计范围内都有所提升。     

考虑几何设计参数不确定性影响的涡轮叶栅稳健性气动设计优化

外形偏差是典型的叶片气动不确定性影响因素，考虑几何设计参数不确定性影响的叶片稳健性气动设计优化（RADO）有助于提高叶片平均气动性能及气动稳健性。首先，介绍RADO的基本原理及实现方法，采用基于灵敏度分析的叶片气动不确定性量化方法计算叶片目标气动函数的统计值，并实现目标函数对设计参数的梯度计算。然后，开展考虑设计参数不确定性影响的HS1A跨声速涡轮叶栅RADO研究，降低总压损失系数的统计均值及方差；通过与确定性气动设计优化（DADO）对比，揭示RADO在改善优化叶片气动稳健性方面的有效性和优越性。最后，对叶片进行流场统计分析，进一步揭示气动外形优化设计对降低总压损失系数敏感度的影响机理。     

叶顶间隙偏差对叶片气动性能影响的不确定性研究

在压气机叶片加工过程中，实际加工得到的叶片外形与设计叶型不可避免会存在一些偏差。为研究叶片叶顶间隙尺寸波动对性能的影响，以Rotor37为研究对象，采用三维定常数值模拟方法，基于非嵌入式混沌多项式中二维正态分布变量产生方法，分别对叶片前缘叶顶间隙和尾缘叶顶间隙进行尺寸波动干扰，研究了叶顶间隙不确定性对气动性能和流场的不确定性影响，评估了公差带内叶顶间隙偏差与气动性能变化的相关性，并探究了叶顶间隙变化对叶片稳定裕度的影响机理。研究发现，叶顶间隙偏差对等背压条件下叶片质量流量、等熵效率和总压比的平均水平几乎不会造成影响；叶顶间隙偏差所造成的气动性能分布标准差随工况点向不稳定边界的逼近而逐渐增大。同时，叶顶间隙不确定性会导致样本稳定裕度均值有所降低，不确定性分析中稳定裕度均值相对原型叶片下降了2.42%。流场结构方面，叶顶间隙偏差主要影响80%叶高以上部分流场；叶顶间隙偏差对叶顶区域泄漏流产生的影响，导致了叶片稳定裕度的变化。     

Influence of leading edge with real manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance of high subsonic compressor cascades

To investigate the influence of real leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance of high subsonic compressor blades, a family of leading-edge manufacturing error data were obtained from measured compressor cascades. Considering the limited samples, the leading-edge angle and leading-edge radius distribution forms were evaluated by Shapiro-Wilk test and quantile–quantile plot. Their statistical characteristics provided can be introduced to later related researches. The parameterization design method B-spline and Bezier are adopted to create geometry models with manufacturing error based on leading-edge angle and leading-edge radius. The influence of real manufacturing error is quantified and analyzed by self-developed non-intrusive polynomial chaos and Sobol’ indices. The mechanism of leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance is discussed. The results show that the total pressure loss coefficient is sensitive to the leading-edge manufacturing error compared with the static pressure ratio, especially at high incidence. Specifically, manufacturing error of the leading edge will influence the local flow acceleration and subsequently cause fluctuation of the downstream flow. The aerodynamic performance is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge radius at the design and negative incidences, while it is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge angle under the operation conditions with high incidences.     

垂直起降运载火箭返回轨迹不确定性优化

针对垂直起降运载火箭一子级在返回着陆的过程中存在的参数不确定性,提出了一种基于非侵入式多项式混沌展开的序列优化和可靠度评估的返回轨迹不确定性优化方法。首先,建立了返回多飞行段轨迹在确定性条件下的优化模型。然后,为同时兼顾轨迹的鲁棒性和可靠性,建立了由鲁棒最优目标函数、基于可靠度的路径约束和鲁棒等式约束组成的不确定性返回轨迹优化模型。最后,基于非侵入式多项式混沌展开方法对鲁棒目标函数和等式约束进行量化处理,将原随机鲁棒优化问题转化为高维状态空间中的等价确定性优化问题;为提高路径约束的可靠度评估效率,基于非侵入式多项式混沌展开方法对最可能点法进行改进,进一步发展了序列优化和可靠度评估策略。数值仿真结果表明,所提出的不确定性优化方法具有较好的鲁棒性,可以满足工程可靠性指标要求,同时还具有较高的精度和计算效率。     

端壁倒圆半径误差对高负荷静叶栅性能影响的不确定性分析

为对压气机静子叶片高精度设计与制造提供有力参考,以某高负荷压气机静子叶栅为研究对象,采用基于高斯分布型随机输入的非嵌入式多项式混沌方法,量化评估了端壁倒圆半径误差对最小损失和近失速两个工况下气动性能的不确定性影响。结果表明:倒圆半径误差的不确定性对气动性能的平均水平影响不大,主要反映在气动性能参数的标准差上。提高倒圆半径的加工精度可提升气动性能的鲁棒性近一倍。加工精度一定时,为对叶片进行鲁棒性优化设计,应重点关注近失速工况下气动损失的鲁棒性。根据公差带内端壁倒圆半径与近失速工况下气动性能的关联性分析,倒圆半径与气动性能呈线性关系,应避免倒圆半径与设计值相比偏小的叶片投入使用,以期获得良好的气动性能。通过近失速流场的不确定性分析,分离流动对于倒圆半径误差更为敏感,是引起气动性能不确定性变化的主要因素。      

基于稀疏网格配置方法的超燃冲压发动机高维不确定性量化

为了定量化的评估和研究随机不确定性对超燃冲压发动机性能评估及优化设计可能带来的影响及其规律特征,本文基于高斯过程描述发动机工作状态及来流环境等控制参数随机误差,建立由自由来流条件、进气道压缩系统以及燃烧加热等构成的发动机输入边界不确定性表征。耦合全局敏感度分析、稀疏网格技术、概率配置方法及等压燃烧热力学分析模型,提出了面向超燃冲压发动机高维不确定性量化方法,研究量化了上述随机不确定性输入对典型超燃冲压发动机性能的影响及其不确定性传递特征。结果表明：马赫数6.0巡航条件下,发动机的比冲对进气道的压缩过程最为敏感,占比达到65%~70%,而对燃烧加热的敏感性最低,进气道压缩系统的初始压缩激波以及来流马赫数对于整个超燃冲压发动机的比推力敏感性要显著高于其他输入因素;随着燃烧室入口马赫数由2.0增大到3.0,单一因素存在5%不确定性导致的发动机比冲性能评估的不确定度由最小的5.5%快速放大到约7.63%,系统朝着不稳定的方向发展,多种随机不确定性共同作用下的发动机性能不确定性传递存在一定的耦合效应;高速进气道正常工作需要处理的空气动能与外部注入的燃料热能之比随飞行马赫数增加呈现近似2次方指数型增长,从能量流视角开展进一步的分析研究将非常有助于深度理解超燃冲压发动机性能不确定性的传递行为。     

Quantification of parametric uncertainty in γ-Reθ model for typical flat plate and airfoil transitional flows

Owing to the lack of physical knowledge of boundary layer transition, the γ-Re_θ transition model introduces closure parameters, which increase the uncertainty of transition prediction. The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainties of closure parameters in the quantities of interests and identify the key parameters. The six closure parameters in the uncertainty intervals are used as input variables, and the uncertainties of the output results are propagated by a stochastic expansion based on the point-collocation nonintrusive polynomial chaos method. The relative contribution of each parameter to uncertainty is evaluated by the Sobol index. The computational cases include natural and bypass transitional flows on zero-pressure-gradient flat plates, and subsonic and transonic flows around airfoils. For most cases, c_e2, c_a2, and c_a1 dominate the uncertainty, and the influence of σ_θt is also significant when the history effects of flow are evident. The contribution of parameters in airfoils is more complex than that in flat plates. The transonic airfoil case shows that flow separation dramatically changes the distribution of Sobol indices, which poses a challenge to the accurate prediction of transition. Generally, c_e2 and c_a2 are the key parameters of the γ-Re_θ model.     

Uncertainty analysis of measured geometric variations in turbine blades and impact on aerodynamic performance

Inevitable geometric variations significantly affect the performance of turbines or even that of entire engines; thus, it is necessary to determine their actual characteristics and accurately estimate their impact on performance. In this study, based on 1781 measured profiles of a typical turbine blade, the statistical characteristics of the geometric variations and the uncertainty impact are analyzed, and some commonly used uncertainty modelling methods based on PrincipalComponent Analysis(PCA)...     

湍流模型系数不确定度对翼型绕流模拟的影响

使用非嵌入式多项式混沌方法研究了湍流模型系数的不确定度对RAE2822跨声速翼型绕流模拟的影响。计算中关注了数值模拟的积分量（升力系数、阻力系数）和局部量（壁面压力、摩擦系数和空间马赫数分布）的不确定度量化结果。首先,从单输入变量入手,研究卡门常数的不确定度对数值模拟的影响。然后,同时考虑Spalart-Allmaras模型中9个参数的不确定度带来的影响。通过多项式混沌展开,得到系统输出对不确定输入变量的响应,由此可以得到输出的统计特性,包括平均值、方差和极值等信息。最后,在多变量不确定度量化过程中,通过Sobol指标来量化每个输入变量的不确定度对输出不确定度的贡献程度。本文计算只考虑了RAE2822跨声速翼型模拟的单一计算状态,影响规律是否可以推及其他工况和算例需要进一步检验。     

Sensitivity analysis of flowfield modeling parameters upon the flow structure and aerodynamics of an opposing jet over a hypersonic blunt body

Implementation of an opposing jet in design of a hypersonic blunt body significantly modifies the external flowfield and yields a considerable reduction in the aerodynamic drag. This study aims to investigate the effects of flowfield modeling parameters of injection and freestream on the flow structure and aerodynamics of a blunt body with an opposing jet in hypersonic flow. Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations with a Shear Stress Transport (SST) turbulence model are employed to simulate the intricate jet flow interaction. Through utilizing a Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos (NIPC) method to construct surrogates, a functional relation is established between input modeling parameters and output flowfield and aerodynamic quantities in concern. Sobol indices in sensitivity analysis are introduced to represent the relative contribution of each parameter. It is found that variations in modeling parameters produce large variations in the flow structure and aerodynamics. The jet-to-freestream total-pressure ratio, jet Mach number, and freestream Mach number are the major contributors to variation in surface pressure, demonstrating an evident location-dependent behavior. The penetration length of injection, reattachment angle of the shear layer, and aerodynamic drag are also most sensitive to the three crucial parameters above. In comparison, the contributions of freestream temperature, freestream density, and jet total temperature are nearly negligible.