基于PHM技术的导弹维修保障

为解决传统导弹维修保障方法所存在的问题,加快军队信息化建设,提出了基于PHM技术的导弹维修保障方法。分析了不同维修方式、导弹维修保障及信息化建设与PHM技术的关系,利用PHM技术并结合决策支持的思想,建立导弹健康状态的信息管理系统,初步分析了系统的基本结构组成,并结合实际提出了一些需要重点解决的问题。     

A novel approach of testability modeling and analysis for PHM systems based on failure evolution mechanism

Prognostics and health management (PHM) significantly improves system availability and reliability, and reduces the cost of system operations. Design for testability (DFT) developed concurrently with system design is an important way to improve PHM capability. Testability modeling and analysis are the foundation of DFT. This paper proposes a novel approach of testability modeling and analysis based on failure evolution mechanisms. At the component level, the fault progression-related information of each unit under test (UUT) in a system is obtained by means of failure modes, evolution mechanisms, effects and criticality analysis (FMEMECA), and then the failure-symptom dependency can be generated. At the system level, the dynamic attributes of UUTs are assigned by using the bond graph methodology, and then the symptom-test dependency can be obtained by means of the functional flow method. Based on the failure-symptom and symptom-test dependencies, testability analysis for PHM systems can be realized. A shunt motor is used to verify the application of the approach proposed in this paper. Experimental results show that this approach is able to be applied to testability modeling and analysis for PHM systems very well, and the analysis results can provide a guide for engineers to design for testability in order to improve PHM performance.     

农村家庭资产配置与金融市场参与的实证研究——以浙江金华地区为例

通过金融深化增加农村家庭参与金融市场的机会，提高农村家庭的福利，让金融为广大农村家庭服务，改善其资源配置，解决农村金融抑制的问题，是当前金融改革与发展的一个重要内容。文章将农村家庭的实物资产分为生活型与生产投资型，将金融资产分为安全型和风险型，根据问卷调查获取的数据建立Logistic回归模型，对东部地区农村家庭实物资产配置和参与金融市场的决定因素进行研究，探讨当前农村的金融深化与金融发展路径。     

PHM技术在液压伺服系统中的应用

为了提高液压伺服系统的可靠性和可用性,将故障预测与健康管理（PHM）技术应用到该系统中,并对其核心技术进行研究。重点研究在液压伺服系统的性能发生退化时对该系统进行的故障检测、健康评估及预测。对液压伺服系统PHM技术研究可为系统故障检测、退化评估和寿命预测的工程实践提供有力的理论支撑,并且PHM技术研究是故障诊断技术新的发展方向。最终,实验结果证明了该PHM技术在液压伺服系统故障诊断上的有效性和适用性。     

军用航空发动机PHM发展策略及关键技术

提出了军用航空发动机预测与健康管理(prognostics and health management,简称PHM)系统的发展策略和关键技术.首先回顾了国外航空发动机PHM技术的发展历史,简要分析了各个阶段具有代表性的技术特点;其次,详细论述了航空发动机PHM技术发展应当妥善处理的关系和重要问题,主要包括PHM技术发展与空军军事需求、PHM技术发展与技术成熟度体系、立足三代机平台发展PHM技术、在发动机全寿命管理体系引入PHM系统、建议的航空发动机PHM功能和结构等;接着,结合国内技术发展水平,给出了应当重点优先发展关键技术的建议;最后,简要总结了制约国内PHM技术发展的因素,展望了瞄准的技术发展目标.      

IEEE Standards for Prognostics and Health Management

Recently operators of complex systems such as aircraft, power plants, and networks have been emphasizing the need for on-line health monitoring for purposes of maximizing operational availability and safety. The discipline of prognostics and health management (PHM) is being formalized to address the information management and prediction requirements for addressing these needs. Herein, we will explore how standards currently under development within the IEEE can be used to support PHM applications. Particular emphasis will be placed on the role of PHM and PHM-related standards with Department of Defense (DOD) automatic test systems-related research.     

航空电子的故障预测与健康管理技术

分析了引发航空电子设备故障的各种因素;详细讨论了航空电子设备全寿命周期内的故障预测与健康管理（PHM）技术,包括故障检测与健康监测、健康信息处理、故障预测和余寿评估;还介绍了基于健康信息综合管理的航空电子PHM系统的设计。     

以客户智能为引擎的分析型CRM体系结构

电子商务营销企业为创造、保持和扩展客户关系,满足顾客的需求目标,必须有效地利用信息技术来改善企业的管理效率和管理模式,从而能快速做出决策,及时对市场及客户的需求做出反应.为此,提出了一种电子商务环境下,以点击流数据仓库为基础、以客户智能为引擎的分析型CRM体系结构,并对实施过程中的关键问题进行了详细讨论.该结构可以把用户在电子商务网站上的点击流和web日志文件作为数据源,可以快速、有效的分析用户行为,从而为企业创造更多的经济效益.     

故障预测与健康管理(PHM)技术的现状与发展

 结合故障预测与健康管理(PHM)的技术发展过程,阐述了PHM的应用价值。论述了PHM技术系统级应用问题,提出了故障诊断与预测的人-机-环完整性认知模型,并依此对蓬勃发展的故障诊断与故障预测技术进行了分类与综合分析,给出了PHM技术的发展图像。针对故障诊断与预测的不确定性特征,对故障诊断与预测技术的性能要求、定量评价与验证方法进行了分析。最后,以PHM技术的工程应用为线索,提出了PHM技术发展中的几个问题。     

飞机预测与健康管理体系结构浅析

飞机预测与健康管理(Prognostics and Health Management,PHM)是以美国JSF飞机为代表的新一代飞机自主后勤概念的核心.PHM技术的应用,有效地降低了飞机全寿命周期的使用维护费用,提高了飞机战备完好率和任务成功率,保证了飞机及其各系统能够安全、可靠、高效地运行.本文在分析了美国JSF飞机...     

Peripheral emulation extends equipment life [ATE]

The ATE industry can benefit greatly by becoming better informed about the availability, functionality, and reliability of emulated peripheral solutions. Emulated peripherals provide the ability to dramatically extend the life of aging ATE equipment, while making that equipment more reliable, more functional, much easier to use, and much simpler to support. The use of emulated disk drives and tape drives can completely eliminate persistent maintenance headaches, increase ATE station availability and reliability, and provide a reasonably priced technology refresh without costly software modifications or system recertification.     

资产减值会计实践的理论透视

对影响资产减值会计实践的因素进行了理论分析，认为决策有用观是资产减值会计实践的逻辑起点，未来经济利益观是资产减值会计实践的本质，谨慎性原则是资产减值会计实践的依据，而相关性与可靠性的权衡，则构成了资产减值会计实践的关键限制。因此，为相关性和可靠性的权衡制定明确的标准，并对决策有用会计信息质量特征进行反思和重构，是推动资产减值会计实践的根本要求和有效途径。     

Integrated automatic vehicle location systems

The state-of-the-art transportation management system integrates automatic vehicle location, in-vehicle systems, customer information networks, and management information systems. As advanced technologies are integrated into transportation systems, the transit system becomes more efficient and reliable, which, in turn, makes it more attractive to users. The greatest benefit will not be realized until all of these technologies are integrated. Transit agencies and system integrators who take a total systems approach to the integration of advanced technologies will have a competitive advantage. They will provide services which provide the greatest utility to prospective users, riders, and the transit agency at the lowest cost     

民用飞机健康管理技术研究

随着民用飞机的系统集成度和复杂性大大提高,为降低民用飞机的运营成本、提高安全性和可靠性,民用飞机健康管理系统成为航空制造行业的发展趋势。本文简要介绍了民用飞机健康管理技术在国内外的发展现状,现阶段技术条件下所面临的问题以及所涉及的关键技术。着重介绍了民用飞机健康管理技术研究的方法和研究的内容,并对民用飞机健康管理技术未来的发展趋势进行了展望。     

A novel testability model for health management of heading attitude system

Prognostics and health management (PHM) is very important to guarantee the reliability and safety of aerospace systems, and sensing and test are the precondition of PHM. Integrating design for testability into early design stage of system early design stage is deemed as a fundamental way to improve PHM performance, and testability model is the base of testability analysis and design. This paper discusses a hierarchical model-based approach to testability modeling and analysis for heading attitude system health management. Quantified directed graph, of which the nodes represent components and tests and the directed edges represent fault propagation paths, is used to describe fault-test dependency, and quantitative testability information is assigned to nodes and directed edges. The fault dependencies between nodes can be obtained by functional fault analysis methodology that captures the physical architecture and material flows such as energy, heat, data, and so on. By incorporating physics of failure models into component, the dynamic process of a failing or degrading component can be projected onto system behavior, i.e., system symptoms. Then, the analysis of extended failure modes, mechanisms and effects is utilized to construct fault evolution-test dependency. Using this integrated model, the designers and system analysts can assess the test suite’s fault detectability, fault isolability and fault predictability. And heading attitude system application results show that the proposed model can support testability analysis and design for PHM very well.     

分离模块航天器研究综述

对分离模块航天器产生的背景及概念进行了阐述和分析,介绍了包括F6系统、天基群组系统、SkyLAN（空间局域网）等在内的几种主要分离模块航天器系统,并在此基础上归纳总结出了分离模块航天器在同轨多模块系统设计、功能系统设计、信息交互技术、队形保持重组及功能适变技术、无线信息传输技术、分布式天线技术等方面的技术特点及难点,最后讨论了分离模块航天器进一步的研究方向和发展前景。     

考虑预防性维修的离散时间单部件系统的可用度模型

对预防性维修的单部件离散可修系统,假定系统寿命、修复性维修和预防性维修的修复时间均遵从离散的一般分布,修复为完全修复,利用概率分析的方法详细讨论了系统正常、修复性维修和预防性维修3个状态之间的转移关系,在此基础上建立了该系统的瞬态可用度模型,最后进行了仿真校验。结果表明,预防性维修对系统瞬时可用度的影响较大,特别是当系统故障率为单调递增时,合理的预防性维修将起到提高系统可用度的效果,该模型能较好地反映工程中的情况,具有良好的工程应用前景,可以帮助维修人员更好地完成工程系统的保障和维修。     

基于半马尔可夫模型的民用航空发动机热端组件系统检查间隔优化

根据采集的民用航空发动机热端组件系统检修信息和专家对系统退化状态的判别,在系统状态退化过程为离散半马尔可夫链过程的假设前提下,分别建立了基于专家估计数据、基于检查数据以及基于融合数据的各宏观退化状态驻留时间估计模型,并应用最大似然函数法和MCMC（Markov chain Monte Carlo）法对模型参数进行估计,得到基于不同数据源的各宏观退化状态下驻留时间估计值和状态转移系数,并以一定使用周期内的检修费用最优为目标建立状态转移概率模型,仿真得到3个典型宏观退化状态下的最优检查间隔分别为1750、350、70循环。该仿真结果与目前的民航运行生产工程实际情况非常接近,可以为民航运输企业的检修决策提供客户化的决策支持并提高经济效益。      

部分可观测信息条件下装备剩余寿命预测

 针对部分可观测信息条件下退化系统的剩余寿命(RUL)预测问题,综合利用装备的历史寿命信息和性能退化信息,采用隐马尔可夫模型(HMM)对系统进行状态评估,得到系统的转移概率矩阵和观测概率矩阵;采用Bayes方法不断更新系统状态空间的条件概率分布;利用比例故障率模型(PHM)对系统进行可靠性分析,得到系统的故障率和可靠度函数,进而得到装备的剩余寿命分布。研究表明,该方法可较准确地预测装备的剩余寿命,为保障人员提供科学的维修决策依据。     

直升机维修任务优化设计技术研究

本文通过对某海军型号保障性技术的应用研究,在"以可靠性为中心"的维修分析(RCMA)的基础上,阐述了以安全性和经济性为目标约束,优化确定维修间隔期的方法和数学模型,为后续型号研制更加深入地应用保障性技术确定维修保障时间奠定了基础.