Observability in passive target motion analysis

The nature of observability of nonlinear systems encountered in passive target motion analysis (TMA) is carefully examined. The approach proposed here is based upon a well-chosen criterion which allows us to answer the major observability questions     

On the performance of polarimetric target detection algorithms

The performance of six polarimetric target detection algorithms is analyzed. The detection performance of the optimal polarimetric detector (OPD), the identity-likelihood-ratio-test (ILRT), the polarimetric whitening filter (PWF), the single-polarimetric channel detector, the span detector, and the power maximization synthesis (PMS) detector is compared. Results are presented for both probabilistic and deterministic targets in the presence of complex Gaussian clutter. The results indicate that the PWF and the ILRT typically achieve near optimal performance. The remaining detection algorithms typically yield performance that is degraded compared to the performance of the OPD, the PWF, and the ILRT     

Interacting multiple model methods in target tracking: a survey

The Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) estimator is a suboptimal hybrid filter that has been shown to be one of the most cost-effective hybrid state estimation schemes. The main feature of this algorithm is its ability to estimate the state of a dynamic system with several behavior modes which can “switch” from one to another. In particular, the IMM estimator can be a self-adjusting variable-bandwidth filter, which makes it natural for tracking maneuvering targets. The importance of this approach is that it is the best compromise available currently-between complexity and performance: its computational requirements are nearly linear in the size of the problem (number of models) while its performance is almost the same as that of an algorithm with quadratic complexity. The objective of this work is to survey and put in perspective the existing IMM methods for target tracking problems. Special attention is given to the assumptions underlying each algorithm and its applicability to various situations     

Interacting multiple model tracking with target amplitude feature

A recursive tracking algorithm is presented which uses the strength of target returns to improve track formation performance and track maintenance through target maneuvers in a cluttered environment. This technique combines the interacting multiple model (IMM) approach with a generalized probabilistic data association (PDA), which uses the measured return amplitude in conjunction with probabilistic models for the target and clutter returns. Key tracking decisions can be made automatically by assessing the probabilities of target models to provide rapid and accurate decisions for both true track acceptance and false track dismissal in track formation. It also provides the ability to accurately continue tracking through coordinated turn target maneuvers     

PDAF with multiple clutter regions and target models

This paper presents the theory of a new multiple model probabilistic data association filter (PDAF). The analysis is generalized for the case of multiple nonuniform clutter regions within the measurement data that updates each model of the filter. To reduce the possibility of clutter measurements forming established tracks, the solution includes a model for a visible target. That is, a target that gives sensor measurements that satisfy one of the target models. Other features included in the algorithm are the selection of a fixed number of nearest measurements and the addition of signal amplitude to the target state vector. The nonuniform clutter model developed here is applicable to tracking signal amplitude. Performance of this algorithm is illustrated using experimentally recorded over-the-horizon radar (OTHR) data.     

Modified multiple sample correlation algorithm for electronic target location

This research proposes a modification to the Multiple Sample Correlation Algorithm (MSCA) where some statistical concepts are aggregated to the original method. With our modifications we were able to improve the emidtter position fix estimate more than 240% compared to the original MSCA and more than 1,200% compared to the Extended Kalman Filter Methodology.     

A selection and estimation test for multiple target detection

The authors apply a selection and estimation procedure for the detection of multiple targets in clutter. The selection and estimation (SE) test performs better than a fixed order statistic (OS) detector. The SE test has some similarity to a variable trimmed mean (VTM) test and has a slight performance advantage. Unlike the VTM, whose performance is evaluated only by simulation studies, the performance of the SE test, for a Rayleigh fluctuating target model, can be evaluated analytically. Further improvement in the performance is possible if a better selection procedure can be found     

An interacting multiple model approach for target tracking withglint noise

The application of the interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation approach to the problem of target tracking when the measurements are perturbed by glint noise is considered. The IMM is a very effective approach when the system has discrete uncertainties in the dynamic or measurement model as well as continuous uncertainties. It is shown that this method performs better than the “score function” method. It is also shown that the IMM method performs robustly when the exact prior information of the glint noise is not available     

Performance analysis of bearing-only target location algorithms

The performance of two well-known bearing-only location techniques, the maximum likelihood (ML) and the Stansfield estimators, is examined. Analytical expressions are obtained for the bias and the covariance matrix of the estimation error, which permit performance comparison for any case of interest. It is shown that the Stansfield algorithm provides biased estimates even for large numbers of measurements, in contrast with the ML method. The RMS error of the Stansfield technique is not necessarily larger than the RMS of the ML technique. However, it is shown that the ML technique is superior to the Stansfield method when the number of measurements is large enough. Simulation results verify the predicted theoretical performance     

多飞行器动态目标追踪协同控制研究

多飞行器追踪动态目标是一个协同控制问题,需要根据目标飞行状态,协同各个追踪飞行器的飞行状态,最终能够在某动态的最佳点实现同时到达。考虑到目标具有较强的机动性,轨迹通常为非线性的,设计了一种基于非线性轨迹预测的、以剩余时间为控制变量的一致性控制方案。仿真结果表明,提出的控制方案能够实现空间位置相距较远的多飞行器动态追踪,具有较好的灵活性和收敛性,目标轨迹的预测结果与实际轨迹误差较小,恰当的轨迹估计有助于缩短追踪时间,提高追踪效率。     

Performance analysis of a radar target discrimination technique

The performance of a radar target discrimination technique using multiple-frequency scattering amplitude without phase data is investigated. Based on the concept of natural resonance frequencies, the technique is aspect independent so that a priori information of the aspect angle is not necessary. The radar cross sections (RCSs) of spheroids are calculated numerically to simulate the received radar returns for distinguishing different spheroids and wires in the resonance frequency range by the proposed technique. By Monte Carlo simulation, the discrimination error rate is estimated as a function of the standard deviation of added noise. The numerical results show that the discrimination algorithm works well under moderately noisy situations and can be applied even in a high-resonance frequency range     

Discrete-time observability and estimability analysis for bearings-only target motion analysis

Observability in the context of bearings-only tracking (BOT) is still the subject of important literature. Different from previous approaches, where continuous-time analysis was considered, our approach relies on discrete-time analysis. It is then shown that this allows us to use directly and efficiently the simple formalisms of linear algebra. Using the direct approach, observability analysis is essentially reduced to basic considerations about subspace dimensions. Even if this approach is conceptually quite direct, it becomes more and more complex as the source-encounter scenario complexity increases. For complex scenarios, the dual approach may present some advantages essentially due to the direct use of multilinear algebra. New results about BOT observability for maneuvering sources are thus obtained. Observability analysis is then extended to unknown instants of source velocity changes. Even if observability analysis provides thorough insights about the algebraic structure of the BOT problem, the optimization of the observer maneuvers is essentially a control problem. Basic algebraic considerations prove that a relevant cost functional for this control problem is the determinant of the Fisher information matrix (FIM). So, a large part of this work is devoted to the analysis of this cost functional. Using multilinear algebra, general approximations of this functional are given. In order to involve only directly estimable parameters, the source bearing-rates are examined. Using these approximations, a general framework for optimizing the observer trajectory is derived which allow us to approximate the optimal sequence of controls. It is worth stressing that our approach does not require the knowledge of the source trajectory parameters and is still valid for a maneuvering source.     

Tracking a maneuvering target using input estimation versus theinteracting multiple model algorithm

Two maneuvering-target tracking techniques are compared. The first, called input estimation, models the maneuver as constant unknown input, estimates its magnitude and onset time, and then corrects the state estimate accordingly. The second models the maneuver as a switching of the target state model, where the various state models can be of different dimension and driven by process noises of different intensities, and estimates the state according to the interacting multiple model (IMM) algorithm. While the first requires around twenty parallel filters, it is shown that the latter, implemented in the form of the IMM, performs equally well or better with two or three filters     

Bearings-only target motion analysis with acoustic propagation models of uncertain fidelity

The augmented bearings-only target motion analysis (TMA) problem arises when the bearing measurements of the classical bearings-only TMA problem are augmented with received signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) measurements. A combined acoustic propagation and sensor (CAPS) performance prediction model specifying the conditional density of the SNR measurements is assumed given; however, mismatch may exist between the CAPS model and the real world. We present a novel "missing data" formulation of the augmented bearings-only TMA problem using an empirical maximum a posteriori (EMAP) method for target parameter estimation, and show that it provides a natural and straightforward technique for mitigating CAPS model mismatch. The EMAP approach leads to an iteratively reweighted, linear least-squares algorithm for solving both the augmented bearings-only TMA problem and the classical (nonaugmented) bearings-only TMA problem. Examples are provided.     

Solution and performance analysis of geolocation by TDOA

One method of geolocation is based on measuring the time difference of arrivals (TDOAs) of a signal received by three or four geostationary satellites. The received signals are cross-correlated to determine the TDOAs and a set of nonlinear equations are solved to produce the location estimate. An exact solution for the transmitter position is derived for the three or four receiver cases. Extension of the solution method to more receivers is straightforward. An analysis of the performance of the system is given, together with expressions for predicting the localization mean-square errors (MSEs) and bias, and the Cramer-Rao bound. Both precision in TDOA measurements and the relative geometry between receivers and transmitter affect the localization accuracy. The geometric factors act as multipliers to the TDOA variance in the bias and MSE formulae. A study of the dependency of the geometric factors on transmitter position and satellite spacings are provided, as well as simulation results     

典型国家歼击机综合性能的量化分析

本项研究是在充分收集资料的基础上.借鉴了国内外学者的研究成果,运用计量经济学的方法,建立了多指标的歼击机综合性能评价模型,并对各国歼击机综合性能水平进行了比较分析,得出了各国在歼击机综合性能方面的先进或落后程度.     

考虑气动弹性的风力机叶片性能分析

考虑气动弹性对风力机叶片的影响,采用叶素-动量理论计算气动力,采用盒形梁理论计算结构变形,耦合静气动弹性平衡方程,建立了风力机叶片静气动弹性分析程序。本文运用该程序进行了多种风速下叶片载荷及风轮性能的计算,分析了气动弹性对原设计的影响。结果表明,对于兆瓦级风力机,在大风速情况下,气动弹性对风轮性能有着明显影响,并会造成气动载荷的重新分布,影响结构设计的准确性。该方法可用于对叶片气动设计与载荷计算方法进行气动弹性修正。     

高性能经济可承受先进加力燃烧室技术GOTChA分解

为加强加力燃烧室技术方案论证,明确加力燃烧室研究内容,提出了加力燃烧室技术的综合评价指标。采用敏感度分析方法定量分析了加力燃烧室工作参数对发动机性能的影响。建立了加力燃烧室三个阶段的技术指标体系,给出了高性能经济可承受先进加力燃烧室技术GOTChA分解图,明确了加力燃烧室研发面临的技术挑战及需要的方法。研究结果可用于指导加力燃烧室技术方案论证,以增强专项计划组织效率,规范项目管理工作。