A review of progress in the world climate impact studies programme

The paper briefly outlines the development of the World Climate Programme and notes the decisions of the respective Governing bodies of the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme which led to UNEP assuming responsibility for the implementation of the World Climate Impact Studies Programme.     

A review of observed variability in the dayside ionosphere of Mars

Recent measurements by Mars Global Surveyor and Mars Express have greatly increased the number of observations of the martian dayside ionosphere available for study. Together with earlier measurements from the Viking era, these datasets have been used to investigate variations in well-known properties of the martian dayside ionosphere and to discover new ionospheric features. The dayside ionosphere includes the main peak, called the M2 layer, and a lower layer, called the M1 layer. In the topside, above the M2 layer, electron densities exponentially decrease with increasing altitude.     

A survey for photometric variability from space

A survey for photometric variability in a wide variety of astronomical objects would produce much new information about their interiors and dynamics. This paper discusses reasons for such a survey, showing the example of the recent precise SMM observations of total solar irradiance variations as a guide to what might be expected from main-sequence stars, and proposes a concept for a satellite dedicated to a survey of photometric variability.     

A prediction model of short-term ionospheric foF2 based on AdaBoost

In this paper, the AdaBoost-BP algorithm is used to construct a new model to predict the critical frequency of the ionospheric F2-layer (foF2) one hour ahead. Different indices were used to characterize ionospheric diurnal and seasonal variations and their dependence on solar and geomagnetic activity. These indices, together with the current observed foF2 value, were input into the prediction model and the foF2 value at one hour ahead was output. We analyzed twenty-two years’ foF2 data from nine ionosonde stations in the East-Asian sector in this work. The first eleven years’ data were used as a training dataset and the second eleven years’ data were used as a testing dataset. The results show that the performance of AdaBoost-BP is better than those of BP Neural Network (BPNN), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and the IRI model. For example, the AdaBoost-BP prediction absolute error of foF2 at Irkutsk station (a middle latitude station) is 0.32 MHz, which is better than 0.34 MHz from BPNN, 0.35 MHz from SVR and also significantly outperforms the IRI model whose absolute error is 0.64 MHz. Meanwhile, AdaBoost-BP prediction absolute error at Taipei station from the low latitude is 0.78 MHz, which is better than 0.81 MHz from BPNN, 0.81 MHz from SVR and 1.37 MHz from the IRI model. Finally, the variety characteristics of the AdaBoost-BP prediction error along with seasonal variation, solar activity and latitude variation were also discussed in the paper.     

A theoretical review of SS 433

The “twin jet model” for SS 433 is briefly described, and its likely superiorority to other models demonstrated. It is then used as a framework within which the implications of the main observational results are discussed. Many theoretical questions about SS 433 are raised, but only few are answered.     

A study of the short-term variations of foE during a sudden magnetically disturbed period

We present some first results of a study of the short-term fluctuations of the critical frequency foE. Measurements of this parameter were made by taking ionograms every two minutes during one week (Feb., 3 to 9, 1969).This period included an SSC following a type II solar radio burst and which was accompanied by a strong auroral electrojet magnetic perturbation.A reference quiet day was obtained from the hourly median values of the whole period using a “cubic spline” interpolation. The deviations from this reference were Fourier-analysed. The possibility of a physical relation between the SSC and these data is discussed.     

A review of global satellite-derived snow products

Snow cover over the Northern Hemisphere plays a crucial role in the Earth’s hydrology and surface energy balance, and modulates feedbacks that control variations of global climate. While many of these variations are associated with exchanges of energy and mass between the land surface and the atmosphere, other expected changes are likely to propagate downstream and affect oceanic processes in coastal zones. For example, a large component of the freshwater flux into the Arctic Ocean comes from snow melt. The timing and magnitude of this flux affects biological and thermodynamic processes in the Arctic Ocean, and potentially across the globe through their impact on North Atlantic Deep Water formation.     

Coronal manifestations of solar variability

This contribution is mostly about phenomenology of what we see in space–time evolution of coronal green line brightness (CGLB), including its cyclic variations. Our own database (1943–2001) of the coronal Fe XIV 530.3 nm emission line intensities is used to display different aspects of the large-scale CGLB regularities and cyclic behaviour. Hemispheric asymmetry and relation of the longitudinal CGLB distribution to the rotational characteristics of the solar corona are particularly underlined.     

The role of aerosols in the climate system: Results of numerical experiments in climate models

Three principal questions are recurrent with the consideration of an aerosol related climatic effect: (1) do aerosols heat or cool the atmosphere, (2) are aerosol climatic effects significant and (3) can numerical models be validated by predicting a climatic change associated with a measured aerosol-event. Each of these questions will be addressed from a historical perspective. In addition, the most recent aerosol-related modeling will be discussed as well as recommendations for future research.     

Survival of microorganisms in space: A review

Spores of $\text{Bacillus subtilis}$ were exposed to selected factors of space (vacuum, solar UV radiation, heavy ions of cosmic radiation), and their response was studied after recovery. These investigations were supplemented by ground-based studies under simulated space conditions. The vacuum of space did not inactivate the spores. However, vacuum-induced structural changes in the DNA, and probably in the proteins, caused a supersensitivity to solar UV radiation. This phenomenon is caused by the production of specific photoproducts in DNA and protein, which cannot be removed by normal cellular repair processes. In vegetative bacterial cells, exposed to vacuum, cell dehydration led to damage of the cell membrane, which could be partly repaired during subsequent incubation. The high local effectiveness of the cosmic heavy ions further decreases the chance that spores can survive for any length of time in space. Nonetheless, a spore travelling through space and protected from ultraviolet radiation could possibly survive an interplanetary journey. Such a situation favors panspermia as a possible explanation for the origin of life.     

Three-dimensional magnetic reconnection regimes: A review

The magnetic field in many astrophysical plasmas – such as the solar corona and Earth’s magnetosphere – has been shown to have a highly complex, three-dimensional structure. Recent advances in theory and computational simulations have shown that reconnection in these fields also has a three-dimensional nature, in contrast to the widely used two-dimensional (or 2.5-dimensional) models. Here we discuss the underlying theory of three-dimensional magnetic reconnection. We also review a selection of new models that illustrate the current state of the art, as well as highlighting the complexity of energy release processes mediated by reconnection in complicated three-dimensional magnetic fields.     

A review of recent results on cosmic gamma-ray bursts

The results obtained on cosmic gamma-ray bursts over the last several years are reviewed and compared with the older “historical” results. Fine time resolution measurements of burster light curves continue to reveal structure at the millisecond and sub-millisecond level, suggesting a compact object origin. Similarly, the evolution of the low energy X-ray spectra of bursts towards shapes consistent with 1–2 keV blackbodies may be interpreted in terms of a neutron star origin, as can the continuing detection of absorption and emission features. The statistical evidence, however, argues strongly for an isotropic distribution which has been completely sampled. To reconcile this with galactic neutron stars requires the assumption that they are Population II objects. Counterpart searches have evolved to the point where they may be carried out within days of an event, and a soft X-ray source has now been detected in the error box of one recent burst.     

A review on recent development of space solar power

Space solar power(SSP) system, a major type of space-based power-generating equipment, is an important infrastructure providing massive, continuous, and stable green electricity by utilizing solar energy in space. Many countries and organizations consider SSP to be one of the most promising clean energy sources. The historical activities of SSP in the world are summarized. This review focuses on the significant development of SSP during the last 10 years, which is the most important period for SSP. The latest international SSP development programmes in the United States, ESA, Japan, China, UK and Korea are presented. Some significant solar power satellite(SPS) concepts proposed in the decade, including typical SPS-ALPHA, MR-SPS, CASSIOPeiA SPS, et al., are introduced. The technical and non-technical challenges are also listed and several important in-space demonstration missions in recent years and in the near future are introduced. The conclusion is that the next 5 to 10 years will be an important period for rapidly developing the key technologies and conducting on-orbit demonstration and application. Controlling the mutual position relationship between the solar array and the transmitting antenna becomes a core issue to be considered in the innovative design of the SPS. Wireless power transmission technologies would be the demonstration focus for the first step. It is expected that the first commercial SPS would be constructed as early as 2040.     

A possible redshift evolution of the time-lag and variability luminosity relations for long gamma-ray bursts

Several luminosity relations currently exist for long gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). Some were derived from the light curves; others were obtained from the spectra. In this study, we consider two of these luminosity relations: the time-lag, _τlag${\tau }_{\mathit{lag}}$, relation and the variability, V, relation and investigate their possible dependence on (or “evolution” with) the redshift, z.     

Intermittence of the short-term periodicities of the flare index

Intermittence of the short-term periodicities (25–35 days) of the flare index are investigated using the wavelet transform method for the full-disc and for the northern and the southern hemispheres of the Sun separately over the epoch since 1966 until 2002. The wavelet transform results show that occurence of periodicities of flare index power is highly intermittent in time. The period-averaged wavelet power of the flare index presents this fact very clearly displaying independence of flaring activity on the solar hemispheres in several time intervals over almost four solar cycles under study. Moreover correlations of the period-averaged wavelet power of the flare index for the separate hemispheres and for the full-disc reveal significantly stronger relation between the full-disc and the northern hemisphere than between the full-disc and the southern hemisphere while no significant correlations was found between the hemispheres one another.     

Space observations of trace gases for climate studies

The paper considers the importance of trace gases in modulating the fluxes of solar and terrestrial radiation in the Earth's atmosphere, and the influence of these effects on the long-term climate. Present and future capabilities for observing and monitoring trace gases from spacecraft are surveyed.     

Synthesis of geophysical data with space-acquired imagery: A review

Geophysical data obtained from ground and airborne platforms have been used in the development of regional geologic models for many years. Space-acquired data and imagery have a shorter but similar history of applications. All these data may be synthesized either manually or digitally. Manual synthesis methods consist of overlaying and comparing maps, whereas digital synthesis methods consist of computer storage and analysis of registered digital data sets.A data base may include topographic, geologic, soils, aeromagnetic, gravity, radiometric, electromagnetic and geochemical data, and Landsat, Seasat, and Heat Capacity Mapping Mission (HCMM) images, all of which can be evaluated individually or compared in multiple layers (overlays).Stereographic models, useful in the correlation and interpretation of geophysical data, have been created from Landsat images by using aeromagnetic, gravity, geochemical, or topographic values to offset Landsat pixels, thus introducing parallax and permitting stereoscopic viewing.Statistical correlation has been used to determine the applicability of specific data sets to the development of geologic or exploration models. Various arithmetic functions have proven useful in developing models from such data sets.     

A review of instruments and methods for dosimetry in space

Instruments and methods recently used for space radiation dosimetry are reviewed for the purposes of comparison and reference. Passive detection methods mentioned include track-etch, luminescent, nuclear emulsion, and metal foil detectors. These can provide a reliable source of data for all types of radiation, but often require processing that cannot occur in space. Experimental methods of LET determination using TLDs, such as the high temperature peak ratio (HTR) method, are also discussed. Portable readout passive detectors including Pille, MOSFET, and bubble detector systems provide a novel alternative to traditional passive detectors, but research is more limited and their widespread use has yet to be established. Active detectors including DOSTEL, CPDS, RRMD-III, TEPC, R-16, BBND, and the Liulin series are examined for technical details. These instruments allow the determination of dose in real-time, and some can determine LET of incident particles by measuring energy deposition over a known path-length, but size and power consumption limit their practical use for dosimetry. Improved neutron dosimetry and development of a small active or portable readout personnel dosimeter capable of accurate LET determination are important steps for managing the effects of long-term exposure to the space radiation environment.     

Driving major solar flares and eruptions: A review

This review focuses on the processes that energize and trigger M- and X-class solar flares and associated flux-rope destabilizations. Numerical modeling of specific solar regions is hampered by uncertain coronal-field reconstructions and by poorly understood magnetic reconnection; these limitations result in uncertain estimates of field topology, energy, and helicity. The primary advances in understanding field destabilizations therefore come from the combination of generic numerical experiments with interpretation of sets of observations. These suggest a critical role for the emergence of twisted flux ropes into pre-existing strong field for many, if not all, of the active regions that produce M- or X-class flares. The flux and internal twist of the emerging ropes appear to play as important a role in determining whether an eruption will develop predominantly as flare, confined eruption, or CME, as do the properties of the embedding field. Based on reviewed literature, I outline a scenario for major flares and eruptions that combines flux-rope emergence, mass draining, near-surface reconnection, and the interaction with the surrounding field. Whether deterministic forecasting is in principle possible remains to be seen: to date no reliable such forecasts can be made. Large-sample studies based on long-duration, comprehensive observations of active regions from their emergence through their flaring phase are needed to help us better understand these complex phenomena.     

Solar variability for periods of days to months

The time series of total solar irradiance determinations from ACRIM on the Solar Maximum Mission satellite (SMM) of 270 days and from the ERB experiment on NIMBUS 7 of 1445 days are analysed for periods greater than a few days. Comparison of the spectra of both with the spectrum of projected sunspot area over the corresponding time periods show high coherence for periods of 7 to about 25 days and for periods longer than about 30 to 35 days. In the vicinity and at the 27-day rotational period of the Sun, however, the coherence between sunspot area and irradiance is small, although both spectra show significant power at and around this period. This means that there is a signal in the irradiance which cannot be due to the sunspot area and the assumption of a straight forward sunspot blocking seems to be over simplified. This irradiance signal at 27 days has an amplitude of about ±0.012 per cent and is an enhancement.