Resonance in a coupled solar-climate model

The 11–year solar activity cycle is magnetic in origin and is responsible for small changes in solar luminosity and the modulation of the solar wind. The terrestrial climate exhibits much internal variability supporting oscillations with many frequencies. The direct effect of changing solar irradiance in driving climatic change is believed to be small, and amplification mechanisms are needed to enhance the role of solar variability. In this paper we demonstrate that resonance may play a crucial role in the dynamics of the climate system, by using the output from a nonlinear solar dynamo model as a weak input to a simplified climate model. The climate is modelled as oscillating about two fixed points (corresponding to a warm and cold state) with the weak chaotically modulated solar forcing on average pushing the solution towards the warm state. When a typical frequency of the input is similar to that of the chaotic climate system then a dramatic increase in the role of the solar forcing is apparent and complicated intermittent behaviour is observed. The nonlinear effects are subtle however, and forcing that on average pushes the solution towards the warm state may lead to increased intervals of oscillation about either state. Owing to the intermittent nature of the timeseries, analysis of the relevant timeseries is shown to be non-trivial.     

Long-term indirect indices of solar variability

Continuous direct records of solar variability are limited to the telescopic era covering approximately the past four centuries. For longer records one has to rely on indirect indices such as cosmogenic radionuclides. Their production rate is modulated by magnetic properties of the solar wind. Using a parameterisation of the solar activity and a Monte Carlo simulation model describing the interaction of the cosmic rays with the atmosphere, the production rate for each cosmogenic nuclide of interest can be calculated as a function of solar activity. Analysis of appropriate well-dated natural archives such as ice cores or tree rings offers the possibility to reconstruct the solar activity over many millennia. However, the interpretation of the cosmogenic nuclide records from these archives is difficult. The measured concentrations contain not only information on solar activity but also on changes in the geomagnetic field intensity and the transport from the atmosphere into the archive where, under ideal conditions, no further processes take place. Comparison of different nuclides (e.g. ¹⁰Be and ¹⁴C) that are produced in a very similar way but exhibit a completely different geochemical behaviour, allows us to separate production effects from system effects.The presently available data show cyclic variability ranging from 11-year to millennial time scale periodicities with changing amplitudes, as well as irregularly distributed intervals of very low solar activity (so called minima, e.g. Maunder minimum) lasting typically 100 years.     

Measurements of solar total irradiance and its variability

The development of electrically self calibrated cavity pyrheliometric instrumentation that occurred in the early 20th century provided the technological base for experiments to detect variability of the solar total irradiance. Experiments from ground based observatories, aircraft and balloons during the 1st half of the 20th century were unable to achieve sufficient accuracy or long term precision to unambiguously detect irradiance variations of solar origin. Refinements in pyrheliometric technology during the 1960's and 1970's and the accessibility of extended experimental opportunities above the Earth's atmosphere in recent years have provided the first direct observations of solar total irradiance variability and provided the cornerstone observations of a long term database on solar irradiance. A program of solar irradiance monitoring has evolved to sustain the database over at least 22 years, corresponding to a single cycle of solar magnetic activity, and the shortest well identified cycle of climate variation. Direct links between total irradiance variations, solar magnetic activity and the solar global 5 min oscillation phenomena have been derived from recent space flight observations by the SMM/ACRIM I experiment.     

The solar wind in the outer solar system

The properties of the solar wind including magnetic fields, plasma, and plasma waves are briefly reviewed with emphasis on conditions near and beyond the orbit of Jupiter. An extrapolation of the steady-state wind to large distances, evolution of disturbances and structure, modulation of cosmic rays, interactions with planetary bodies (bow shocks and magnetosheaths), and interactions with interstellar neutral helium and hydrogen are briefly discussed. Some comments on instrumentation requirements to observationally define the above phenomena are also included.This is one of the publications by the Science Advisory Group.     

Aeroservoelastic stability analysis for flexible aircraft based on a nonlinear coupled dynamic model

A unified theoretical aeroservoelastic stability analysis framework for flexible aircraft is established in this paper. This linearized state space model for stability analysis is based on nonlinear coupled dynamic equations, in which rigid and elastic motions of aircraft are both considered. The common body coordinate system is utilized as the reference frame in the deduction of dynamic equations, and significant deformations of flexible aircraft are also fully concerned without any excessive assumptions. Therefore, the obtained nonlinear coupled dynamic models can well reflect the special dynamic coupling mechanics of flexible aircraft. For aeroservoelastic stability analysis, the coupled dynamic equations are linearized around the nonlinear equilibrium state and together with a control system model to establish a state space model in the time domain. The methodology in this paper can be easily integrated into the industrial design process and complex structures. Numerical results for a complex flexible aircraft indicate the necessity to consider the nonlinear coupled dynamics and large deformation when dealing with aeroservoelastic stability for flexible aircraft.     

Numerical 3-D time-dependent MHD model of the solar wind

A fully three-dimensional, time-dependent MHD model of the solar corona and the solar wind is developed. The proposed model is an upgrading of the steady-state model (Usmanov, 1993a,b). A numerical self-consistent solution for 3-D MHD equations is constructed for the region between the solar photosphere and 1.5 AU. The unique features of the proposed model are: (i) uniform coverage and self-consistent treatment of the regions of subsonic/sub-Alfvénic and supersonic/super-Alfvénic flows, (ii) as a background for transients, a steady-state solution for the ambient solar wind is used. The parameters of the initial pulses are prescribed in terms of the near-Sun shock velocities (as inferred from the metric Type II radio burst observations) relative to the preshock steady-state flow parameters.     

The time delay of a solar grazing photon

Moving clocks and clocks in a gravitational field slow down, not due to the effects of special relativity nor to the space-time curvature of general relativity, but due only to the principle of equivalence and the conservation of energy. However, some might argue that there has been a further “test” of the effect of gravity on time, namely, the measurement of the time-delay of a round-trip, solar-grazing radar beacon performed by Shapiro in the 1960s. In this test, Shapiro bounced a radar pulse off Mars at superior conjunction (a feat in itself for the time), and compared the measured round-trip travel time of this pulse with the expected round-trip time of a signal traveling at c for the entire trip, as determined from highly accurate planetary ephemerides. Shapiro had predicted this time-delay long before being technologically able to make such a measurement. While general relativity can be used to correctly obtain the magnitude of this delay, it is not the only explanation. As earlier with the analysis of clocks in motion and of clocks in a gravitational field, this paper derives the same result without invoking the space-time curvature of general relativity     

The heating of the solar corona

In this paper a discussion is given of the present state of the theory of the heating of the solar corona by shock waves. Arguments are presented why the main contribution to the mechanical energy flux is of acoustic origin, while estimates for the amount of acoustic energy generated in the convection zone as well as the deviations from isotropy are given. During propagation through the atmosphere acoustic waves develop into shock waves after a distance of a few scale heights in the chromosphere. The heating of the outer layers by dissipation of shock waves is found to be sufficient to account for the observed radiative and corpuscular energy losses.Much emphasis is laid on the competitive role played by the four fundamental processes of energy transfer: mechanical heating, radiation, heat conduction and convection of energy in establishing the equilibrium structure of the corona. The atmosphere may be divided in several regions according to the predominance of one of the energy processes mentioned above.The physical properties of the chromosphere and the solar wind are discussed only where they are intimately connected with the problem of the heating of the corona.The most important aspects of the influence of a magnetic field on the structure and the heating of the corona in magnetically active regions are briefly mentioned. Special attention is paid to the strong channelling of heat flow along the field lines and its consequences for the structure and dynamics of the chromosphere-corona transition layer.     

基于SD模型的政府航空管制影响分析

随着经济的快速发展,中国航空运输业取得了显著的发展,开始从民航大国向民航强国迈进.同时,航空运输业的发展趋势是自由化,即政府对航空运输企业经营活动从详尽管理过渡到更多地依靠市场力量予以调节,给予航空运输企业更多的经营权和灵活性.借鉴了国外放松管制的经验,以系统动力学方法为基础,对政府航线管制进行分析研究.建立SD模型,分析不同的航空运输发展水平下政府放松航线管制对航空运输系统带来的影响.研究结果表明,当航空运输市场越发达、越完善,政府放松航线管制对航空运输系统的促进作用越大.最后,对中国下一阶段政府航空管制的思路提出相应的建议和措施.     

The termination shock of the solar wind

An overview of the solar wind termination shock is presented including: its place in the heliosphere and its origin; its structure including the role of interstellar pickup ions and galactic and anomalous cosmic rays; its inferred location based on Lyman- backscatter, Voyager radio signals, and anomalous cosmic rays; its shape and movement.     

太阳辐射对航空发动机露天试车台热变形的影响

航空发动机露天试车台暴露于室外大气环境中,太阳辐射将导致其结构热变形,直接影响测试精度。首先使用ASHRAE模型对ANSYS Workbench中Solar Calculator功能模块的辐射计算结果进行验证,确定了模块计算的准确性;然后基于Solar Calculator功能模块对露天试车台结构温度场进行计算分析,探究了太阳辐射对露天试车台结构热变形的影响。结果表明,利用Solar Calculator功能模块计算太阳辐射强度最大误差为5.20%,露天试车台因温度变化导致在x、y、z方向上分别伸长0.033%、0.107%和0.020%。还对基于有限元结构建模与利用线膨胀系数估算的结构变形进行了计算,两种算法的平均误差在6.52%以内,验证了有限元模型用于热变形计算的合理性。     

The interpretation of the XUV solar spectrum

This paper reviews (a) the earth's ionosphere, and (b) the solar atmosphere, in relation to the recent observations of solar XUV. The expected ionospheric characteristics are derived as directly as possible from the XUV observations and then compared with the well-known D-, E-, and F-layer formations. The comparison leads to (1) a high ionospheric recombination coefficient decreasing rapidly with height, (2) contributions to the E-layer from both UV and X-rays, and (3) very little difference in the solar cycle variations from the D-, E-, and F-layers although intensity variations are greater from high than low ions. The flux measurements of the identified XUV solar emission lines give information on the numbers of ions in the solar atmosphere. This makes it possible to derive (1) the amount of solar material in each temperature range, (2) the chemical abundances, and (3) the physical differences between quiet solar atmosphere, centres of activity, and flares. When the new dielectronic recombination coefficients are well investigated it should be possible to redetermine the distribution of solar material with temperature. The fitting of such results to chromospheric and coronal models provides many problems.     

形状记忆合金薄板低速冲击载荷下热力耦合行为分析

进行形状记忆合金(shape memory alloy,SMA)薄板不同冲击能量条件下低速冲击实验,以SMA 热力学本构模型为理论基础,通过数值手段对超弹性SMA 薄板的冲击响应进行仿真分析,探究冲击载荷作用下SMA 热力耦合行为特征。结果表明:数值仿真结果与实验数据吻合良好,有效表征了SMA 薄板冲击过程中的变形、相变、耗散、温变等热力耦合行为特征。     

An improved numerical method for constructing Halo/Lissajous orbits in a full solar system model

An improved numerical method that can construct Halo/Lissajous orbits in the vicinity of collinear libration points in a full solar system model is investigated. A full solar system gravitational model in the geocentric rotating coordinate system with a clear presentation of the angular velocity relative to the inertial coordinate system is proposed. An alternative way to determine patch points in the multiple shooting method is provided based on a dynamical analysis with Poincare′sections. By employing the new patch points and sequential quadratic programming, Halo orbits for L_1, L_2, and L_3 points as well as Lissajous orbits for L_1 and L_2 points in the EarthMoon system are generated with the proposed full solar system gravitational model to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Japanese satellite program on the solar research for the coming solar maximum

The Institute of Space and Astronautical Science (ISAS) is developing a satellite dedicated to high-energy observations of solar flares. The Solar-A will be launched in August–September, 1991, from the Kagoshima Space Center on board a M3S-II vehicle. The instrument complement emphasizes hard X-ray and soft X-ray imaging, with both high resolution (2.4 arc sec pixel size) and full-Sun field of view. Solar-A contains instruments supplied in part by U.S. and U.K. experimenters. This paper describes the instrumentation and the tentative observing program.     

The three-dimensional extent of a high speed solar wind stream

A primary goal of the Ulysses mission is to study the 3-dimensional structures making up the interplanetary medium, and example of which is the high speed solar wind stream observedin situ by Ulysses beginning in July 1992. In order to study the longitudinal extent of this stream as a function of Ulysses' increasing heliographic latitude, a second point of reference is required to separate spatial and temporal variations. Such a reference point is provided at Jupiter by a class of Jovian radio bursts, whose occurrence rate varies in a predictable way with solar wind speed. Using thein situ and remote observations from Ulysses, the extent of the high speed stream at 5 AU is mapped and compared to the associated coronal hole boundary on the Sun.     

A model for the chemical evolution of the solar neighborhood using metallicity dependent yields

We discuss the results from a chemical evolution model of the local galactic disk which takes into account stellar yields, lifetimes, remnants, and supernova progenitor masses which depend on the initial metallicity of the collapsing clouds. The detailed evolution of H, He, C, O, Fe, and of the heavy elements (Z) is followed dropping the instantaneous recycling approximation. Our results reproduce the majority of the observational constraints.     

Japanese satellite program on the solar research for the coming solar maximum

The paper discusses the methods for measuring the linear polarization of gamma-rays with energies above 0.1 MeV. Special attention is given to Compton scattering and e ^–, e ⁺ pair production. The effects of the selection of gamma-events and multiple scattering in the converters on the derived azimuthal distribution are considered. The changes of measuring polarization with gamma-telescopes in a near future are considered.