Estimation of precipitable water vapour from GPS measurements in Argentina: Validation and qualitative analysis of results

This paper presents PWV estimates from GPS data computed at four continuously operated GPS stations in Argentina established at Buenos Aires, Córdoba, Rosario and Salta over a 1 year period (2006–2007). The objective is to analyze the behaviour of the GPS PWV estimation using mean tropospheric temperature (_Tm$T_m$) values from the Bevis model, Sapucci model and obtained by a numerical integration of variables provided by the operational analysis of the National Centre of Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The results are validated using PWV values from nearest radio soundings. Moreover, a comparison between PWV values determined from microwave sensors deployed on the NOAA-18 satellite and PWV from GPS observations is also presented.     

Strong geomagnetic activity forecast by neural networks under dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field

The paper deals with the relation of the southern orientation of the north–south component _Bz$B_z$ of the interplanetary magnetic field to geomagnetic activity (GA) and subsequently a method is suggested of using the found facts to forecast potentially dangerous high GA. We have found that on a day with very high GA hourly averages of _Bz$B_z$ with a negative sign occur at least 16 times in typical cases. Since it is very difficult to estimate the orientation of _Bz$B_z$ in the immediate vicinity of the Earth one day or even a few days in advance, we have suggested using a neural-network model, which assumes the worse of the possibilities to forecast the danger of high GA – the dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field. The input quantities of the proposed model were information about X-ray flares, type II and IV radio bursts as well as information about coronal mass ejections (CME). In comparing the GA forecasts with observations, we obtain values of the Hanssen–Kuiper skill score ranging from 0.463 to 0.727, which are usual values for similar forecasts of space weather. The proposed model provides forecasts of potentially dangerous high geomagnetic activity should the interplanetary CME (ICME), the originator of geomagnetic storms, hit the Earth under the most unfavorable configuration of cosmic magnetic fields. We cannot know in advance whether the unfavorable configuration is going to occur or not; we just know that it will occur with the probability of 31%.     

Variability of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere observed with GPS radio occultation bending angles and temperatures

Recently, Lewis (2009) introduced a new method for the identification of tropopause heights (TPHs) from GPS radio occultation (RO) bending angles (α)$(\alpha )$. The method uses a covariance transform to identify transitions in a ln(α)$\mathit{ln}(\alpha )$ profile. Lewis validates the results with lapse rate tropopause (LRT) heights from one year of FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC data and radiosondes. In this study we apply the new method to the RO data sets from CHAMP/GRACE (2001–2009) and FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC (2006–2009). These results are the basis for TPH trend estimations for the time period between May 2001 and August 2009 (100 months) based on zonal monthly mean GPS RO data from CHAMP (2001–2008), GRACE (since 2006) and FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC (since 2006). Further, we compare the α$\alpha$ based TPH trends with LRT height trends and discuss the differences, which are largest in the subtropical regions (20°–40°) on both the northern and southern hemisphere. A global increase of the TPH between 5 and 9 m/yr is found for both methods and different data sets (CHAMP/GRACE alone and CHAMP/GRACE plus FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC). The results for the TPH trends are linked with bending angle and temperature trends in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere region. Generally, an upper tropospheric warming (bending angle decrease) and a lower stratospheric cooling (bending angle increase) is noted.     

Semi-empirical model of the maximum electron concentration in the ionosphere: Comparison with data from Toluca (México)

A simple semi-empirical model to determine the maximum electron concentration in the ionosphere (_NmF2$N_m{F}_2$) for South American locations is used to calculate _NmF2$N_m{F}_2$ for a northern hemisphere station in the same longitude sector. _NmF2$N_m{F}_2$ is determined as the sum of two terms, one related to photochemical and diffusive processes and the other one to transport mechanisms. The model gives diurnal variations of _NmF2$N_m{F}_2$ representative for winter, summer and equinox conditions, during intervals of high and low solar activity. Model _NmF2$N_m{F}_2$ results are compared with ionosonde observations made at Toluca-México (19.3°N; 260°E). Differences between model results and observations are similar to those corresponding to comparisons with South American observations. It seems that further improvement of the model could be made by refining the latitude dependencies of coefficients used for the transport term.     

The relation between the Black hole mass and the Bulge mass for low redshift AGNs. Part I: Ground-based observations

Using the bulge data from AGN image decomposition with ground-based observations, we calculate the ratios of the central supermassive black hole mass(SMBH) to the Bulge mass (_Mbh/_Mbulge$M_{\text{bh}}/M_{\text{bulge}}$) in a sample of X-ray selected AGNs, including 15 Narrow-line Seyfert 1 galaxies (NLS1s) and 18 broad-line Seyfert 1 galaxies (BLS1s). We found that the mean value of log(_Mbh/_Mbulge)$\log (M_{\text{bh}}/M_{\text{bulge}})$ is -3.81±0.11$-3.81\pm 0.11$ for 15 NLS1s, and -2.91±0.13$-2.91\pm 0.13$ for 18 BLS1s, showing the lower _Mbh/_Mbulge$M_{\text{bh}}/M_{\text{bulge}}$ in NLS1s relative to BLS1s. The calculation shows that the Bulge mass from the host image decomposition in NLS1s is statistically smaller than that from Hubble-type correction method, and a linear mass relation is suggested for NLS1s and a nonlinear mass relation for BLS1s. The studying of host galaxies with ground-based observations strongly limited by the atmospheric seeing. We need to do the decomposition of host images for NLS1s with Hubble Space Telescope observation in the future.     

The radio recombination lines of hydrogen

The impact theory of spectral line broadening is used to obtain complete profiles for radio recombination lines broadened by electron and proton impact. Electron impact dominates but proton impact becomes increasingly significant as Δn$\mathrm{\Delta }n$ increases. Thus these new calculations essentially confirm previous results and so a longstanding discrepancy between observation and theory remains unresolved.     

Medium resolution near-infrared spectra of the host galaxies of nearby quasars

We present medium resolution near-infrared host galaxy spectra of low redshift quasars, PG 0844+349$0844+349$ (z = 0.064), PG 1226+023$1226+023$ (z = 0.158), and PG 1426+015$1426+015$ (z = 0.086). The observations were done by using the Infrared Camera and Spectrograph (IRCS) at the Subaru 8.2 m telescope. The full width at half maximum of the point spread function was about 0.3 arcsec by operations of an adaptive optics system, which can effectively resolve the quasar spectra from the host galaxy spectra. We spent up to several hours per target and developed data reduction methods to reduce the systematic noises of the telluric emissions and absorptions. From the obtained spectra, we identified absorption features of Mg I (1.503 μm), Si I (1.589 μm) and CO (6-3) (1.619 μm), and measured the velocity dispersions of PG 0844+349$0844+349$ to be 132 ± 110 km s⁻¹ and PG 1426+015$1426+015$ to be 264 ± 215 km s⁻¹. By using an _MBH–σ$M_{\text{BH}}''–''\sigma$ relation of elliptical galaxies, we derived the black hole (BH) mass of PG 0844+349$0844+349$, log(_MBH/_M⊙)=7.7±5.5$\log (M_{\text{BH}}/M_{\odot })=7.7\pm 5.5$ and PG 1426+015,log(_MBH/_M⊙)=9.0±7.5$1426+015\text{,}\log (M_{\text{BH}}/M_{\odot })=9.0\pm 7.5$. These values are consistent with the BH mass values from broad emission lines with an assumption of a virial factor of 5.5.     

A possible redshift evolution of the time-lag and variability luminosity relations for long gamma-ray bursts

Several luminosity relations currently exist for long gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). Some were derived from the light curves; others were obtained from the spectra. In this study, we consider two of these luminosity relations: the time-lag, _τlag${\tau }_{\mathit{lag}}$, relation and the variability, V, relation and investigate their possible dependence on (or “evolution” with) the redshift, z.     

Time series analysis of active galactic nuclei: The case of Arp 102B, 3C 390.3, NGC 5548 and NGC 4051

We used the Z-transformed Discrete Correlation Function (ZDCF) and the Stochastic Process Estimation for AGN Reverberation (SPEAR) methods for the time series analysis of the continuum and the Hα$\alpha$ and Hβ$\beta$ line fluxes of a sample of well known type 1 active galactic nuclei (AGNs): Arp 102B, 3C 390.3, NGC 5548, and NGC 4051, where the first two objects are showing double-peaked emission line profiles. The aim of this work is to compare the time lag measurements from these two methods, and check if there is a connection with other emission line properties. We found that the obtained time lags from Hβ are larger than those derived from the Hα analysis for Arp 102B, 3C 390.3 and NGC 5548. This may indicate that the Hβ   line originates at larger radii in these objects. Moreover, we found that the ZDCF and SPEAR time lags are highly correlated (r∼0.87$r\sim 0.87$), and that the error ranges of both ZDCF and SPEAR time lags are correlated with the FWHM of used emission lines (r∼0.7$r\sim 0.7$). This increases the uncertainty of the black hole mass estimates using the virial theorem for AGNs with broader lines.