基于WGA的导弹武器系统效能多目标评估

建立了导弹武器系统效能评估指标体系及评估模型,针对导弹武器系统效能的复杂性、综合性和不确定性,将层次分析法(AHP, Analytical Hierarchy Process)与加权向量法相结合,提出了一种基于加权几何平均算子的导弹武器系统效能多目标综合评估方法.将评价系统指标分为单项效能、系统效能和综合效能,利用层次分析法AHP确定各指标的权重系数,获取评价信息.通过运用加权几何平均(WGA,Weighted Geometric Average)算子和组合加权几何平均(CWGA)算子对属性值进行加权集结,得到群体综合属性值,从而确定最优方案,实现武器系统效能优劣的综合评估. 用实例进行了验证,结果表明,是导弹武器系统效能评估的有效方法.      

可变编码调制在遥感卫星中的应用效能研究

随着遥感卫星观测数据量的日益增加，卫星数据传输能力已成为制约遥感卫星使用效能的瓶颈因素。为充分利用近地遥感卫星数据传输的链路资源，采用可变编码调制（VCM）技术，通过对星地数传信道条件的动态评估，在保证链路传输误码率和链路余量的前提下，自适应地进行当前信道条件下的最优编码调制方式切换，充分利用系统链路余量，提高卫星星地数据传输效能。利用该方法，对VCM数传链路效能进行仿真分析，与相同符号速率的固定编码调制（CCM）体制相比，VCM传输效能平均提升42.1%，可为遥感卫星的数传通道设计提供借鉴。     

敏捷卫星立体定位角元素影响分析

为精确开展敏捷卫星效能评估,合理制定机动能力及其测量部件指标,首先针对敏捷卫星利用平台大角度姿态机动,以单线阵CCD相机实现立体成像的特点,分析了单线阵与三线阵立体定位角元素影响差异。其次建立了敏捷卫星立体定位精度评估模型,进行了内、外方位元素与角元素相关性分析,给出了各误差近似解析算法。解析分析定量给出了满足定位精度要求时敏捷卫星立体成像角方位元素及其测量精度指标的取值范围。     

发射场卫星试验鉴定流程控制网模型及分析

发射场卫星试验鉴定流程控制联合考虑试验鉴定过程模型和试验科目，实现对试验鉴定的流程控制。目前发射场卫星技术流程以文字和图片描述，在节点状态和约束迁移方面存在量化问题，无法构建形式化模型以嵌入自动化试验鉴定评估系统。以网模型为基础，构造发射场卫星试验鉴定流程控制网模型，并提出配套结构分析和性能分析方法，实现量化的可达性、作业不确定性和资源竞争性等分析内容，支持并行多星多任务的评估分析，从而支撑发射场卫星试验鉴定流程管理中试验鉴定方案设计及卫星流程模型优化设计等工作。     

基于ANP的直升机单机森林灭火训练效能评估

现有的直升机单机森林灭火训练效能评估方法仅针对取水灭火过程,忽视了其他任务环节对训练效能的贡献,并假设指标间相互独立,因此导致评估指标体系不全面、指标权重分配不合理,评估结果的可靠性低。利用离散事件系统建模理论建立的事件活动流将直升机单机森林灭火训练任务分解成若干相关活动,活动映射法对各活动效能要素进行分析并转化为效能评估指标,最终构建出全面的两维度效能评估指标体系;网络分析法(ANP)的使用考虑了评估指标间具有的依赖和相关关系,对指标权重进行重新合理分配,评估方法更符合问题的实际情况,评估结果更加可信。基于超级决策(SD)软件的案例分析表明,所提出的效能评估方法具有工程应用的可行性和参考价值。     

基于STT与模糊QFD的装备质量特性分解方法

装备综合质量特性参数是度量装备系统方案优劣的重要指标.在从战略到任务STT(Strategy to Task Technique)法、模糊质量功能展开QFD(Quality Function Deployment)法和武器效能评估ADC模型的基础上,提出一种装备综合质量特性参数分解方法.运用上述方法对装备进行结构和任务分解,把装备总体系统效能分解到相关任务及其功能系统的关键质量特性中,进一步建立考虑了任务和相关功能系统质量特性影响的系统效能模型.分解结果为装备不同系统方案的评价及确定影响装备系统效能的关键质量特性参数提供了依据.     

教练机训练效能计算方法改进

教练机训练效能对飞行学员掌握飞行技能和战术水平有重要作用,量化评估教练机训练效能是优化训练体制和评估飞行训练大纲的前提.典型的教练机训练效能计算模型对飞机的航空电子系统、操纵系统考虑不足,对飞行参数选择有局限性.利用层次分析法原理改进的教练机训练效能评估模型弥补了这些不足,同时对飞行科目权重给出了新的选择方法.改进模型能够很好地适应第三代战斗机飞行员训练效能评估,为现代飞行训练大纲和飞行训练体制评估提供了基础,算例结果证明改进模型更为合理可行.      

基于多维多层立体指标PNT优选策略与评估方法

复杂场景下,无人系统需要快速、可靠、精准决策的导航定位和授时(Positioning, Navigation, and Timing, PNT)手段。目前,PNT手段的优选大多依赖指挥员的经验,其任务繁重。为了将指挥员从决策任务中解放出来,进而专注于对战,需构建基于多维多层立体指标的PNT服务手段,以及设计PNT优选策略,并对优选策略进行评估。本文在无人系统可用的导航手段基础上,从系统工程思想出发,基于能评估思想体系和常规评估流程,建立无人系统PNT导航手段优选策略体系,通过模糊层次的分析方法,对体系指标进行量化。通过无人机的典型应用案例表明,本文所提的方法可以获得不同维度的综合效能定量数值,在多任务多场景下供指挥员参考并进行决策,该方法可为我国的PNT体系建设提供支撑。     

模糊AHP法在雷达组网效能评估中的应用

由于雷达系统组网效能评估和优选工作涉及多个指标和大量的模糊属性,导致了决策工作的困难.把拓展的模糊层次分析方法AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)引入雷达组网系统效能评估领域,提出了组网雷达作战效能评价指标层次,根据区间数判断矩阵的有关概念,得到了区间数判断矩阵排序权向量或综合评价值的计算方法,利用概率分布法对各最底层元素关于最高层准则的总组合权重进行排序.应用基于区间模糊数判断矩阵的模糊AHP法,建立了模糊评判模型.实例分析结果表明该方法具有实用性,其评估结果可以辅助指挥员提高雷达组网布防决策的准确性和科学性.      

导弹自主编队综合作战效能评估方法

针对导弹自主编队协同制导与控制技术的综合作战效能评估问题,引入了协同制导与控制能力等级(CGCL)的概念,并结合层次分析法(AHP)和ADC效能评估模型建立了导弹自主编队综合作战效能的分析模型,分析了导弹自主编队典型作战想定下导弹编队成员的协同突防概率、交班成功率、命中概率和毁伤概率,分析过程充分考虑了导弹自主编队作战的能力和特点,并在搭建的导弹自主编队攻防对抗综合仿真验证系统上分析和验证了其有效性,为定量地分析导弹自主编队的综合作战效能提供了快速可靠的计算方法。     

基于声光技术的扩频信号循环谱的检测

扩频信号是被伪随机码调制的周期信号,因此它应被建模为循环平稳随机信号.基于循环平稳随机信号的谱相关理论,提出了一种采用基于声光信号处理技术的扩频信号循环谱检测方法.通过研究扩频信号的循环频率、循环功率谱和基于时间积分的声光循环平稳处理模型,利用声光循环平稳时间积分相关器,在循环频率处对扩频信号的声光相关函数(循环谱)进行检测.相比于传统的能量检测方法,循环谱检测方法具有更好的检测性能;对于噪声和干扰,无论是平稳的、还是非平稳的,循环谱检测方法都具有较强的抗干扰能力,仿真结果证明了其有效性.     

TeV gamma-ray observations of pulsar wind nebulae with the HESS detector

High energy stereoscopic system (HESS) is a recent operational detector dedicated to the observation of γ-rays in the very high energy range. Situated in Namibia, it is composed of four Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes and gives a significant improvement in sensitivity and in accuracy of the reconstructed γ-ray parameters. First results on observations of pulsar wind nebulae are reported here. The binary system PSR B1259-63/SS 2883 has been detected in 2004 around the periastron, showing clear flux variations. The pulsar wind nebula around PSR B1706-44 has been observed and upper limits on its flux have been derived.     

A theoretical review of SS 433

The “twin jet model” for SS 433 is briefly described, and its likely superiorority to other models demonstrated. It is then used as a framework within which the implications of the main observational results are discussed. Many theoretical questions about SS 433 are raised, but only few are answered.     

可靠性维修性保障性效能模型研究

分析了系统效能的定义及其影响因素,提出了可靠性维修性保障性效能的概念,定义了进行可靠性维修性保障性综合设计分析的一个新的参数ＲＭＳ效能ＥＲＭＳ,推导了在执行任务期间可修复和不可修复２类典型系统的ＥＲＭＳ表达式,给出了利用参数ＥＲＭＳ进行可靠性维修性保障性综合设计分析的步骤．     

可靠性维修性保障性效能模型研究

因素,提出了可靠性维修性保障性效能的概念,定义了进行可靠性维修性保障性综合设计分析的一个新的参数RMS效能E_RMS,推导了在执行任务期间可修复和不可修复2类典型系统的E_RMS表达式,给出了利用参数E_RMS进行可靠性维修性保障性综合设计分析的步骤.      

A multi-wavelength study of the western lobe of W50 powered by the galactic microquasar SS 433

W50 remains the only supernova remnant (SNR) confirmed to harbor a microquasar: the powerful enigmatic source SS 433. Our past study of this fascinating SNR revealed two X-ray lobes distorting the radio shell as well as non-thermal X-rays at the site of interaction between the SS 433 eastern jet and the eastern lobe of W50. In this paper we present the results of a 75 ks Chandra ACIS-I observation of the peak of W50-west targeted to: (1) determine the nature of the X-ray emission and (2) correlate the X-ray emission with that in the radio and infrared domains. We have confirmed that at the site of interaction between the western jet of SS 433 and dense interstellar gas the X-ray emission is non-thermal in nature. The helical pattern observed in radio is also seen with Chandra. No correlation was found between the infrared and X-ray emission.     

Solar activity variations of equatorial spread F occurrence and sustenance during different seasons over Indian longitudes: Empirical model and causative mechanisms

A comprehensive analysis using nearly two decades of ionosonde data is carried out on the seasonal and solar cycle variations of Equatorial Spread F (ESF) irregularities over magnetic equatorial location Trivandrum (8.5°N, 77°E). The corresponding Rayleigh Taylor (RT) instability growth rates (γ) are also estimated. A seasonal pattern of ESF occurrence and the corresponding γ is established for low solar (LSA), medium solar (MSA) and high solar (HSA) activity periods. For LSA, it is seen that the γ maximizes during post sunset time with comparable magnitudes for autumnal equinox (AE), vernal equinox (VE) and winter solstice (WS), while for summer solstice (SS) it maximizes in the post-midnight period. Concurrent responses are seen in the ESF occurrence pattern. For MSA, γ maximizes during post-sunset for VE followed by WS and AE while SS maximises during post-midnight period. The ESF occurrence for MSA is highest for VE (80%), followed by AE (70%), WS (60%) and SS (50%). In case of HSA, maximum γ occurs for VE followed by AE, WS and SS. The concurrent ESF occurrence maximizes for VE and AE (90%), WS and SS at 70%.The solar cycle variation of γ is examined. γ shows a linear variation with F10.7?cm flux. Further, ESF percentage occurrence and duration show an exponential and linear variation respectively with γ. An empirical model on the solar activity dependence of ESF occurrence and sustenance time over Indian longitudes is arrived at using the database spanning two solar cycles for the first time.     

Generation of secondary waves due to intensive large-scale AGW traveling

By using data from GPS receivers we detected huge-amplitude solitary large-scale traveling acoustic-gravity waves (LS AGW) which manifested themselves as perturbations of total electron content (TEC) of duration of about 40 min. Originated in the auroral area after significant alterations of geomagnetic field intensity during geomagnetic storms on 29–30 October 2003, LS disturbances propagated with a velocity about 1000–1200 m/s and caused generation of secondary small-scale (SS) waves with time period of 2–10 min. Such SS structure followed the solitary intensive AGW at a distance more than 4000 km. However, we observed such phenomenon only within the territory with high values of “vertical” TEC and steep gradients of TEC. Apparently, these conditions are necessary for generation of SS waves due to propagation of LS AGW.