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双机编队的对地攻击效能分析
引用本文:孙康文,黄俊,武哲.双机编队的对地攻击效能分析[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2006,32(6):625-629.
作者姓名:孙康文  黄俊  武哲
作者单位:北京航空航天大学 航空科学与工程学院, 北京 100083
摘    要:双机编队是空防体系对抗中一种主要的作战模式,其目的是为了更有效地打击敌战略目标.通过采用概率论中常用于效能评估的马尔柯夫随机过程理论,建立了双机编队条件下对敌对战略目标进行攻击的战场想定和数学模型,推导出任务成功率、目标被毁率和飞机损失率等作战效能指标的计算公式.最后,通过生存力扩展因子的引入,在比较双机独立和双机编队相关效能指标的基础上指出了双机编队的作战优势.

关 键 词:双机编队  作战效能  概率论  马尔柯夫随机过程  生存力扩展因子
文章编号:1001-5965(2006)06-0625-05
收稿时间:2005-07-14
修稿时间:2005年7月14日

Operational effectiveness analyses of air-to-ground strike for two-plane formation
Sun Kangwen,Huang Jun,Wu Zhe.Operational effectiveness analyses of air-to-ground strike for two-plane formation[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2006,32(6):625-629.
Authors:Sun Kangwen  Huang Jun  Wu Zhe
Institution:School of Aeronautic Science and Technology, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China
Abstract:Two-plane formation is a main organization of the battle mode in the rivalry of air defense,which can fight the enemy's strategic target more effectively.By using Markov random processes,a method of probability,which usually can be used in the evaluation of system's effectiveness,the prediction of battle field and the mathematics model under the condition of two-plane formation which attacked the enemy strategic target in a threat environment were built. The operational effectiveness measures of the two-plane formation,including the probability of mission success,the probability that the target was killed and the probability that the aircraft was killed for an air-to-ground target attacking operation were deduced.Finally,by introducing viability enhanced quotient in an instance,the superiority of two-plane formation in attacking the enemy strategic surface target in a dangerous environment was validated by means of the comparison between two-plane interindependence and two-plane formation in their relative effectiveness measures.
Keywords:two-plane formation  operational effectiveness  probability  Markov random processes  viability enhanced quotient
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