| 模糊贝叶斯方法在航空设备可靠性评估中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈鹏飞,左洪福,王晔.模糊贝叶斯方法在航空设备可靠性评估中的应用[J].飞机设计,2008,28(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈鹏飞 左洪福 王晔 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京航空航天大学,江苏,南京,210016 |
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| 摘 要： | 在小样本情况下，利用数理统计方法来确定航空设备的寿命分布类型是不太适用的，本文运用模糊综合评判方法综合经验信息来确定先验分布，同时运用贝叶斯理论将统计推断建立在后验分布的基础上，给出了一种有小样本试验数据确定寿命分布的可靠性方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 小样本 模糊综合评判 贝叶斯理论 |
Application of Fuzzy-Bayes Method in Reliability Evaluation of Aviation Equipment |
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| CHEN Peng-fei,ZUO Hong-fu,WANG Ye.Application of Fuzzy-Bayes Method in Reliability Evaluation of Aviation Equipment[J].Aircraft Design,2008,28(5). |
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| Authors: | CHEN Peng-fei ZUO Hong-fu WANG Ye |
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| Institution: | Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics;Nanjing 210016;China |
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| Abstract: | In a small sample,it is not applicable to determine the type of life-distribution of aviation equipment with mathematical statistical methods.This paper proposes a method for determining life reliability model using data of small sample experiment.In the method,the fuzzy synthesis judgment is used to consider empirical information and determine empirical distribution,and the Bayes theory is used to establish the foundation of statistical inference. |
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| Keywords: | small example fuzzy synthesis-judgment Bayes theory |
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