基于Markov理论的反舰导弹突防舰载防空火炮效能评估

采用Markov理论,考虑海浪对防空火炮射击精度的影响,建立反舰导弹突防舰载防空火炮效能评估模型,动态地评估m枚反舰导弹随距离、海况等级变化突防n座防空火炮的突防率,确定要击毁军舰需要突防防空火炮的反舰导弹的枚数。

Effectiveness Evaluation of the Anti-Ship Missile Penetrate Shipboard Anti-Aircraft Cannons Based on the Markov Theory

The effectiveness evaluation of the anti-ship missiles penetrating the shipboard anti-aircraft cannons was presented in this paper based on the Markov theory. Firstly, the evaluation model was established and the wave effect which could influence the precision of the anti-aircraft ＇cannons was considered. Then, the probability of m amounts of anti-ship missiles penetrating n amounts of anti-aircraft cannons was analyzed, where the change of the distance and the sea conditions were introduced. Furthermore, the amount of the anti-ship missiles which could penetrate the anti-aircraft cannons and strike down the warship was calculated.