| 基于训练任务的舰炮备件短缺风险建模与仿真研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐廷学,魏勇.基于训练任务的舰炮备件短缺风险建模与仿真研究[J].海军航空工程学院学报,2010,25(1):73-78. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐廷学 魏勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系,山东,烟台,264001
2. 海军航空工程学院研究生管理大队,山东,烟台,264001 |
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| 摘 要： | 备件短缺是影响任务成功的主要因素。考虑任务执行过程中的动态因素,根据更新过程理论,建立了可修备件和不可修备件的短缺风险模型;然后通过实例对模型进行了仿真,仿真结果表明备件库存量对备件的短缺风险具有直观的影响,通过对备件库存方案的调整可以有效的规避备件的短缺风险,从而可以提高任务的成功率。
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| 关 键 词： | 舰炮 备件 短缺风险 建模与仿真 |
Modeling and Simulating on Spares Risk of Shortage for One-Type Naval Gun Based on Training Mission |
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| XU Ting-xue and WEI Yong.Modeling and Simulating on Spares Risk of Shortage for One-Type Naval Gun Based on Training Mission[J].Journal of Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institute,2010,25(1):73-78. |
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| Authors: | XU Ting-xue and WEI Yong |
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| Institution: | (Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University a. Department of Ordnance Science and Technology; b. Graduate Students＇ Brigade, Yantai Shandong 264001, China) |
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| Abstract: | Spares shortage is the main influence factor to the mission success. The models of ROS on repairable item and consumable item were obtained from the theory of the Renewal Process based on taking into account the dynamic factors of the mission. Experiment showed that the inventory of spares had a direct affect on the spare risk of shortage, and the spare risk of shortage could be impactful contorled by increasing the inventory of spares and the mission success probability would be also enhanced too. |
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| Keywords: | naval gun spares risk of shortage （ROS） modeling and simulating |
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