评估导弹命中精度的一种工程实用方法

提供了一种工程适用的用贝叶斯方法评估导弹命中精度完整的数学模型。利用导弹飞行试验前制导器件误差标定的信息和飞行试验误差分离的信息，综合确定导弹落点偏差验前信息。最后给出了对某型导弹评估的算例，结果表明：本文方法既保证了验前信息的准确性和可靠性，又保证了用贝叶斯方法评估导弹命中精度的精确性和可靠性。

An Engineering Method of the Missile Impact Accuracy Evaluation

This paper discusses the complete mathematic model of an engineering missile impact evaluation by Bayes method and presents a new thought and method of determining the missile impact error prior information by combining and making the most of the missile flight test prior guidance apparatus error demarcation information and the flight test error separate information.It also addresses the corresponding mathematic model and finally presents a missile evaluation example. This method not only ensures the prior information veracity and reliability, but also ensures the missile impact accuracy and evaluation accuracy, and reliability by Bayes method.