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基于签派可靠度的民机经济性评估方法
引用本文:汪震宇,李艳军,许振腾,安罡,马安祥.基于签派可靠度的民机经济性评估方法[J].航空计算技术,2014(4):51-54.
作者姓名:汪震宇  李艳军  许振腾  安罡  马安祥
作者单位:南京航空航天大学民航学院,江苏南京211106
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目资助(50705097);中国民航总局科技基金项目资助(MHRD07238)
摘    要:为准确评估签派可靠度高低对航空公司造成的经济性影响,针对民机系统建立飞机系统签派可靠度评估模型,运用贝叶斯理论对模型中参数进行估计。引入航空公司延误损失函数,研究因系统签派可靠度差异所造成的航空公司经济损失,得出民机系统签派可靠度经济性评估方法。以航空公司A320机队运营数据作为基础,以导航系统为例进行验证,量化了民机系统签派可靠度所代表的经济性。

关 键 词:贝叶斯理论  民机  签派可靠度  经济评估  延误

Economy Evaluation Methods of System′s Dispatch Reliability of Civil Aircraft
WANG Zhen-yu,LI Yan-jun,XU Zhen-teng,AN Gang,MA An-xiang.Economy Evaluation Methods of System′s Dispatch Reliability of Civil Aircraft[J].Aeronautical Computer Technique,2014(4):51-54.
Authors:WANG Zhen-yu  LI Yan-jun  XU Zhen-teng  AN Gang  MA An-xiang
Institution:( College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 21 1106, China)
Abstract:In order to accurately assess the economic impact caused by the dispatch reliability , estab-lishedthe reliability assessment model of the systems of Civil Aircraft based on Bayes Method .Introducing the delay′s loss function of Airline to research the economic loss causedthe dispatch reliability of the sys-tems.Concluded the economic assessment method of the dispatch reliability for the system of Civil Air -craft,based on the operation data of a fleet for A 320 of the airlineand verified the navigation system as an example.Quantify the economic represented by the dispatch reliability of the civil aircraft systems .
Keywords:Bayes method  civil aircraft  dispatch reliability  economic evaluation  delay
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