空中交通管理中的复杂性研究

 空中交通管理（ATM）领域不断更替的新概念与新技术对准确认识ATM底层结构及其运行机制提出了愈加多元的需求，其中复杂性研究作为基本问题之一，由于贯穿ATM的各个层面而成为认识系统涌现的重要线索。不断发展的复杂性科学更是从方法论上给予了ATM研究者理论支持，使得复杂性研究复兴成为欧美空管机构研究者的热点论题。针对ATM领域的复杂性研究尚未形成明晰体系之现状，本文尝试理清以往工作的范畴与框架，并重点介绍了关于动态密度、交通无序性、交通流扰动分析和空域复杂系统建模方面的理论成果，最后指出了该领域未来的研究趋势和尚待解决的关键问题。

Complexity Research in Air Traffic Management

The continual development of new concepts and techniques in the field of air traffic management (ATM) generates constantly more diversified demands for an accurate understanding of its underlying struc-ture and operating mechanism. Complexity research, which deals with one of the fundamental issues of ATM, emerges throughout the system at all levels, and provides important clues for exploring the emergence of the ATM system. Complexity science has provided theoretical support for researchers from a methodological per-spective in recent years, and numerous papers indicate that the subject is now a hot topic in ATM. However, there is as yet no widely accepted architecture for ATM complexity research up to now. Therefore,this article analyzes the mainline and framework of previous work, focusing on existing achievements in dynamical density, traffic disorder, flow disturbance analysis and airspace complex system modeling. It also points out the future research and development trends in the field of ATM complexity and some key issues which remain to be solved.