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Network analysis of Chinese air transport delay propagation
Authors:Massimiliano Zanin  Seddik Belkoura  Zhu Yanbo
Institution:1. Innaxis Foundation & Research Institute, José Ortega y Gasset 20, 28006 Madrid, Spain;Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Departamento de Engenharia Electrotécnica, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal;2. Innaxis Foundation & Research Institute, José Ortega y Gasset 20, 28006 Madrid, Spain;3. Aviation Data Communication Corporation, 100083, Beijing, China
Abstract:The Chinese air transport system has witnessed an important evolution in the last dec-ade, with a strong increase in the number of flights operated and a consequent reduction of their punctuality. In this contribution, we propose modelling the process of delay propagation by using complex networks, in which nodes are associated to airports, and links between pairs of them are assigned when a delay propagation is detected. Delay time series are analysed through the well-known Granger Causality, which allows detecting if one time series is causing the dynamics observed in a second one. Results indicate that delays are mostly propagated from small and regio-nal airports, and through flights operated by turbo-prop aircraft. These insights can be used to design strategies for delay propagation dampening, as for instance by including small airports into the system's Collaborative Decision Making.
Keywords:Air transport  Complex networks  Delays propagation  Functional networks  Granger causality
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