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A compositional method to model dependent failure behavior based on PoF models
Authors:Zhiguo ZENG  Yunxia CHEN  Enrico ZIO  Rui KANG
Institution:1. EDF Foundation Chair on Systems Science and Energetic Challenge,CentraleSupelec,Universite Paris-Saclay,Grande Voie des Vignes,92290 Chatenay-Malabry,France;2. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100083,China;3. EDF Foundation Chair on Systems Science and Energetic Challenge,CentraleSupelec,Universite Paris-Saclay,Grande Voie des Vignes,92290 Chatenay-Malabry,France;Energy Department,Politecnico di Milano,Italy
Abstract:In this paper,a new method is developed to model dependent failure behavior among failure mechanisms.Unlike the existing methods,the developed method models the root cause of the dependency explicitly,so that a deterministic model,rather than a probabilistic one,can be established.Three steps comprise the developed method.First,physics-of-failure (PoF) models are utilized to model each failure mechanism.Then,interactions among failure mechanisms are modeled as a combination of three basic relations,competition,superposition and coupling.This is the reason why the method is referred to as "compositional method".Finally,the PoF models and the interaction model are combined to develop a deterministic model of the dependent failure behavior.As a demonstration,the method is applied on an actual spool and the developed failure behavior model is validated by a wear test.The result demonstrates that the compositional method is an effective way to model dependent failure behavior.
Keywords:Degradation  Dependent failures  Multiple dependent competing failure processes  Reliability modeling  Shock
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