民用飞机航迹预测关键技术研究

航迹预测子系统是现代空管自动化系统的计算核心。首先对航迹预测的概念、预测系统分类及其重要性进行了简要说明,分析了世界航空发达国家在相关领域的研究进展情况及发展方向,说明了中国开发自己航迹预测系统的必要性;然后重点介绍了航迹预测系统的模型结构与关键技术,在此基础上建立了一个实验性的航迹预测仿真系统,对系统运行结果进行了分析。

Study on Key Trajectory Prediction Techniques of Civil Aviation Aircraft

Trajectory prediction(TP) subsystem is the "computational engine" of modern air traffic management systems.This paper first introduces the basic concept,classification and application of trajectory prediction studies its developments in advanced aviation countries,and explains why it is necessary to develop our own trajectory prediction system.And then it introduces the key techniques and module structure of TP.On this basis it establishes an experimental TP simulation system,and analyzes the result of this system's simulation.