“双顺差”下中国经济隐含的危机

中国的国际收支正处于“双顺差”阶段，一些学者认为“双顺差”是中国经济迅速腾飞的必经阶段，而另一些学者提出“双顺差”正给中国带来巨大的福利损失。文章对“双顺差”的成因进行分析，指出“双顺差”使中国经济孕育的风险增加，环境污染加剧，资源和能源耗竭速度加快，企业遭遇贸易争端的风险增加，政府储备机构承受的风险越来越高。要控制和缓解“双顺差”带来的危机，可采取以下对策：优化利用外资结构，提高外商投资的门槛；优化和提升出口产品结构，禁止战略性资源出口；扩大内需，降低中国经济的对外贸易依存度；适当放松资本管制，但要抑制非法资本的流入；制定鼓励进口的政策，扩大进口贸易。

The Crisis of Chinese Economy Under "The Double Favorable Balance"

China's international payment balance is being at the double favorable balance stage.Some scholars thought the double favorable balance is the Chinese economy rapidly soars must pass through the stage,but another some scholars proposed the double favorable balance is bringing the huge welfare loss to China.This article carries on the analysis to the double favorable balance origin,and pointed out double favorable balance sends Chinese economy breeding the increasing risk,makes Chinese the environmental pollution to intensify,causes the speed use of Chinese the resources and the energy to speed up,causes the Chinese enterprise to encounter the trade conflict the risk increase,and causes Chinese government reserve organization withstanding the risk to be more and more high.To control and alleviate the crisis which the double favorable balance brings,China may take the countermeasure as follows,optimize the structure of using foreign capital and enhance the foreign investment the threshold;optimize and the promote exports the product structure,forbid the strategic resources exportation;In the expansion needs,reduce the Chinese economy foreign trade to depend on for existence;suitably relax the capital control,but suppress the illegal capital the inflow;formulate encouragement import policy and expand import trade.