江西省呼吸道疾病发病率的气象特征分析

收集整理南昌市四家大型医院的1996—1999年期间呼吸道疾病的住院病例资料9081例，发现：呼吸道疾病多发于3、4月份。对疾病资料进行10天平滑处理和标准化处理，并从气候学角度划分四季。分别建立气候学角度春、夏、秋、冬四个季节的疾病与气象要素之间的10天预报回归方程，应用此方程计算江西省所有县市1971-2000年逐旬的呼吸道发病率分布情况，得出：江西省呼吸道疾病的发病率最高峰是每年的3月上旬～4月中旬，最低谷是9月上旬-11月上旬，而且呈现了北低南岛的特点。

An analysis of characteristics of incidence of respiratory disease in Jiangxi

The authors collected 9081 respiratory cases of patients hospitalized in four big hospitals of Nanchang city from 1996 to 1999 and found that the respiratory diseases occurred mostly in March or April. They did smooth treatment and standardized treatment of the cases for ten days and classified them into four seasons from the perspective of meteorology, establishing the regressive equation of ten - day prediction of the relation between diseases and meteorologlcal factors in spring, summer, autumn and winter. By means of the equation, they calculated the distribution of respiratory diseases from 1971 to 2000 in all the counties and municipalities of Jiangxi province, concluding that the peak of incidenee happened in the first ten days of March and the middle ten days of April and the bottom of incidence in the first ten days of September and the first ten days of November with the characteristic of being low in incidence in the north and high in south.