| （对数）正态未来观测的预测分布及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 周源泉,郭建英.（对数）正态未来观测的预测分布及其应用[J].强度与环境,2001(2):1-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周源泉 郭建英 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京强度与环境研究所,
2. 哈尔滨理工大学, |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金!资助项目 ( 79970 0 4 5) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文用Bayes方法给出了正态、对数正态分布示来观测的预测分布。据此，给出了两分布未来观测值的预测子与预测区间及两分布可靠性的Bayes估计，而经典预测区间与无信息先验分布下的Bayes预测区间相间。
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| 关 键 词： | 正态分布 对数正态分布 预测子 预测区间 Bayes方法 可靠性 统计估计 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-3919(2001)02-0001-11 |
Predictive Distribution of (Log)Normal Future Observation and Its Appliction |
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| ZHOU Yuan,quan.Predictive Distribution of (Log)Normal Future Observation and Its Appliction[J].Structure & Environment Engineering,2001(2):1-11. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yuan quan |
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| Abstract: | The Bayesian predictive distributions of (Log)normal future observation are given in this paper.Based on these results,the predictor and prediction interval of (log)normal future observation and the Bayesian estimation of the reliability for (log)normal distribution are presented.And the classical prediction intervals are coincided with the Bayesian prediction intervals taking the noninformative prior distribution. |
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| Keywords: | Normal distribution Lognormal distribution Predictor Prediction interval Bayesian approach Reliability |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
