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A new approach to solar cycle forecasting
Authors:Keith T Strong  Julia LR Saba
Institution:1. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 671, Greenbelt, MD 20771-0001, USA;2. SP-Systems, 12310 Longwater Drive, Bowie, MD 20721, USA;3. Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Center, 3251 Hanover St., Palo Alto, CA 94304, USA
Abstract:We describe a novel approach for determining the timing of the solar cycle and tracking its evolution relative to other cycles. This method also has predictive capability for forecasting the cycle “onset.” Based on current trends, we expect that Cycle 23 will be about 1 year longer than the previous two cycles.
Keywords:Space weather prediction  Solar cycle  Magnetic fields
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