末段突防高度对反舰导弹飞行安全的影响

末段突防击水概率是反舰导弹设计和使用人员必须解决的一个问题。文章综合考虑了击水概率影响因素，从掠海飞行导弹背景建模、反舰导弹高度控制系统和弹体纵向运动方程等方面人手，对给定海情下反舰导弹高度输出进行仿真研究，并利用统计试验的方法对击水概率进行计算。仿真结果证实了不同海情下飞行高度对击水概率的影响。

The Influence of End Penetration Altitude on Flight Safety of Anti-Ship Missile

The issue of ditching probability during end penetration must be solved by anti-ship missile designer and user. Considering the effect factors on ditching probability, a research was studied to calculate the flight altitude of anti-ship missile under the given sea conditions based on modeling and simulation of sea-skimming environment, portrait movement equations with altitude control system. An example was simulated to analyze the influence of end penetration altitude on ditching probability under different sea conditions.