Does geomagnetic storm magnitude depend on solar flare importance? |
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Authors: | Yu I Yermolaev M Yu Yermolaev |
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Institution: | (1) Physics Department, University of Lucknow, Lucknow, 226007, India;(2) Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, 411-008, India;(3) Space Physics Laboratory, Physics Department, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 221005, India |
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Abstract: | In order to predict space weather effects, solar flares are often used as precursors of magnetic storms on the Earth. In particular,
possible relation between the solar flare importance and magnetic storm intensity is discussed in some papers. However, published
results contradict each other. We compare the published results on the flare-storm dependence and discuss possible causes
of this disagreement: (1) different intervals of observation, (2) differing statistics, and (3) different methods of identification
of events and their comparison. Our analysis has shown that the fact of occurrence and the magnitude of a geomagnetic storm
cannot be determined, generally, using only the solar flare importance. However, analyzing additional information on the coronal
mass ejection (CME), associated with the geomagnetic storm, one can offer an algorithm for the storm magnitude prediction
on the basis of flare importance. |
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Keywords: | |
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