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基于蒙特卡罗模拟的飞机结构可靠度分析
引用本文:范海涛,陈秀华,汪海.基于蒙特卡罗模拟的飞机结构可靠度分析[J].飞机设计,2009,29(3):6-8.
作者姓名:范海涛  陈秀华  汪海
作者单位:1. 上海交通大学,船建学院,上海,200240
2. 上海交通大学,航空航天学院,上海,200240
摘    要:飞机可靠度的分析要综合考虑各种因素的影响,由于各因素的影响较为复杂,很难通过解析的方法来计算飞机的可靠度.随着计算机速度的不断提升,通过蒙特卡罗模拟计算飞机结构的可靠性逐渐变得可行.本文基于蒙特卡罗法,将损伤、工作环境、检修周期等作为核心要素,提出了面向工程应用的飞机结构可靠度分析方法,最终得到了飞机全机结构失效概率的计算方法.本方法在计算机上得到了初步实现.

关 键 词:蒙特卡罗法  可靠度  失效概率  承载能力

Reliability Analysis of Aircraft Structures Based upon Monte Carlo Method
FAN Hai-tao,CHEN Xiu-hua,WANG Hai.Reliability Analysis of Aircraft Structures Based upon Monte Carlo Method[J].Aircraft Design,2009,29(3):6-8.
Authors:FAN Hai-tao  CHEN Xiu-hua  WANG Hai
Institution:FAN Hai-tao1,CHEN Xiu-hua2,WANG Hai2 (1.School of Naval Architecture,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200240,China) (2.School of Aeronautics and Astronautics,China)
Abstract:Various factors should be considered in reliability analysis of aircraft structures and it is difficult to derive an analytical method that could be commonly used.Monte Carlo method,as a numerical method,is getting feasible with the advancement of computer technology.So a reliability analysis method of aircraft structures based upon Monte Carlo Method is presented.Factors such as damages,environment and inspection interval are considered in the method.And this method has been preliminarily realized on compu...
Keywords:Monte Carlo  reliability  probability of failure  bearing capacity  
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