基于MARKOV过程的反舰导弹突防舰艇编队能力评估

为了全面评估反舰导弹对大型水面舰艇编队的作战能力,引入Markov模型来模拟不同速度、不同高度的导弹对编队的突防效果.以编队的防空队形为例,假定来袭导弹服从Possion分布,编队的拦截系统对来袭导弹采用"先来先服务"的原则,通过设定合理的参数,得出不同速度、不同高度导弹的突防效果.模拟结论从突防效能的角度验证了当前反舰导弹的两种方向:超低空亚声速和低空超声速.所建立的大型水面舰艇编队拦截模型具有普适性,通过修改相应的参数,可以评估其他类编队的拦截作战效果.

Evaluation on the Anti-Ship Missile Penetration Ability of the Formation Based on Queuing Theory

In order to evaluate the battle ability of missile against formation,the Markov model is used to simulate the penetration effects for missiles at different altitude and different speed.Based on the particular analysis of the interception system of formation,we assume the raid missiles to obey the Possion distribution and the interception system of the formation dispose the raid missiles with the queue theory of 'first-come first-service',by setting logical parameters,the penetration effects of missiles at d...