从空战制胜机理演变看未来战斗机发展趋势

制空权是当代战争一切空中行动的前提条件，而承担空中优势重任的战斗机的研发工作长期以来为各军事大国所重视。数十年来，美军在空战理论、战斗机研发和空战实践等方面具有领先优势，已率先完成由能量机动制胜向信息机动制胜的空战能力转变。随着自主、人工智能、无人、通信、计算等技术的快速进步，美军正在塑造以下一代战斗机为核心，以复杂空战系统为基本空战单元的新空战形态，认知机动制胜将是未来空中对抗的制胜机理。本文将系统梳理空战制胜机理的演变历程，结合当前技术发展与布局，研判未来战斗机发展趋势。

Development trend of future fighter: A review of evolution of winning mechanism in air combat

Air superiority is the prerequisite of all air operations in modern wars, and the research and development of fighters have long been attached great importance to by all military powers. The U.S. has been leading in air combat theory, fighter research and development, and air combat practice for decades, and has already completed the air combat capability transition from energy maneuverability to information maneuverability. As the technologies of autonomy, artificial intelligence, UAV, communication, and computing are rapidly progressing, the U.S. is now shaping the new air combat form by speeding up the development of the complex air combat system, in which the next generation fighter is the core node. Cognitive maneuverability will then be the winning mechanism in the future air combat. In this paper, a systemic review of evolution of the winning mechanism in air combat is conducted, and the development trend of future fighter is given based on an analysis of the current technological layout.