弹道导弹落点预报技术综述

导弹落点预报是一门综合技术,国内外都已历经多年的研究和实践。本文比较全面地分析了国内外开展这项研究的现状,简要地阐述了落点预报的作用,指出落点预报具有航程安全性评估,弹道导弹拦截试验、再入体搜索范围划定、发射辅助决策、提高命中精度和验证天地关系6种作用。论述了构成落点预报的3个要素,即信息获取、飞行仿真和统计综合。明确了精度分析在落点预报工作中的基础地位。

A Survey of Impact Point Prediction Technology for Ballistic Missile

The impact point prediction of ballistic missile is an integrated technology,which has been researched and applied many years.The relative research status is analyzed,the application of impact point prediction is simply explained including six functions,such as the range safety assessment,the launching assistant decision,the accuracy improvement of hitting the target,the validation of relationship between heaven and earth and so on.Three factors composed of the impact-point prediction are discussed,i.e.,data acquisition,flight simulation and statistical integration.It shows that the accuracy analysis is the basis of the impact-point prediction.