区域货运量预测模型及应用

本文介绍以投入产出综合预测模型进行区域货运量预测的方法,并将这一方法应用于NT市,预测了NT市“八五”期间的货运量及其流量流向。

REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING FREIGHT VOLUME FORECASTING MODEL AND ITS PRACTICE

For many conmunication and transportation studies,it is necessary to know the amount of freight volume.Freight volume forecasting is very important for transportation plan.On the basis of on-the-spot investigation,a Input-Output model for freight forecasting is made.By the model we can first do economic forecasting by regression and other mathods,then we can forecasting the freight volume and its flowing direction.At the end of the paper,the result of the model practice in NT city is presented.