| 等维灰数递补动态预测在机场客运量预测中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 安然,王锋刚.等维灰数递补动态预测在机场客运量预测中的应用[J].中国民航学院学报,2006,24(5):7-11. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 安然 王锋刚 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国民航大学交通工程学院,天津300300 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 基于灰色系统等维灰数递补动态预测和残差GM（1，1）修正模型，对其应用的可行性进行了有益的探讨，并结合实例，对首都国际机场中短期客运量进行了预测。通过调整原始样本中的变异数据，得到比较理想的预测结果．经检验预测结果是可信的。该研究为机场客运量预测提供了一种方法，可供借鉴。
|
| 关 键 词： | 等维灰数递补动态预测 残差修正 机场客运量 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5000（2006）05-0007-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-04-18 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-182006-05-29 |
Application of Dynamic Forecasting with Recursive Compensation by Gray Numbers of Identical Dimensions in Passenger Transport Volume at Airport |
| |
| AN Ran,WANG Feng-gang.Application of Dynamic Forecasting with Recursive Compensation by Gray Numbers of Identical Dimensions in Passenger Transport Volume at Airport[J].Journal of Civil Aviation University of China,2006,24(5):7-11. |
| |
| Authors: | AN Ran WANG Feng-gang |
| |
| Institution: | College of Transportation Engineering, CA UC , Tianjin 300300, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the dynamic forecasting with recursive compensation by gray numbers of identical dimensions and the remnant difference correct model GM(1,1),the paper studies the feasibility of its application,and applies if to forecasting the passenger transport volume of the Beijing Capital International Airport.By adjusting the discreteness of the original data,it obtains the highly precise forecast results which are credible.And it is a good method to forecast passenger transport valume at airports. |
| |
| Keywords: | dynamic forecasting with recursive compensation by gray numbers of identical dimensions remnant difference correct passenger transport volume at airports |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
