Editorial: Show Us the Data

Journal of Reducing Space Mission Cost -     

Risk-based technology portfolio optimization for early space mission design

The successful design, development, and operation of space missions requires informed decisions to be made across a vast array of investment, scientific, technological, and operational issues. In the work reported in this paper, we address the problem of determining optimal technology investment portfolios that minimize mission risk and maximize the expected science return of the mission. We model several relationships that explicitly link investment in technologies to mission risk and expected science return. To represent and compute these causal and computational dependencies, we introduce a generalization of influence diagrams that we call inference nets. To illustrate the approach, we present results from its application to a technology portfolio investment trade study done for a specific scenario for the projected 2009 Mars MSL mission. This case study examines the impact of investments in precision landing and long-range roving technologies on the mission capability, and the associated risk, of visiting a set of preselected science sites. We show how an optimal investment strategy can be found that minimizes the mission risk given a fixed total technology investment budget, or alternatively how to determine the minimum budget required to achieve a given acceptable mission risk.     

Editorial: The End of J.RSMC

Journal of Reducing Space Mission Cost -     

Preface

Journal of Reducing Space Mission Cost -     

Autonomous orbit maintenance system

Orbit maintenance is a major cost factor for Earth satellites in specialized orbits, such as a repeating ground track, or in formations. While autonomous attitude control is well established, the spacecraft's orbit is usually uncontrolled or maintained by ground station commands. For small, lower cost satellites, operations costs can be a dominant element of both cost and risk. This implies a need for low-cost autonomous orbit maintenance in order to allow such systems to be economically viable, particularly in today's constrained budget environment.

In addition, if the position of the spacecraft is controlled, it is therefore known in advance. Thus, mission planning can be done as far in advance as desired, without the need for replanning and frequent updating due to unpredictable orbit decay. An interesting characteristic of autonomous orbit maintenance is that it typically requires less software, and less complex software, than does orbit control from the ground. In many cases, an onboard orbit propagator is not needed.