Maximal admissible mode decision delay in terminal guidance

Mode decision-maker is a critical component in the logic-based Integrated Estimation and Guidance(IEG) system. For the best possible estimation and guidance performance, the mode decision delay of the mode decision-maker should be limited to a range as small as possible. This paper presents a numerical method for computing the maximal admissible mode decision delay that varies with time-to-go. Particular attention has been paid to highly maneuvering target interception in terminal guidance. The results of this research offer useful guidelines for the design of the mode decision-maker in IEG systems.     

Establishment of atmospheric weighted mean temperature model in the polar regions

Due to the special geographical location and extreme climate environment, the polar regions (Antarctic and Arctic) have an important impact on global climate change. Atmospheric weighted mean temperature (Tm) is a crucial parameter in the retrieval of precipitable water vapor (PWV) from the zenith wet delay (ZWD) of ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signal propagation. In this paper, the correlation between weighted mean temperature and surface temperature (Ts) is studied firstly. It is shown that the correlation coefficients between Tm and Ts are 0.93 in the Antarctic and 0.94 in the Arctic. The linear regression Tm model and quadratic function Tm model of the Antarctic and the Arctic are established respectively using the radiosonde profiles of 12 stations in the Antarctic and 58 stations in the Arctic from 2008 to 2015. The accuracies of the linear regression Tm model, the quadratic function Tm model and GPT2w Tm model which is a state-of-the-art global Tm model are verified using the radiosonde profiles from 2016 to 2018 in the Antarctic and Arctic. Root Mean Square (RMS) errors of the linear regression Tm model, the quadratic function Tm model and GPT2w Tm model in the Antarctic are 3.07 K, 2.87 K and 4.32 K respectively, and those in the Arctic are 3.53 K, 3.38 K and 4.82 K, which indicates that the quadratic function Tm model has a higher accuracy compared to linear regression Tm model, and the accuracies of the two regional Tm models are better than that of GPT2w Tm model in the polar regions. In order to better evaluate the accuracy of Tm in the PWV retrieval, the PWV values of radiosondes are used for comparisons as the reference value. The RMS errors of PWV derived from the two Tm models are similar for 1.28 mm in the Antarctic and 1 mm in the Arctic respectively. In addition, the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of Tm are analyzed in the polar regions by spectral analysis of Tm data using fast Fourier transform. The results show that the Tm has obvious seasonality and annual periodicity in the polar regions, and the maximum difference between warm season and cold season is about 63 K. After comparing and analyzing the influences of latitude, longitude and elevation on the Tm in the polar regions, it is found that latitude and elevation have a greater influence on the Tm than the longitude. As the latitude and elevation increase, the Tm decreases, and vice versa in the polar regions.     

基于飞行资源分离的航班延误传播研究

在航班串设计及机组排班过程中,经常涉及飞行资源(飞机、机组)分离的问题。而延误航班的飞行资源分离将导致共享资源的衔接航班发生延误,并传播至后续航班串。本文考虑带有飞行资源分离的航班串,利用基于贝叶斯网络的比例风险回归模型,对资源分离后的航班离港延误进行分析。对比两种不同时刻飞机与机组资源分离方案下,各延误因素对衔接航班离港延误,以及整个后续航班串延误时间的影响,结果表明,不同时刻分离方案会造成不同的延误传播效果。本文为飞机、机组资源分离时刻的选择提供了定量分析方法,结果表明,资源分离时刻的不同对衔接航班的离港延误,以及整个后续航班串延误波及时间的影响都不同。     

Statistical study of the time delay of ionospheric TEC storms to geomagnetic storms in Taoyuan,Taiwan

We have studied the time delay of ionospheric storms to geomagnetic storms at a low latitude station Taoyuan (25.02°N, 121.21°E), Taiwan using the Dst and TEC data during 126 geomagnetic storms from the year 2002 to 2014. In addition to the known local time dependence of the time delay, the statistics show that the time delay has significant seasonal characteristics, which can be explained within the framework of the seasonal characteristics of the ionospheric TEC. The data also show that there is no correlation between the time delay and the intensity of magnetic storms. As for the solar activity dependence of the time delay, the results show that there is no relationship between the time delay of positive storms and the solar activity, whereas the time delay of negative storms has weakly negative dependence on the solar activity, with correlation coefficient −0.41. Especially, there are two kinds of extreme events: pre-storm response events and long-time delay events. All of the pre-storm response events occurred during 15–20 LT, manifesting the Equator Ionospheric Anomaly (EIA) feature at Taoyuan. Moreover, the common features of the pre-storm response events suggest the storm sudden commencement (SSC) and weak geomagnetic disturbance before the main phase onset (MPO) of magnetic storms are two main possible causes of the pre-storm response events. By analyzing the geomagnetic indices during the events with long-time delay, we infer that this kind of events may not be caused by magnetic storms, and they might belong to ionospheric Q-disturbances.     

考虑星历误差的天文测角/时间延迟量测组合导航方法

基于太阳震荡的时间延迟是一种新型天文导航量测量，可以提供探测器相对反射天体的距离信息，与星光角距量测量结合，可以提高导航性能。然而，星光角距量测模型与时间延迟量测模型均含有火卫一相对火星的位置矢量，火卫一的星历误差将影响导航精度。针对这一问题，提出了一种基于在线估计的天文测角/时间延迟量测组合导航方法，建立了包含火卫一位置及速度的状态模型，利用星光角距及时间延迟量测量同时对火卫一的位置和速度进行在线估计，仿真结果表明，提出的方法可以有效抑制火卫一星历误差对组合导航精度的影响，为探测器提供高精度的自主导航信息。     

考虑测试性设计缺陷修正延时的测试性增长模型建模与评价方法

针对现有测试性增长模型忽略了测试性设计缺陷的修正延时过程，进而导致测试性增长模型（TGM）跟踪与预计精度低的问题，提出了一种考虑测试性设计缺陷修正延时的测试性增长模型建模理论与方法。首先分析测试性设计缺陷识别与修正之间的延时机理，得到剩余测试性设计缺陷（TDL）具有先增后减的铃形变化趋势；在此基础上，分别以Gamma、Raleigh和Delay-S 3种曲线拟合剩余测试性设计缺陷（RTDL）变化趋势，研究建立基于以上3种曲线考虑修正延时的测试性增长模型；最后，以某机载稳定跟踪平台测试性增长试验数据验证测试性增长模型拟合、跟踪及预计效能。研究结果表明：基于该测试性增长试验数据，Gamma曲线可以精确地拟合剩余测试性设计缺陷变化规律，测试性增长模型跟踪和预计精度可达到10^-2数量级。     

横向矩形微槽对高超边界层失稳的控制作用

模拟了马赫数为6的空间发展平板边界层,通过在平板表面添加二维横向微槽研究了其对基本流及第二模态扰动波的影响。结果表明:所研究的二维微槽构形与常规多孔涂层相比具有较大的尺寸(100 μm以上),微槽对基本流的流向速度影响很小,空间采样点上的频谱并未出现新的不稳定模态。微槽有利于减小摩擦阻力,槽内流动导致的压差阻力比摩擦阻力低1~2个数量级,总阻力随着开槽率的增加而减小,当开槽率为06时,减阻效果超过40%。在入口以两种方式添加了第二模态扰动波,包括单个扰动和多个叠加扰动,下游的演化结果说明横向微槽能够在一个宽带频率范围内对第二模态的增长起到明显的抑制作用,且控制效果随着开槽率的增大而增强。     

终端区四维轨迹到达时间的控制与计算

研究的目的是使管制员通过飞行管理计算机计算的结果来较精确地预测飞机到达各航路点的时间范围,在同时有多架飞机进场的情况下合理安排进近顺序。利用向量分解法,分析了飞机在有风情况下,特别是风向风速改变时地速的变化。给出了实时地速的计算方式,指出了通过调节两个航路点间加速度变化的位置来控制飞机到达下一航路点的时间,并给出了到达各航路点时间范围的计算方式。通过计算,管制员不仅可以推测出到达各航路点的高度及时间范围,避免飞行冲突,还能够安全有序的引导飞机按预计时间着陆,减少航班延误量。     

一种新型航班延误组合预测模型

为了克服单一的航班延误预测模型在预报时的缺陷,在分析航班延误的特点的情况下,提出了一种基于危险模式和灰色预测组合的新型航班延误预测的方法。对这两种预测方法的结果采用加权组合预测的方式来预测航班延误的趋势变化,预测结果是单一预测模型的加权和,加权系数动态确定。最后通过国内的某枢纽机场的航班延误情况进行了验证。实验表明该模型可以不受某一较差的预测模型影响,从而有较好的预测效果。     

无人机遥控驾驶关键技术研究与飞行品质分析

无人机遥控驾驶方式相对程控方式来说,在时间延迟、情景遥现、数据链性能优化以及飞行控制等方面的要求较高,而这些因素也成为了困扰无人机遥控驾驶发展和应用的关键.借鉴无人机技术验证平台地面闭环试验的结果,以时间延迟、数据链路性能为重点针对无人机遥控驾驶所面临的各种关键技术难点进行了深入的分析、研究,提出了合理的关键技术解决方...