Degradation monitoring in Silvo-pastoral systems: A case study of the Mediterranean region of Turkey

To identify policies that will promote positive effects and mitigate negative ones of grazing is a major challenge in the Silvo-pastoral system. This paper presents the role of examining land-cover change trajectories by remote sensing imagery in grazing policy monitoring. The study was conducted for Duzlercami forest ecosystem located in the Mediterranean geographical region of Turkey and administrated by the General Directorate of Forestry (GDF) of the Ministry of Forestry and Water Affairs. Time series land-cover datasets from Landsat images between 1988 and 2016 were collected and classified. To link the conversions among trajectories and grazing policy, class level landscape metrics derived from the classified images were used. To validate the approach, yearly grazing-plans managed by GDF and populations of livestock were used. Results of this research have indicated that even though there is a yearly grazing plan, overgrazing can happen on the pilot site, and it can be easily identified by the destruction of woody vegetation. The notable correlation (r²?=?0.89) between degraded woody vegetation and cattle population has occurred in the last 30?years in the landscape, and Landsat imagery can effectively support the grazing policy mapping and monitoring.     

长寿命卫星热控涂层性能退化及其对卫星热特征的影响

分析了卫星热控涂层在轨运行时所面临的复杂的空间辐照环境,在国内外试验数据的基础上,给出了热控涂层在空间辐照环境作用下的退化模型,得到了退化前后热控涂层光学性能变化的表达式,预测了几种常用热控涂层在空间环境下的退化结果.并以一颗地球同步轨道模拟星为例,分析热控涂层性能退化对卫星热特征尤其是对卫星红外辐射特性的影响.     

Remaining useful life estimation for deteriorating systems with time-varying operational conditions and condition-specific failure zones

Dynamic time-varying operational conditions pose great challenge to the estimation of system remaining useful life (RUL) for the deteriorating systems. This paper presents a method based on probabilistic and stochastic approaches to estimate system RUL for periodically moni-tored degradation processes with dynamic time-varying operational conditions and condition-specific failure zones. The method assumes that the degradation rate is influenced by specific oper-ational condition and moreover, the transition between different operational conditions plays the most important role in affecting the degradation process. These operational conditions are assumed to evolve as a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC). The failure thresholds are also determined by specific operational conditions and described as different failure zones. The 2008 PHM Conference Challenge Data is utilized to illustrate our method, which contains mass sensory signals related to the degradation process of a commercial turbofan engine. The RUL estimation method using the sensor measurements of a single sensor was first developed, and then multiple vital sensors were selected through a particular optimization procedure in order to increase the prediction accuracy. The effectiveness and advantages of the proposed method are presented in a comparison with exist-ing methods for the same dataset.     

大型空间结构材料性质退化和结构损伤

就材料性质的退化对大型空间结构动力响应的影响以及大型空间结构在轨损伤评估两个问题进行简要论述。损伤通常在复合材料中发生。对典型的空间桁架结构研究表明:材料性质的退化将引起固有频率的降低,并对振型有显著影响。介绍一种应用在轨响应测量的理论来评估结构系统损伤的发生、位置和程度。以天线桁架为例说明此理论的应用。     

群时延特性对卫星高速数传中继系统的影响

主要关注线性和抛物线特性的群时延对高速数传系统的影响,在分析了群时延特性的概念后,设计了具有仿真要求的群时延滤波器,建立模型对系统进行了仿真,得出了线性和抛物线特性的群时延对系统接收端信噪比恶化的影响,为整个系统的均衡程度提出了指标要求和参考。     

污染土壤原位生物修复技术进展

原位生物修复在治理污染土壤中的作用日益突出，因而对于原住生物修复的研究愈加受到重视。文中针对原位生物修复的发展情况分别就生物修复实例和实验室研究进展进行了综述。     

基于非线性Wiener过程航空发动机性能退化预测

针对线性随机过程航空发动机剩余使用寿命预测精度不高的问题,提出一种漂移系数为指数形式的非线性Wiener过程发动机性能退化建模,进而预测航空发动机的剩余寿命。基于直接监测发动机性能退化数据,构建发动机性能退化模型,根据Wiener过程首达阈值时间的数学性质,推导出剩余寿命的概率分布。通过极大似然估计构建退化模型中未知参数的似然函数,利用遗传算法得到发动机总体模型参数的离线估计值。考虑到不同发动机个体间的差异性,采用贝叶斯公式,结合发动机的实时监测数据与总体模型参数的先验分布对模型中随机参数进行实时更新,从而对个体发动机的剩余寿命实时预测。最后,选择商用航空发动机仿真数据集(C-MAPSS)进行实验,结果表明：针对个体发动机基于非线性随机过程方法,实时更新非线性Wiener方法能够提高航空发动机循环中期剩余寿命预测的准确性,提供更加可靠的预防性维修决策。     

A compositional method to model dependent failure behavior based on PoF models

In this paper, a new method is developed to model dependent failure behavior among failure mechanisms. Unlike the existing methods, the developed method models the root cause of the dependency explicitly, so that a deterministic model, rather than a probabilistic one, can be established. Three steps comprise the developed method. First, physics-of-failure(PoF) models are utilized to model each failure mechanism. Then, interactions among failure mechanisms are modeled as a combination of three basic relations, competition, superposition and coupling. This is the reason why the method is referred to as ‘‘compositional method". Finally, the PoF models and the interaction model are combined to develop a deterministic model of the dependent failure behavior. As a demonstration, the method is applied on an actual spool and the developed failure behavior model is validated by a wear test. The result demonstrates that the compositional method is an effective way to model dependent failure behavior.     

X-Cor 夹层结构压缩强度有限元分析

利用有限元软件获得了X-Cor夹层结构的应力场,并对其压缩强度进行分析。提出了适合于X-Cor夹层结构失效机理分析的失效判据和材料刚度退化规则,明确其失效过程和模式。根据失效判据,采用有限元模型中发生刚度退化的单元及其分布模拟失效的类型及扩展路径,说明X-Cor夹层结构在压缩载荷下的失效机理。有限元研究表明:压缩过程中,树脂区首先失效,其次是Z-pin,主要的失效模式是Z-pin屈曲失效,失效单元的扩展路径有一定的分散性。通过有限元分析结果与试验值的比较,数值吻合较好,计算误差为-7.6%～9.5%。     

遥感图像运动模糊恢复方法及评价标准研究

遥感成像系统与目标在曝光时间内的相对运动将导致成像的运动模糊。文章结合匀速直线运动造成的图像模糊特点，讨论图像模糊的产生机理并建立相关退化模型；利用点扩散函数（PSF）在频率域和空间域上分别对匀速直线运动产生的模糊图像进行恢复；验证各算法对高斯噪声的抗干扰性；提出使用HVS对比度的方法作为客观评价标准验证恢复算法的可行性，并与传统的灰度平均梯度（GMG）相对比表明该评价标准的合理性。