疲劳分散系数随应力的变化规律

 从《航空金属材料疲劳性能手册》中取出267个铝合金试件和139个钢合金试件的疲劳试验数据，研究了疲劳分散系数随疲劳试验应力的变化规律，即在一定应力范围内，疲劳分散系数随着应力的减小而增加。由此变化规律，绘制出它们的变化规律曲线。     

推进剂利用系统对液体火箭发动机性能的影响分析

建立了带有推进剂利用系统的泵式压液体火箭发动机稳态工况的非线性数学模型，用非线性优化方法和小偏差方法计算分析了推进剂利用系统调节阀所控制的燃料流量对液体火箭发动机性能的影响，并对比分析了计算结果。所得结论可用于泵压式液体火箭发动机的控制和调节、试验结果分析、可靠性分析、故障分析，也可用于揭示发动机参数随各种干扰因素的变化规律。     

第22与23周磁静日北京台银河宇宙线周日变化与半日变化特征

利用快速傅里叶变换及其计算功率谱的方法研究了第22和23周磁静日北京宇宙线台站记录的银河宇宙线强度的周日变化与半日变化，计算结果表明，在两个太阳活动周交替时，银河宇宙线的周日变化与半日变化特征消失，在太阳活动低年逐渐向高年过度时，首先出现的是周日变化。半日变化特征出现要滞后于周日变化，22周太阳活动高年看不出周日变化，而23周太阳活动的高年周日变化非常显著，22周太阳活动的下降期。只有周日变化而无半日变化。这是分析北京宇宙线台近2个太阳活动周数据得到的新结果。     

北斗长河组合导航伪时差测量与ASF修正

通过时间比对手段把长河二号和北斗一号两个导航系统的原子钟组成一个参考时间尺度,测量导航信号由天线发出时刻相对于同一参考时间尺度的时差改正数,通过卫星微波或地面长波信号把改正数发送给用户接收机,经解调解码,就可以进行北斗长河组合导航的伪时差测量,从而解算接收机的位置和钟差。用模式计算和实测相结合的方法解决长河信号的传播的ASF改正问题,是提高组合导航定位准确度的有效手段。     

服从不同分布的疲劳寿命分散系数分析

民机结构的疲劳寿命服从双参数威布尔分布,其分散系数与战斗机基于对数正态分布的疲劳寿命分散系数存在明显的不同.为分析疲劳寿命服从这两种不同分布时分散系数的区别和联系,导出了疲劳寿命服从双参数威布尔分布时的理论和试验用疲劳寿命分散系数计算公式;并从理论基础和数值计算结果两个方面,对服从对数正态分布和双参数威布尔分布的疲劳寿命分散系数进行了对比,所得的结论对确定民机结构疲劳寿命分散系数提供了重要的技术依据.     

基于Kano模型的旅客机场选择行为分析

研究旅客在区域多机场中的机场选择行为,如何选取影响旅客机场选择行为的关键因素是最基础最重要的部分,现有的研究对关键因素的选取缺乏系统全面的分析.因此,基于Kano理论模型,通过因素整理、问卷调研等进行因素的筛选,得到影响旅客机场选择行为的6个关键因素,与现有研究对比分析并进行机场实地调研,研究结果验证了6个所选关键因素的合理性,为机场选择行为研究的进一步建模分析提供了理论依据.     

Delineation of possible influence of solar variability and galactic cosmic rays on terrestrial climate parameters

The present paper has investigated the associations of solar activity (SA), represented by total solar irradiance (TSI), galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and terrestrial climate parameters in particular the global cloudiness and global surface temperature. To that end, we have analysed thirty five years (1983–2018) data of these parameters and have applied the Granger-causality test in order to assess whether there is any potential predictability power of one indicator to the other. The correlations among the involved parameters are tested using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model and variance decomposition method. As a result of the above analysis, we have found that the TSI is an important factor and has contributed about 8.77 ± 0.42% in the cosmic ray intensity variations. In case of cloud cover variations, the other three parameters (TSI, cosmic ray and global surface temperature) have played a significant role. Further, the TSI changes have contributed 1.68 ± 0.03% fluctuations in the variance of the cloud cover while the cosmic ray intensity and global surface temperature have contributed about 4.89 ± 0.08% and 10.87 ± 1.41% respectively. In case of the global surface temperature anomaly both TSI and cloud covers have contributed about 5.07 ± 0.47% and 14.42 ± 2.13% fluctuations respectively. Additionally, we have also assessed the impact of internal climate oscillations like multivariate ENSO index (MEI), north Atlantic oscillations (NAO) and quasi biennial oscillations (QBO) on cloud cover variations. The contribution of these internal oscillations e.g. ENSO, NAO and QBO in cloud cover variation were reported as 7.48 ± 1.02%, 5.51 ± 0.16% and 1.36 ± 0.43% respectively.     

Two new multi-phase reliability growth models from the perspective of time between failures and their applications

Aviation products would go through a multi-phase improvement in reliability performance during the research and development process. In the literature, most of the existing reliability growth models assume a constant failure intensity in each test phase, which inevitably limits the scope of the application. To address this problem, we propose two new models considering time-varying failure intensity in each stage. The proposed models borrow the idea from the accelerated failure-time models. It is assumed that time between failures follow the log-location-scale distribution and the scale parameters in each phase do not change, which forms the basis for integrating the data from all test stages. For the test-find-test scenario, an improvement factor is introduced to construct the relationship between two successive location parameters. Whereas for the test-fix-test scenario, the instantaneous cumulative time between failures is assumed to be consistent with Duane model and derive the formulation of location parameter. Likelihood ratio test is further utilized to test whether the assumption of constant failure intensity in each phase is suitable. Several applications with real reliability growth data show that the assumptions are reasonable and the proposed models outperform the existing models.     

A unifying approach in simulating the shot peening process using a 3D random representative volume finite element model

Using a modified 3D random representative volume (RV) finite element model,the effects of model dimensions (impact region and interval between impact and representative regions),model shapes (rectangular,square,and circular),and peening-induced thermal softening on resultant critical quantities (residual stress,Almen intensity,coverage,and arc height) after shot peening are systematically examined.A new quantity,i.e.,the interval between impact and representative regions,is introduced and its optimal value is first determined to eliminate any boundary effect on shot peening results.Then,model dimensions are respectively assessed for all model shapes to reflect the actual shot peening process,based on which shape-independent critical shot peening quantities are obtained.Further,it is found that thermal softening of the target material due to shot peening leads to variances of the surface residual stress and arc height,demonstrating the necessity of considering the thermal effect in a constitutive material model of shot peeing.Our study clarifies some of the finite element modeling aspects and lays the ground for accurate modeling of the SP process.     

基于仿真计算的推力架传动轴损伤分析

某水平推力架传动轴出现断裂故障,根据水平推力架结构组成和工作原理对其传动轴损伤机理进行分析,可得出该断裂为低周疲劳所致.基于ANSYS Workbench平台建立传动轴的模型,对传动轴进行强度分析,给出工作载荷下的应力强度、应变及变形计算结果.通过计算结果分析传动轴薄弱部位,得出与传动轴失效部位状态一致.对其进行改进设计,改进后基于强度分析的一种损伤分析方法对传动轴进行损伤仿真分析,得出了使用寿命次数、安全系数和损伤系数的仿真计算结果.通过对照改进前后仿真数据,结果表明改进后的传动轴安全性提高,强度提高,同时结合应力与屈服强度公式计算出传动轴的许用应力满足传动轴设计要求.