碳纤维增强复合材料力学性能退化及失效过程的研究进展

碳纤维增强复合材料（CFRP）内部损伤的不确定性及异质材料多模式损伤耦合的复杂特性，严重制约了构件的低冗余设计以及在苛刻环境下的长寿命可靠应用。随着试验和数值模拟手段的不断进步，有力推动了碳纤维增强复合材料力学性能退化及失效过程的研究，本文在总结国内外复合材料损伤行为研究的基础上，概述了静态、冲击、疲劳载荷以及湿热环境对CFRP损伤演化及失效行为的影响，对CFRP的多种损伤模型、试验方法及所取得的成果进行归纳，并展望了高精度仿真预测建模分析及各向异性材料复杂损伤模式的损伤机理分析等方面的研究发展趋势。     

Synthetic damage effect assessment through evidential reasoning approach and neural fuzzy inference: Application in ship target

The damage effect assessment of anti-ship missiles combines system science and weapon science, which can provide reference for the assessment of battlefield damage situation. In order to solve the difficulty of heterogeneous data aggregation and the difficulty in constructing the mapping between factors and damage effect, this paper analyzes the specific damage process of the anti-ship missile to the ship, and proposes a synthetic Evidential Reasoning (ER) – Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to assess the damage effect. To solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of criteria in the assessment process, the belief structure model is used to transform qualitative and quantitative information into a unified mathematical structure, and ER algorithm is used to fuse the information of lower-level criteria. In order to solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of the information contained in the first-level variables, and the strong non-linear characteristics of the mapping between first-level variables and damage effect, the ANFIS with self-adaptation and self-learning is constructed. The map between the three first-level variables and damage effect is established, and the interaction process of the various factors in the damage effect assessment are clear. Sensitivity analysis shows that assessment model has good stability. The result analysis and comparative analysis show that the process proposed in this paper can effectively assess the damage effect of anti-ship missiles, and all criteria data are objective and comparable.     

TCAS 系统故障隔离及容错架构设计方法研究

针对TCAS 系统运行过程典型功能危险场景和架构设计过程，本文采用系统工程过程的正向设计流 程方法，针对潜在的功能失效风险，开展TCAS 系统域的故障检测和容错设计技术研究，形成覆盖系统、软件 和硬件层级的故障检测及隔离架构设计方案，以提高装机运行过程中防撞告警的置信度，减少由于误警和虚警 对飞行安全产生的不利影响。