舷外有源诱饵对抗反辐射导弹模型研究

舰载雷达系统包括多种型号的雷达,在舰艇施放舷外有源诱饵对抗ARM时,不能简单地将其视为单一辐射源目标。通过分析舰载雷达辐射源工作特性,建立了舷外有源诱偏条件下ARM对舰载雷达的攻击模型。仿真结果表明,ARM散落点在舰载雷达周围分布较为密集,可以对舰载雷达系统构成了较大的威胁。     

基于N-BEATS的单站对流层天顶总延迟预报

高精度对流层延迟先验值有助于加速精密单点定位的快速收敛。基于高精度高分辨率气象数据库，采用深度学习N BEATS算法，进行了单站对流层天顶总延迟的预报试验。试验选取了9个IGS跟踪站，试验弧段从2002年1月至2019年6月共185a。首先基于N BEATS算法，设计了3种预报策略，然后基于前175a针对不同预报策略进行模型训练，并对最后365d的对流层天顶总延迟进行预报。试验结果表明，以该气象数据库为基准，12h以内预报弧段的预报残差均值量级大多可达亚毫米，2h、4h、6h的预报残差的标准差分别约为5mm、9mm、13mm。     

On the evidential reasoning rule for dependent evidence combination

Evidential Reasoning (ER) rule, which can combine multiple pieces of independent evidence conjunctively, is widely applied in multiple attribute decision analysis. However, the assumption of independence among evidence is often not satisfied, resulting in ER rule inapplicable. In this paper, an Evidential Reasoning rule for Dependent Evidence combination (ERr-DE) is developed. Firstly, the aggregation sequence of multiple pieces of evidence is determined according to evidence reliability. On this basis, a calculation method of evidence Relative Total Dependence Coefficient (RTDC) is proposed using the distance correlation method. Secondly, as a discounting factor, RTDC is introduced into the ER rule framework, and the ERr-DE model is formulated. The aggregation process of two pieces of dependent evidence by ERr-DE is investigated, which is then generalized to aggregate multiple pieces of non-independent evidence. Thirdly, sensitivity analysis is carried out to investigate the relationship between the model output and the RTDC. The properties of sensitivity coefficient are explored and mathematically proofed. The conjunctive probabilistic reasoning process of ERr-DE and the properties of sensitivity coefficient are verified by two numerical examples respectively. Finally, the practical application of the ERr-DE is validated by a case study on the performance assessment of satellite turntable system.     

基于FY-3C/VIRR地表温度数据的上海市热岛效应时空特征分析

城市热岛效应是当前城市生态领域关注的焦点问题之一。本文以上海为例，基于FY-3C/VIRR LST数据，通过计算研究区的热岛强度指数与热岛比例指数，定量分析上海市2019年全年城市热岛效应的时空变化特性。结果表明：上海市2019年全年各月份的总热岛区域面积均在40%以上，城市热岛效应较为显著，其中7月份总热岛区域面积最大；上海市热岛效应的空间分布呈现出“北热南冷”的格局，热岛效应主要分布在中部和北部； 上海市5—7月热带比例指数较高，为较严重热岛，随着8月份平均地表温度的继续升高，热岛比例指数有所下降。     

卫星在轨推进剂补加量测量方法精度研究

卫星在轨推进剂补加量的精确测量技术是在轨补加任务的关键技术之一。本文结合型号攻关结果，提出2种在轨推进剂补加量测量方法数学模型，分别是压力-体积-温度(PVT)法和超声波流量计法。首先，PVT法是一种通过补加前后受体卫星贮箱剩余量反算补加量的间接测量方法，而超声波流量计法是利用超声波顺逆流相位差进行测量的直接测量方法;其次，在推进剂补加量测量模型的基础上，进一步通过取变分的手段提出2种模型的精度分析解析模型，解析的精度分析模型不仅可用于定性分析影响测量精度的因素，还可量化评价各个因素对测量精度的影响;最后，利用现有在研单机的精度水平及精度分析解析模型分析了2种方法的测量精度，验证了方法的有效性。     

Vector deflection stability control of aero-engine based on linear active disturbance rejection

Aimed at the problem of instability in engine control caused by vector deflection in experiment of turbofan engines with Axisymmetric Vectoring Exhaust Nozzle (AVEN), a vector deflection stability control method of aero-engine based on Linear Active Disturbance Rejection Control (LADRC) is proposed. Firstly, based on CFD numerical simulation, aerodynamic performance model of AVEN is established, and the aerodynamic load change rule of the nozzle throat area actuator during vector deflection is revealed. Subsequently, the integrated model of AVEN/turbofan engine is established by Simulink/AMESim co-simulation. Finally, the nozzle throat area control loop based on LADRC is designed. The simulation results show that the integrated model can reflect the influence of vector deflection on the stability of the control system. The accuracy comparison between the fan rotor speed and the test data during vector deflection is larger than 1%, indicating a high degree of confidence. Compared with the conventional PID control, the designed LADRC control loop reduces the speed of the low-pressure rotor during vector deflection by 70%, which effectively improves the control stability of the vector deflection. Meanwhile, the fuel flow ratechange during the vector deflection process is smaller and more economical, which provides an important reference for engineering applications.     

舰载雷达鉴定试验数据处理关键问题分析

舰载雷达鉴定试验是雷达试验的重要部分.为了对雷达的性能作出置信度高的评判,数据处理是关键.只有因素考虑全面、模型建立正确,才能获得高精度的真值数据,进而实现对雷达的可靠评判.分析了数据处理的流程和关键环节,针对空间变换、舰体运动参数补偿、时间校准3个关键问题进行建模,并用实例计算结果验证了模型的可行性和有效性.     

基于传力路径的飞机加强框结构优化方法研究

在飞机结构设计中,主传力构件的轻量化设计十分关键.通过引入结构承载因子,对加强框结构的传力路径进行量化,得到加强框结构最佳的传力路径.相对于传统的结构尺寸优化设计方法,提出的基于承载因子的传力路径优化方法仅需要考虑结构外形和载荷对结构承载的影响,不必考虑结构细节尺寸大小,因此,该方法具有高度的概括性和综合性.同时,通过...